Martin Jacques - When China Rules the World

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For well over two hundred years we have lived in a western-made world, one where the very notion of being modern is inextricably bound up with being western. The twenty-first century will be different. The rise of China, India and the Asian tigers means that, for the first time, modernity will no longer be exclusively western. The west will be confronted with the fact that its systems, institutions and values are no longer the only ones on offer. The key idea of Martin Jacques's ground-breaking new book is that we are moving into an era of contested modernity. The central player in this new world will be China. Continental in size and mentality, China is a 'civilisation-state' whose characteristics, attitudes and values long predate its existence as a nation-state. Although clearly influenced by the west, its extraordinary size and history mean that it will remain highly distinct, and as it exercises its rapidly growing power it will change much more than the world's geo-politics. The nation-state as we understand it will no longer be globally dominant, and the Westphalian state-system will be transformed; ideas of race will be redrawn. This profound and far-sighted book explains for the first time the deeper meaning of the rise of China.
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China Digital Times
Book Review: When China Rules the World
“When you’re alone and life is making you lonely, you can always go: downtown.” So warbled the British singer, Petula Clark in the 1960s. However, today if solitude is your constant companion, I would suggest that you purchase a copy of this riveting book and read it on the bus and in airports — as I have been doing in recent days, with the dramatic words on the bright red cover of this weighty tome blaring insistently — and no doubt you will find, as I have, that your reading reverie will be constantly interrupted by a stream of anxious interlopers curious to know what the future may hold.
For like Petula Clark, the author too hails from London, though the startling message he brings decidedly differs from her melancholy intervention. For it is the author’s conclusion that sooner rather than later, China — a nation ruled by a Communist Party — will have the most sizeable and powerful economy in the world and that this will have manifold economic, cultural, psychological (and racial) consequences. Strangely enough, Jacques — one of the better respected intellectuals in the North Atlantic community — does not dwell upon how this monumental turn of events occurred. To be sure, he pays obeisance to the leadership of Comrade Deng Xiaoping, who in 1978, opened China’s economy to massive inward foreign direct investment, which set the stage for the 21st Century emergence of the planet’s most populous nation. Yet, for whatever reason, Jacques — who once was a leading figure in the British Communist Party — does not deign to detail to the gentle reader how Beijing brokered an alliance with US imperialism, that helped to destabilize their mutual foe in Moscow, which prepared the path for the gargantuan capital infusion that has transformed China and bids fair to do the same for the world as a whole.
Still, it is noteworthy that this book’s back-cover carries blurbs from the conservative economic historian, Niall Ferguson of Harvard (Henry Kissinger’s authorized biographer); the leading historian, Eric Hobsbawm; the well-known Singaporean intellectual and leader, Kishore Mahbubani (who has written a book that mirrors Jacques’ earthshaking conclusions); and a raft of Chinese thinkers who do not seem displeased nor surprised by his findings.

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[985]Chu Yun-han, ‘The Political Economy of Taiwan’s Identity Crisis’, p. 15; Callahan, Contingent States , pp. 179-80.

[986]Bush, ‘ Taiwan Faces China ’, p. 183.

[987]For example, Shi Yinhong, workshop on Sino-Japanese relations, Renmin-Aichi University conference, Beijing, 8 December 2005.

[988]Park, ‘ Small States and the Search for Sovereignty in Sinocentric Asia’, pp. 3- 11.

[989]Peter Hays Gries, China ’s New Nationalism: Pride, Politics, and Diplomacy (Berkeley: University of California Press, 2004), pp. 39, 70–71.

[990]Ibid., p. 79. The best known recent book, arguing that over 300,000 were killed, is Iris Chang, The Rape of Nanking (London: Penguin, 1998). For a Japanese view that denies there was a massacre of any kind, see Higashinakano Shudo, The Nanking Massacre: Facts Versus Fiction, a Historian’s Quest for the Truth (Tokyo: Sekai Shuppan, 2005), especially Chapter 17. The question remains deeply contentious, with a group of right-wing Liberal Democrat deputies suggesting in a report in June 2007 that only 20,000 died; see ‘Japan MPs Play Down 1937 Killings’, 19 June 2007, on www.bbc.co.uk/news.

[991]The English-language Japan Times , for example, constantly carries stories about attempts by Chinese and Korean citizens to seek legal redress for their treatment in the last war, which the Japanese courts summarily dismiss; see for instance, Japan Times , 20 April 2005. Also Satoh Haruko, ‘The Odd Couple: Japan and China — the Politics of History and Identity’, Commentary , 4, (9 August 2006), Japanese Institute of International Affairs.

[992]Jonathan D. Spence, The Search for Modern China , 2nd edn (New York: W.W. Norton, 1999), pp. 423-4, 439. Japan’s occupation of Korea between 1910 and 1945 included sex slavery and the kidnapping of Korean women for the Japanese army, the burning down of Korean villages, the banning of the Korean language and religions, and the forced changing of names.

[993]Interview with Kyoshi Kojima, Tokyo, June 1999.

[994]In 2001 both Hong Kong and Singapore enjoyed a slightly higher GDP per head than Japan, while Taiwan’s was 78 per cent and South Korea’s was 71 per cent of Japan’s; Angus Maddison, The World Economy: Historical Statistics (Paris: OECD, 2003), pp. 184-5.

[995]Satoh, The Odd Couple: Japan and China, the Politics of History and Identity (Japan Institute of International Affairs, 7 August 2006).

