Marvin Rausand - Risk Assessment

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Introduces risk assessment with key theories, proven methods, and state-of-the-art applications Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications
2nd Edition
The book begins with an introduction of risk analysis, assessment, and management, and includes a new section on the history of risk analysis. It covers hazards and threats, how to measure and evaluate risk, and risk management. It also adds new sections on risk governance and risk-informed decision making; combining accident theories and criteria for evaluating data sources; and subjective probabilities. The risk assessment process is covered, as are how to establish context; planning and preparing; and identification, analysis, and evaluation of risk. 
 also offers new coverage of safe job analysis and semi-quantitative methods, and it discusses barrier management and HRA methods for offshore application. Finally, it looks at dynamic risk analysis, security and life-cycle use of risk. 
Serves as a practical and modern guide to the current applications of risk analysis and assessment, supports key standards, and supplements legislation related to risk analysis Updated and revised to align with ISO 31000 Risk Management and other new standards and includes new chapters on security, dynamic risk analysis, as well as life-cycle use of risk analysis Provides in-depth coverage on hazard identification, methodologically outlining the steps for use of checklists, conducting preliminary hazard analysis, and job safety analysis Presents new coverage on the history of risk analysis, criteria for evaluating data sources, risk-informed decision making, subjective probabilities, semi-quantitative methods, and barrier management Contains more applications and examples, new and revised problems throughout, and detailed appendices that outline key terms and acronyms Supplemented with a book companion website containing Solutions to problems, presentation material and an Instructor Manual
 is ideal for courses on risk analysis/risk assessment and systems engineering at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also an excellent reference and resource for engineers, researchers, consultants, and practitioners who carry out risk assessment techniques in their everyday work.

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WILEY SERIES IN STATISTICS IN PRACTICE

Advisory Editor, Marian Scott, University of Glasgow, Scotland, UK

Founding Editor, Vic Barnett, Nottingham Trent University, UK

Statistics in Practice is an important international series of texts which provide detailed coverage of statistical concepts, methods, and worked case studies in specific fields of investigation and study.

With sound motivation and many worked practical examples, the books show in down‐to‐earth terms how to select and use an appropriate range of statistical techniques in a particular practical field within each title's special topic area.

The books provide statistical support for professionals and research workers across a range of employment fields and research environments. Subject areas covered include medicine and pharmaceutics; industry, finance, and commerce; public services; the earth and environmental sciences; and so on.

The books also provide support to students studying statistical courses applied to the aforementioned areas. The demand for graduates to be equipped for the work environment has led to such courses becoming increasingly prevalent at universities and colleges.

It is our aim to present judiciously chosen and well‐written workbooks to meet everyday practical needs. Feedback of views from readers will be most valuable to monitor the success of this aim.

A complete list of titles in this series appears at the end of the volume.

Risk Assessment

Theory, Methods, and Applications

Second Edition

Marvin Rausand

Stein Haugen

Copyright This edition first published 2020 2020 John Wiley Sons Inc - фото 24

Copyright

This edition first published 2020

© 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Edition History

John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (1e, 2011)

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, except as permitted by law. Advice on how to obtain permission to reuse material from this title is available at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

The right of Marvin Rausand and Stein Haugen to be identified as the authors of this work has been asserted in accordance with law.

Registered Office

John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA

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111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA

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Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty

While the publisher and authors have used their best efforts in preparing this work, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this work and specifically disclaim all warranties, including without limitation any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives, written sales materials or promotional statements for this work. The fact that an organization, website, or product is referred to in this work as a citation and/or potential source of further information does not mean that the publisher and authors endorse the information or services the organization, website, or product may provide or recommendations it may make. This work is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a specialist where appropriate. Further, readers should be aware that websites listed in this work may have changed or disappeared between when this work was written and when it is read. Neither the publisher nor authors shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

Library of Congress Cataloging‐in‐Publication Data

Names: Rausand, Marvin, author. | Haugen, Stein, author.

Title: Risk assessment : theory, methods, and applications / Marvin

Rausand, Stein Haugen.

Description: Second edition. | Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, 2020. |

Series: Wiley series in statistics in practice | Includes

bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2019041379 (print) | LCCN 2019041380 (ebook) | ISBN

9781119377238 (hardback) | ISBN 9781119377283 (adobe pdf) | ISBN

9781119377221 (epub)

Subjects: LCSH: Technology–Risk assessment. | Risk assessment.

Classification: LCC T174.5 .R37 2020 (print) | LCC T174.5 (ebook) | DDC

363.1/02–dc22

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019041379

LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019041380

Cover Design: Wiley

Cover Image: © Soloviova Liudmyla/Shutterstock

Dedication

To Hella, Guro and Idunn, Emil and Tiril

To Jorunn, Trine, Ingrid, Kristian and Brage, Nora and Alma

Preface

This book gives a comprehensive introduction to risk analysis and risk assessment, with focus on the theory and the main methods for such analyses. The objects studied are technical or sociotechnical systems, and we delimit our attention to potential, sudden, and major accidents. Day‐to‐day safety problems and negative health effects due to long‐term exposure are outside the scope of the book. Topics, such as financial risk are also outside the scope. More detailed objectives and delimitations of the book are supplied at the end of Chapter 1.

What is Changed From the First Edition?

This second edition is a major update of the first edition (Rausand 2011). Almost all sections have been reorganized and rewritten. The most significant changes include:

Chapters 1 and 2 are totally rewritten and many definitions have been rephrased.

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