Josh Rogin - Chaos Under Heaven

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The behind-the-scenes story of America's chaotic, high-stakes confrontation with Beijing, from an award-winning *Washington Post* columnist and peerless observer of the U.S.-China relationship. The war began as soon as Donald Trump won the presidency. In an attempt to shape the president-elect's stance toward China, Henry Kissinger began arranging secret meetings between incoming officials and Chinese leaders. Soon, factions in the new administration were battling to shape the U.S. strategy toward China, and with it the future of the most important relationship of the 21st century. The resulting chaos would not only lead Washington and Beijing into a trade war that would reshape international economics and push the two countries to the brink of a Cold War. It also would bring to a boil the long-simmering rivalry between Washington and Beijing, and force a reckoning over China's audacious influence operations within the United States --a competition between...

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xiv Rice herself: David Feith, “The Great American Rethink on China,” Wall Street Journal, May 28, 2015, https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-great-american-rethink-on-china-1432832888.

xv Xi had referred: “Xi Jinping Meets with President Barack Obama of US,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, September 3, 2016, https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/topics_665678/XJPCXBZCESGJTLDRDSYCFHJCXYGHD/t1395073.shtml.

xvi a firm that has made history: Having helped pioneer the use of plaintiffs’ class action litigation to sue foreign entities in US courts, Berger Montague counted among its wins a leading role in securing a $1.25 billion settlement for Holocaust survivors from the Swiss banks. “Holocaust Victim Asset Litigation,” Berger Montague, accessed September 21, 2020, https://bergermontague.com/cases/holocaust-victim-asset-litigation/.

xvi Joshua Eisenman: Eisenman would go on to write two influential books on China’s diplomacy in Africa and around the world. He is also mentioned in chapter 6, on Chinese infiltration of US academia. He is now an associate professor of China policy at Notre Dame University.

xvii We coauthored an op-ed: Joshua Rogin and Joshua Eisenman, “China Must Play by the Rules in Oil-Rich Sudan,” Alexander’s Gas and Oil Connections: An Institute for Global Energy Research, accessed September 1, 2020, http://www.gasandoil.com/news/africa/d776167ab2c93b59d67da62becc94122.

xvii The first article: Joshua Rogin, “DOD: China Fielding Cyberattack Units,” FCW: The Business of Federal Technology, May 25, 2006, https://fcw.com/articles/2006/05/25/dod-china-fielding-cyberattack-units.aspx.

xvii “ everything and anything”: Josh Rogin, “Cyber Officials: Chinese Hackers Attack Anything and Everything,’” FCW: The Business of Federal Technology, February 13, 2007, https://fcw.com/articles/2007/02/13/cyber-officials-chinese-hackers-attack-anything-and-everything.aspx.

xx Graham Allison wrote: Graham Allison, “The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?,” Atlantic, September 24, 2015, https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2015/09/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap/406756/.

1. THE TRANSITION

3 often reported version: Julie Hirschfeld Davis and Eric Lipton, “Bob Dole Worked Behind the Scenes on Trump-Taiwan Call,” New York Times, December 6, 2016, https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/06/us/politics/bob-dole-taiwan-lobby-trump.html.

3 as reported by: Davis and Lipton, “Bob Dole.”

5 when he tweeted: Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump), “The President of Taiwan called me today to wish me congratulations on winning the Presidency. Thank You!,” Twitter, December 2, 2016, 4:44 p.m., https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/804848711599882240.

5 was in Beijing: Elizabeth Shim, “Henry Kissinger Visits China to Ease Concerns amid Trump Transition,” UPI, December 2, 2016, https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2016/12/02/Henry-Kissinger-visits-China-to-ease-concerns-amid-Trump-transition/3041480733459/.

6 in its brochure: John Fialka, “Mr. Kissinger Has Opinions on China—and Business Ties,” Wall Street Journal, September 15, 1989.