[996]Interview with Peter Tasker, Tokyo, 8 June 1999.

[997]Satoh, The Odd Couple .

[998]Interview with Zhu Feng, Beijing, 16 November 2005.

[999]Drifte, Japan ’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 78- 9.

[1000]Ibid., p. 79; Mike M. Mochizuki, ‘China- Japan Relations: Downward Spiral or a New Equilibrium?’, in Shambaugh, Power Shift , p. 137.

[1001]Drifte, Japan ’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , p. 77.

[1002]Ibid., pp. 80–81, 83, 88-9; Mochizuki, ‘China-Japan Relations’, p. 147.

[1003]David Pilling, ‘Less Toxic Relations between Japan and China ’, Financial Times , 6 February 2008.

[1004]Zhang Yunling, Designing East Asian FTA , p. 61.

[1005] Japan Times , 13 April 2005; Shi Yinhong, ‘The General Situation of the China-Japan Relations and the Imperative for a Composite Strategy’, workshop on Sino-Japanese relations, Renmin-Aichi University Conference, Beijing, 2005, p. 2.

[1006]Ibid., pp. 2–3; Japan Times , 13 April 2005.

[1007]For example, Japan Times , 17 April 2005 and 19 June 2005.

[1008] International Herald Tribune , 2 April 2007.

[1009]Drifte, Japan ’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 183-4.

[1010]Shi Yinhong, ‘The General Situation of the China-Japan Relations and the Imperative for a Composite Strategy’, 2005, pp. 1, 5.

[1011]Drifte, Japan’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 55–60; Shi Yinhong, ‘The General Situation of the China-Japan Relations and the Imperative for a Composite Strategy’, 2005, pp. 3–5; Shi Yinhong, workshop on Sino-Japanese relations, Renmin-Aichi University conference, Beijing, 2005.

[1012]Drifte, Japan ’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 49–51.

[1013]Ibid., p. 59.

[1014]Reinhard Drifte, ‘Japanese-Chinese Territorial Disputes in the East China Sea — Between Military Confrontation and Economic Cooperation’, pp. 35-6 (unpublished working paper, available to download from http://eprints.lseac.uk.).

[1015]Zhao, A Nation-State by Construction , pp. 273-5.

[1016]Interview with Shi Yinhong, Beijing, 26 August 2005.

[1017]Satoh, The Odd Couple ; Hirano So, ‘Study of Contemporary Political History of East Asian Region — from the Chain Effect of Chinese and Japanese Nationalism Perspective’, workshop on Sino-Japanese relations, Renmin-Aichi University conference, Beijing, 8 December 2005.

[1018]Gries, China’s New Nationalism , pp. 38, 40; interview with Shi Yinhong, Beijing, 26 August 2005.

[1019]Shi Yinhong, workshop on Sino-Japanese relations.

[1020]Perhaps this is the underlying reason for China ’s more self-confident stance in its relationship with Japan, as evinced by Hu Jintao. Kokubun Ryosei, ‘Did the Ice Melt between Japan and China?’, conference on ‘Nationalism and Globalisation in North-East Asia’, Asia Research Centre, London School of Economics, 12 May 2007, pp. 1, 9, 11–12.

[1021]Lampton, ‘ China ’s Rise in Asia Need Not Be at America ’s Expense’, p. 320.

[1022]Michiyo Nakamoto, ‘China Ousts US as Top Japanese Market’, Financial Times , 21 August 2008; www.rieti.go.jp/en/columns/a01_0109.html.

[1023]For a different and optimistic view of their future relationship, based on demographic trends, see Howard W. French, ‘For Old Rivals, a Chance at a Grand New Bargain’, International Herald Tribune , 9 February 2007.

[1024]Martin Jacques, ‘Where is Japan?’, seminar paper presented at the Faculty of Media and Communications, Aichi University, 27 July 2005; Martin Jacques, ‘The Age of America or the Rise of the East: The Story of the 21st Century’, Aichi University Journal of International Affairs , 127 (March 2006), pp. 7–8.

[1025]‘We’re Just Good Friends, Honest’, The Economist , 17 March 2007, p. 73.

[1026]Drifte, Japan’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 88–99; Thomas J. Christensen, ‘China, the US- Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia’, in Brown et al., The Rise of China , pp. 148-9.

[1027]Christensen, ‘ China, the US — Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia ’, p. 138.

[1028]Drifte, Japan ’s Security Relations with China since 1989 , pp. 180-82.

[1029]Ross, ‘The Geography of Peace in East Asia ’, pp. 176-8.

[1030]Interview with Shi Yinhong, Beijing, 19 May 2006; Strait Times , 6 February 2006; Jane Perlez, ‘As US Influence Wanes, a New Asian Community’, International Herald Tribune , 4 November 2004.

[1031]Shambaugh, ‘ China Engages Asia’, p. 93; Kang, ‘Getting Asia Wrong’, pp. 58, 79, 81-2.

[1032]It is quite likely that the US will, over time, reduce its land-based military presence in the region; Pollack, ‘The Transformation of the Asian Security Order’, pp. 338-9, 343.

[1033]Kang, ‘Getting Asia Wrong’, p. 65.

[1034]Zhang and Tang, ‘ China ’s Regional Strategy’, pp. 56-7.

[1035]Kang, ‘Getting Asia Wrong’, pp. 65-7, 79, 82-3.

[1036]Ross, ‘The Geography of Peace in East Asia ’, pp. 170, 187, 190.

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