Enrico Zio - Reliability Analysis, Safety Assessment and Optimization

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This book is a comprehensive overview of the recently developed methods for assessing and optimizing system reliability and safety. It consists of two main parts, for assessment and optimization methods, respectively. The former covers multi-state system modelling and reliability evaluation, Markov processes, Monte Carlo simulation and uncertainty treatments under poor knowledge. The reviewed methods range from piecewise-deterministic Markov process to belief functions. The latter covers mathematical programs, evolutionary algorithms, multi-objective optimization and optimization under uncertainty. The reviewed methods range from non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm to robust optimization. This book also includes the applications of the assessment and optimization method on real world cases, particularly for the reliability and safety of renewable energy systems. From this point of view, the book bridges the gap between theoretical development and engineering practice.

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Wiley Series in Quality & Reliability Engineering

Dr. Andre V. Kleyner

Series Editor

The Wiley Series in Quality & Reliability Engineering aims to provide a solid educational foundation for both practitioners and researchers in the Q&R field and to expand the reader’s knowledge base to include the latest

developments in this field. The series will provide a lasting and positive contribution to the teaching and practice of engineering.

The series coverage will contain, but is not exclusive to,

Statistical methods

Physics of failure

Reliability modeling

Functional safety

Six-sigma methods

Lead-free electronics

Warranty analysis/management

Risk and safety analysis

Wiley Series in Quality & Reliability Engineering

Reliability Analysis, Safety Assessment and Optimization: Methods and Applications in Energy Systems and Other Applications by Enrico Zio, Yan-Fu Li May 2022

Design for Excellence in Electronics Manufacturing Cheryl Tulkoff, Greg Caswell April 2021

Design for Maintainability by Louis J. Gullo (Editor), Jack Dixon (Editor) March 2021

Reliability Culture: How Leaders can Create Organizations that Create Reliable Products by Adam P. Bahret February 2021

Lead-free Soldering Process Development and Reliability by Jasbir Bath (Editor) August 2020

Automotive System Safety: Critical Considerations for Engineering and Effective Management Joseph D. Miller February 2020

Prognostics and Health Management: A Practical Approach to Improving System Reliability Using Condition-Based Data by Douglas Goodman, James P. Hofmeister, Ferenc Szidarovszky April 2019

Improving Product Reliability and Software Quality: Strategies, Tools, Process and Implementation, 2nd Edition Mark A. Levin, Ted T. Kalal, Jonathan Rodin April 2019

Practical Applications of Bayesian Reliability Yan Liu, Athula I. Abeyratne April 2019

Dynamic System Reliability: Modeling and Analysis of Dynamic and Dependent Behaviors Liudong Xing, Gregory Levitin, Chaonan Wang March 2019

Reliability Engineering and Services Tongdan Jin March 2019

Design for Safety by Louis J. Gullo, Jack Dixon February 2018

Thermodynamic Degradation Science: Physics of Failure, Accelerated Testing , Fatigue and Reliability by Alec Feinberg October 2016

Next Generation HALT and HASS: Robust Design of Electronics and Systems by Kirk A. Gray, John J. Paschkewitz May 2016

Reliability and Risk Models: Setting Reliability Requirements, 2nd Edition by Michael Todinov November 2015

Reliability Analysis, Safety Assessment and Optimization

Methods and Applications in Energy Systems and Other Applications

Enrico Zio

MINES ParisTech/PSL Université, Italy

Yan-Fu Li

Department of Industrial Engineering, Tsinghua University, China

Reliability Analysis Safety Assessment and Optimization - изображение 1

This edition first published 2022

©2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, except as permitted by law. Advice on how to obtain permission to reuse material from this title is available at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

The right of Enrico Zio and Yan-Fu Li to be identified as the authors of this work has been asserted in accordance with law.

Registered Offices

John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA

John Wiley & Sons Ltd, The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 8SQ, UK

Editorial Office

The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 8SQ, UK

For details of our global editorial offices, customer services, and more information about Wiley products visit us at www.wiley.com.

Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats and by print-on-demand. Some content that appears in standard print versions of this book may not be available in other formats.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty

While the publisher and authors have used their best efforts in preparing this work, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this work and specifically disclaim all warranties, including without limitation any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives, written sales materials or promotional statements for this work. The fact that an organization, website, or product is referred to in this work as a citation and/or potential source of further information does not mean that the publisher and authors endorse the information or services the organization, website, or product may provide or recommendations it may make. This work is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a specialist where appropriate. Further, readers should be aware that websites listed in this work may have changed or disappeared between when this work was written and when it is read. Neither the publisher nor authors shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Zio, Enrico, author. | Li, Yan-Fu, author.

Title: Reliability analysis, safety assessment and optimization: methods and applications in energy systems and other applications / Enrico Zio, Yan-Fu Li.

Description: Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, 2022. | Series: Wiley series in quality & reliability engineering | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2022009590 (print) | LCCN 2022009591 (ebook) | ISBN 9781119265870 (hardback) | ISBN 9781119265924 (pdf) | ISBN 9781119265863 (epub) | ISBN 9781119265856 (ebook)

Subjects: LCSH: Reliability (Engineering) | Industrial safety.

Classification: LCC TA169 .Z57 2022 (print) | LCC TA169 (ebook) | DDC 620/.00452--dc23/eng/20220316

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022009590LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022009591

Cover image: © Vithun Khamsong/Getty Images

Cover design by Wiley

Set in 9.5/12.5pt STIXTwoText by Integra Software Services Pvt. Ltd, Pondicherry, India

To all the students, collaborators and colleagues, to whom we are forever indebted for all the enriching experience and knowledge that they have shared with us and that have made us grow professionally and personally.

Contents

1 Cover

2 Serious page

3 Title page

4 Copyright

5 Dedication

6 Series Editor’s Foreword

7 Preface

8 Acknowledgments

9 List of Abbreviations

10 Notations

11 Part I The Fundamentals 1 Reliability Assessment 1.1 Definitions of Reliability1.1.1 Probability of Survival1.2 Component Reliability Modeling1.2.1 Discrete Probability Distributions1.2.2 Continuous Probability Distributions1.2.3 Physics-of-Failure Equations1.3 System Reliability Modeling1.3.1 Series System1.3.2 Parallel System1.3.3 Series-parallel System1.3.4 K-out-of-n System1.3.5 Network System1.4 System Reliability Assessment Methods1.4.1 Path-set and Cut-set Method1.4.2 Decomposition and Factorization1.4.3 Binary Decision Diagram1.5 ExercisesReferences 2 Optimization 2.1 Optimization Problems2.1.1 Component Reliability Enhancement2.1.2 Redundancy Allocation2.1.3 Component Assignment2.1.4 Maintenance and Testing2.2 Optimization Methods2.2.1 Mathematical Programming2.2.2 Meta-heuristics2.3 ExercisesReferences

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