Bruce Mesquita - The Logic of Political Survival

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The authors of this ambitious book address a fundamental political question: why are leaders who produce peace and prosperity turned out of office while those who preside over corruption, war, and misery endure? Considering this political puzzle, they also answer the related economic question of why some countries experience successful economic development and others do not. The authors construct a provocative theory on the selection of leaders and present specific formal models from which their central claims can be deduced. They show how political leaders allocate resources and how institutions for selecting leaders create incentives for leaders to pursue good and bad public policy. They also extend the model to explain the consequences of war on political survival. Throughout the book, they provide illustrations from history, ranging from ancient Sparta to Vichy France, and test the model against statistics gathered from cross-national data. The authors explain the political intuition underlying their theory in nontechnical language, reserving formal proofs for chapter appendixes. They conclude by presenting policy prescriptions based on what has been demonstrated theoretically and empirically.

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Weingast, Barry R., Kenneth Shepsle, and Christopher Johnsen. 1981. “The Political Economy of Benefits and Costs: A Neoclassical Approach to Distributive Politics.” Journal of Political Economy 89: 642-669.

Werner, Suzanne. 1996. “Absolute and Limited War: The Possibilities of Foreign Imposed Regime Change.” International Interactions 22: 67-88.

Werner, Suzanne. 1999. “The Precarious Nature of Peace: Resolving the Issues, Enforcing the Settlement, and Renegotiating the Terms.” American Journal of Political Science 43: 912-934.

Wintrobe, Ronald. 1990. “The Tinpot and the Totalitarian: An Economic Analysis of Dictatorship.” American Political Science Review 84: 849-872.

Wintrobe, Ronald. 1998. The Political Economy of Dictatorship . New York: Cambridge University Press.

Wittman, Donald. 1989. “Why Democracies Produce Efficient Results.” Journal of Political Economy 97: 1395-1424.

Wittman, Donald. 1991. “Nations and States: Mergers and Acquisitions; Dissolutions and Divorce.” American Economic Review 81(2): 126-129.

Xenophon. [c.360BC]. Hellenica . Book VI, chap. IV. Available at .

Zacher, Mark W. 2001. “The Territorial Integrity Norm: International Boundaries and the Use of Force.” International Organization 55: 215-250.

“Zairian President Mobutu Steps Down, Flees.” Facts on File , 57, no. 2946 (May 27, 1997): 351.

Zak, Paul J. 2000. “Socio-Political Instability and the Problem of Development.” In Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Hilton L. Root, eds., Governing for Prosperity . New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.

Index

Abacha, Sani

Abbas I

Abbasid dynasty

Abiola, Moshood

Acemoglu, Daron

Affinity

bloc leaders and

challengers and

equilibrium and

high individual correlation and

Hobbes Index and

loyalty norm and

partial knowledge of

reselection and

roles of

selectorate theory and

societal heterogeneity and

survival assessment and

tenure and

universal suffrage and

Afghanistan

Africa

Mandela and

Age

Agis IV

Ahidjo, Ahmadou

Ali, Rashid

Allocation

Alsace-Lorraine

America. See United States

Amin

Amnesty International

Angola

Arbatov, Georgi

Arendt, Hannah

Areopagus

Aristocracy

Aristotle

Arrow, Kenneth

Arthur

Artificial scarcity

Art of War, The (Sun Tzu)

Ashurbanipal

al-Assad, Hafiz

Atlee, Clement

Australia

Authoritarianism

Autocracy

compromise agreements and

concession and

construction of

education and

kleptocracy and( see also Kleptocracy)

mortality risk and

rigged elections and

selectorate peace and

size and

stability and

studies of

war and( see also War)

welfare and

Ayyubid dynasty

Azerbaijan

Bailout money

Banks, Arthur

Barons

Barro, Robert

Battle of Mansura

Baum, Matthew

Belgium

Beliefs

Beria, Lavrenty

Berlin Wall

Biafra

Biased reporting

Birthplace

Biya, Paul

Black market

migration and

private goods and

Bloc leaders

Bolsheviks

Bonaparte, Napoleon

Boniface VIII

Bosnia

Botswana

Boule

Brezhnev, Leonid

Budget constraint

Bush, George H. W.

Bush George W.

Byzantines

Caliphates

Cambodia

Cameroon

Campbell, Sally H.

Canada

Canute

Capet, Hugh

Caroline, Queen of Naples

Carthage

Castile

Castro, Fidel

Catholicism

Celestine V

Challengers. See also Revolution; War

affinity and

best possible offer by

commitment issues and

competence and

compromise agreements and

defection and

defined

deposition rule and

economic issues and

equilibrium and

inclusion probability for

incumbents and( see also Incumbents)

loyalty norm and

Markov perfect equilibrium and

oppression and

payoffs and( see also Payoffs)

policy and

purges and

selectorate and( see also Selectorate)

taxes and

time line for

winning coalitions and

Charlemagne

Charles of Lower Lorraine

Chiang Kai-shek

Children

Chile

China

loyalty norm and

revolution and

stability and

term limits and

Christendom

Churchill, Winston

Civic-mindedness

Civil liberties

democracy and

Freedom House and

GDP and

Hobbes Index and

kleptocracy and

oppression and

political rights and

protests and

public goods and

slavery and

taxes and( see also Taxes)

transparency and

United Nations and

war and

World Bank and

Civil war

disenfranchised and

evidence for

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