6 China’s state media outlet: “Kissinger Against Politicizing Olympics,” Xinhua News Agency, April 9, 2008.

7 campaign speech: “Full Transcript: Donald Trump’s Jobs Plan Speech,” Politico, June 28, 2016, https://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/full-transcript-trump-job-plan-speech-224891.

8 slowest growth year: “China’s Economy Grows 6.7% in 2016,” BBC News, January 20, 2017, https://www.bbc.com/news/business-38686568.

9 profile by Vanity Fair: Marie Brenner, “After the Gold Rush,” Vanity Fair, September 1990, https://archive.vanityfair.com/article/share/e515a2cd-a51b-4f83-8d61-6ebb9a104e0a.

9 “ hands of a dealmaker”: Donald Trump, The America We Deserve (New York: St. Martin’s, 2013), 104.

9 “ our biggest long-term challenge”: Trump, America We Deserve, 110.

9 “ it could happen”: Trump, America We Deserve, 111.

10 “ viewed that way”: Trump, America We Deserve, 112.

10 it claimed that: Donald Trump, Time to Get Tough: Making America Great Again! (New York: Regnery, 2015), 162.

10 “ not bow down to China”: Trump, Time to Get Tough, 164.

10 “ I’m a competitor”: Donald J. Trump, Crippled America: How to Make America Great Again (New York: Threshold Editions, 2015), 102.

10 “ more equitable relationship”: Trump, Crippled America, 63.

10 “ exactly what they are”: Trump, Crippled America, 59.

11 crowed in late 2014: Fangbin Gong, “Mao Made the Chinese Nation Stand Up, Deng Made the People of China Grow Rich, Xi Jinping Will Make the People of China Grow Powerful” [in Chinese], Chinese Communist Party News, October 21, 2014, http://theory.people.com.cn/n/2014/1021/c49150-25876113.html. Unless otherwise noted, all translations are my own.

11 Xi’s first major speech: “Full Text: China’s New Party Chief Xi Jinping’s Speech,” BBC News, November 15, 2012, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-20338586.

12 memo called Document 9: “Document 9: A ChinaFile Translation,” ChinaFile, November 8, 2013, https://www.chinafile.com/document-9-chinafile-translation.

12 reportedly was directly approved by Xi: Chris Buckley, “China Takes Aim at Western Ideas,” New York Times, August 19, 2013, https://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/20/world/asia/chinas-new-leadership-takes-hard-line-in-secret-memo.html.

12 signed an agreement: John W. Rollins et al., “U.S.-China Cyber Agreement,” CRS Insight, October 16, 2015, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/IN10376.pdf.

12 did “not intend to”: “Remarks by President Obama and President Xi of the People’s Republic of China in Joint Press Conference,” White House, September 25, 2015, https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/09/25/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-peoples-republic-china-joint.

13 his book, which was titled The Pivot: Kurt Campbell, The Pivot: The Future of American Statecraft in Asia (Boston: Grand Central, 2016).

13 it never went anywhere: Josh Rogin, “The End of the Concept of ‘Strategic Reassurance’?,” Foreign Policy, November 6, 2009, https://foreignpolicy.com/2009/11/06/the-end-of-the-concept-of-strategic-reassurance/.

14 instruct the Pentagon: David B. Larter, “White House Tells the Pentagon to Quit Talking About ‘Competition’ with China,” Navy Times, September 26, 2016, https://www.navytimes.com/news/your-navy/2016/09/26/white-house-tells-the-pentagon-to-quit-talking-about-competition-with-china/.

14 the New York Times reported: Mark Landler, “Confrontations Flare as Obama’s Traveling Party Reaches China,” New York Times, September 3, 2006, https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/04/world/asia/obama-xi-staff-shouting-match.html.

15 reached out to Jared Kushner: Adam Entous and Evan Osnos, “Jared Kushner Is China’s Trump Card,” New Yorker, January 20, 2018, https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/01/29/jared-kushner-is-chinas-trump-card.

15 write his biography: Henry Kissinger, “Jared Kushner: The World’s 100 Most Influential People,” Time, April 20, 2017, https://time.com/collection/2017-time-100/4742700/jared-kushner/.

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