David Machin - Medical Statistics

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Medical Statistics: краткое содержание, описание и аннотация

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The 5th edition of this popular introduction to statistics for the medical and health sciences has undergone a significant revision, with several new chapters added and examples refreshed throughout the book. Yet it retains its central philosophy to explain medical statistics with as little technical detail as possible, making it accessible to a wide audience. 
Helpful multi-choice exercises are included at the end of each chapter, with answers provided at the end of the book. Each analysis technique is carefully explained and the mathematics kept to minimum. Written in a style suitable for statisticians and clinicians alike, this edition features many real and original examples, taken from the authors' combined many years' experience of designing and analysing clinical trials and teaching statistics.
Students of the health sciences, such as medicine, nursing, dentistry, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, and radiography should find the book useful, with examples relevant to their disciplines. The aim of training courses in medical statistics pertinent to these areas is not to turn the students into medical statisticians but rather to help them interpret the published scientific literature and appreciate how to design studies and analyse data arising from their own projects. However, the reader who is about to design their own study and collect, analyse and report on their own data will benefit from a clearly written book on the subject which provides practical guidance to such issues.
The practical guidance provided by this book will be of use to professionals working in and/or managing clinical trials, in academic, public health, government and industry settings, particularly medical statisticians, clinicians, trial co-ordinators. Its practical approach will appeal to applied statisticians and biomedical researchers, in particular those in the biopharmaceutical industry, medical and public health organisations.

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Measures of Location – The Three ‘Ms’ – Mean, Median and Mode

Mean or Average

The arithmetic mean or average of n observations pronounced x bar is simply the sum of the observations divided by their - фото 7(pronounced x bar) is simply the sum of the observations divided by their number; thus

In the above equation x irepresents the individual sample values and their - фото 8

In the above equation, x irepresents the individual sample values and картинка 9their sum. The Greek letter ‘∑’ (sigma) is the Greek capital ‘S’ and stands for ‘sum’ and simply means ‘add up the n observations x ifrom the first to the last ( n th)’.

Example – Calculation of the Mean – Corn Size Data (mm)

In the randomised controlled trial that investigated the effectiveness of salicylic acid plasters compared with usual scalpel debridement for treatment of foot corns (Farndon et al. 2013), the baseline size of the index corn (at its widest diameter in mm) was measured by an independent podiatrist (foot specialist) who was not involved in the subsequent treatment of the patients. Consider the following 16 baseline corn sizes in mm, listed in ascending order, selected randomly from the 200 patients, with valid baseline corn size data, in the trial.

Thus the mean 5816 3625 mm or 36 mm It is usual to q - фото 10 Thus the mean 5816 3625 mm or 36 mm It is usual to quote one more - фото 11

Thus, the mean картинка 12= 58/16 = 3.625 mm or 3.6 mm. It is usual to quote one more decimal place for the mean than the data recorded.

The major advantage of the mean is that it uses all the data values and is, in a statistical sense, therefore efficient. The mean also characterises some important statistical distributions to be discussed in Chapter 4. The main disadvantage of the mean is that it is vulnerable to what are known as outliers. Outliers are single observations that, if excluded from the calculations, have noticeable influence on the results. For example, if we had entered ‘100 mm’ instead of ‘10 mm’, for the 16th patient, in the calculation of the mean, we would find the mean changed from 3.6 to 9.3 mm. It does not necessarily follow, however, that outliers should be excluded from the final data summary, or that they result from an erroneous measurement.

If the data are binary, that is nominal and are coded 0 or 1, then картинка 13is the proportion of individuals with value 1, and this can also be expressed as a percentage. In the foot corn plaster trial, the corn had healed or resolved by a three‐month follow‐up in 52 out of 189 patients. If whether the corn was healed at a three‐month post‐randomisation follow‐up is coded as a ‘1’ for ‘yes, healed’, and a ‘0’ for ‘no, not healed’, then the mean of this variable is 0.257 or 25.7%.

Median

The median is estimated by first ordering the data from smallest to largest, and then counting upwards for half the observations. The estimate of the median is either the observation at the centre of the ordering in the case of an odd number of observations, or the simple average of the middle two observations if the total number of observations is even.

Example – Calculation of the Median – Corn Size Data

Consider the following 16 corn sizes in millimetres selected randomly from the Farndon (2013) study. We order the 16 observations from smallest to largest (See Table 2.4); the median is the middle observation which splits the data set into two halves with equal number of observations in each half (eight in this example). As the number if observations are even ( n = 16); the median is the average of the two central ordered values (the eighth and ninth). So, the median corn size is (3 + 3)/2 = 3 mm.

If we had observed an additional 17th subject with a corn size of 10 mm the median would be the 9th ordered observation, which is 3 mm.

The median has the advantage that it is not affected by outliers, so for example the median in the data would be unaffected by replacing largest corn size of ‘10 mm’ with ‘100 mm’. However, it is not statistically efficient, as it does not make use of all the individual data values.

Mode

A third measure of location is termed the mode. This is the value that occurs most frequently, or, if the data are grouped, the grouping with the highest frequency. It is not used much in statistical analysis, since its value depends on the accuracy with which the data are measured; although it may be useful for categorical data to describe the most frequent category. However, the expression ‘bimodal’ distribution is used to describe a distribution with two peaks in it. This can be caused by mixing two or more populations together. For example, height might appear to have a bimodal distribution if one had men and women in the study population. Some illnesses may raise a biochemical measure, so in a population containing healthy individuals and those who are ill one might expect a bimodal distribution. However, some illnesses are defined by the measure of, say obesity or high blood pressure, and in these cases the distributions are usually unimodal with those above a given value regarded as ill .

Table 2.4 The 16 corn sizes ordered and ranked from smallest to largest.

Rank order Corn size (mm)
1 1
2 2
3 2
4 2
5 2
6 2
7 3
8 3 9 3 10 3 11 4 12 4 13 5 14 6 - фото 14
9 3
10 3
11 4
12 4
13 5
14 6
15 6
16 10

Example – Calculation of the Mode – Corn Size Data

In the 16 patients with corns; 5 patients have a corn size of 2 mm; thus, the modal corn size is 2 mm.

Measures of Dispersion or Variability

We also need a numerical way of summarising the amount of spread or variability in a data set. The three main approaches to quantifying variability are: the range; interquartile range and the standard deviation.

Range

The simplest way to describe the spread of a data set is to quote the minimum (lowest) and maximum (highest) values. The range is given as the smallest and largest observations. For some data it is very useful, because one would want to know these numbers, for example in a sample the age of the youngest and oldest participant. However, if outliers are present it may give a distorted impression of the variability of the data, since only two of the data points are included in making the estimate. Thus, the range is affected by extreme values at each end of the data.

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