Corey Lee M. Keyes, «Subjective Change and Its Consequences for Emotional Well-Being», Motivation and Emotion 24 (2000): 67–84.
Anthony L. Burrow et al., «Derailment: Conceptualization, Measurement, and Adjustment Correlates of Perceived Change in Self and Direction», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 118 (2020): 584–601.
Michael J. Chandler et al., «Personal Persistence, Identity Development, and Suicide: A Study of Native and Non-Native North American Adolescents», Monographs of the Society for Research in Child Development 68 (2003): 1–138.
Kaylin Ratner et al., «Depression and Derailment: A Cyclical Model of Mental Illness and Perceived Identity Change», Clinical Psychological Science 7 (2019): 735–53.
Personal interview with Ray Dalio, October 11, 2017; «How to Love Criticism», WorkLife with Adam Grant, February 28, 2018.
Personal interviews with Jean-Pierre Beugoms, June 26 and July 22, 2019.
Nate Silver, «How I Acted Like a Pundit and Screwed Up on Donald Trump», FiveThirtyEight, May 18, 2016, fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump.
Andrew Sabisky, «Just-World Bias Has Twisted Media Coverage of the Donald Trump Campaign», International Business Times, March 9, 2016, www.ibtimes.co.uk/just-world-bias-has-twisted-media-coverage-donald-trump-campaign-1547151.
Daryl R. Van Tongeren et al., «Religious Residue: Cross-Cultural Evidence That Religious Psychology and Behavior Persist Following Deidentification», Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (March 12, 2020).
Можно менять даже самые глубоко укоренившиеся убеждения, не затрагивая ценности. Недавно психологи сравнивали людей, отошедших от веры, с приверженцами религии и атеистами. В Гонконге, Нидерландах, Новой Зеландии и США обнаружился остаточный эффект религии: отказавшиеся от нее занимались волонтерской работой так же часто и жертвовали на благотворительность больше, чем атеисты.
Jean-Pierre Beugoms, «Who Will Win the Republican Party Nomination for the U.S. Presidential Election?», Good Judgment Open, November 18, 2015, www.gjopen.com/comments/44283.
Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (New York: Random House, 2015); Philip E. Tetlock, Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2005).
Uriel Haran, Ilana Ritov, and Barbara A. Mellers, «The Role of Actively Open-Minded Thinking in Information Acquisition, Accuracy, and Calibration», Judgment and Decision Making 8 (2013): 188–201.
Barbara Mellers et al., «The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis: Drivers of Prediction Accuracy in World Politics», Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 21 (2015): 1–14.
Barbara Mellers et al., «Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions», Perspectives on Psychological Science 10 (2015): 267–81.
Kathryn Schulz, Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error (New York: HarperCollins, 2010).
Keith E. Stanovich and Richard F. West, «Reasoning Independently of Prior Belief and Individual Differences in Actively Open-Minded Thinking», Journal of Educational Psychology 89 (1997): 342–57.
Seinfeld, season 6, episode 16, «The Beard», February 9, 1995, NBC.
Personal interview with Kjirste Morrell, May 21, 2019.
Asher Koriat, Sarah Lichtenstein, and Baruch Fischhoff, «Reasons for Confidence», Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory 6 (1980): 107–18.
«Self-Defeating Humor Promotes Psychological Well-Being, Study Reveals», ScienceDaily, February 8, 2018, www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180208104225.htm.
Реакция окружающих на человека, смеющегося над собой, зависит от его пола. Склонные к самоиронии мужчины воспринимаются хорошими управленцами [ Jonathan B. Evans et al., «Gender and the Evaluation of Humor at Work», Journal of Applied Psychology 104 (2019): 1077–87. ], а женщины наоборот — неумелыми руководителями. Оказывается, немногие в курсе, что умение посмеяться над собой не говорит о неадекватности или некомпетентности женщины. Это признак уверенной скромности и остроумия.
Mark Sullivan, «Jeff Bezos at re: MARS», Fast Company, June 6, 2019, www.fastcompany.com/90360687/jeff-bezos-business-advice-5-tips-from-amazons-remars?_ga=2.101831750.679949067.1593530400-358702464.1558396776.
John Noble Wilford, «Astronomer Retracts His Discovery of Planet», New York Times, January 16, 1992, www.nytimes.com/1992/01/16/us/astronomer-retracts-his-discovery-of-planet.html.
Michael D. Lemonick, «When Scientists Screw Up», Slate, October 15, 2012, slate.com/technology/2012/10/scientists-make-mistakes-how-astronomers-and-biologists-correct-the-record-when-theyve-screwed-up.html.
Adam K. Fetterman and Kai Sassenberg, «The Reputational Consequences of Failed Replications and Wrongness Admission Among Scientists», PLoS ONE 10 (2015): e0143723.
Adam K. Fetterman et al., «On the Willingness to Admit Wrongness: Validation of a New Measure and an Exploration of Its Correlates», Personality and Individual Differences 138 (2019): 193–202.
Will Smith, «Fault vs Responsibility», YouTube, January 31, 2018, www.youtube.com/watch?v=USsqkd-E9ag.
Chase, A Mind for Murder.
See James Q. Wilson, «In Search of Madness», New York Times, January 15, 1998, www.nytimes.com/1998/01/15/opinion/in-search-of-madness.html.
Oscar Wilde, «The Remarkable Rocket», in The Happy Prince and Other Stories, ed. L. Carr (London: Heritage Illustrated Publishing, 1888/2014).
David McCullough, The Wright Brothers (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2015); Tom D. Crouch, The Bishop’s Boys: A Life of Wilbur and Orville Wright (New York: W. W. Norton, 2003); James Tobin, To Conquer the Air (New York: Free Press, 2003); Peter L. Jakab and Rick Young, eds., The Published Writings of Wilbur and Orville Wright (Washington, DC: Smithsonian, 2000); Fred Howard, Wilbur and Orville: A Biography of the Wright Brothers (New York: Ballantine, 1988).
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