138. “Reuters: Armenia, Belarus Refuse to Sign up EaP Declaration over Crimea Reference,” ArmeniaNow, 21 May 2015, http://armenianow.com/news/63646/armenia_riga_summit_eu_eastern_partnership_crimea.
139. Alexander Lukashenko, State of the Nation Address to the Belarusian people and the National Assembly, 22 April 2014.
140. Alexander Lukashenko, Address of the President to the Belarusian People and the National Assembly, 29 April 2015, http://president.gov.by/en/news_en/view/belarus-president-to-address-nation-parliament-on-29-april-11303/.
141. Jonavičius, “From Russia with Love,” p. 229; Petr Kravchenko, Belarus na Rasputiye , p. 305.
142. Jonavičius, “Epilogue,” p. 208; Vytis Jurkonis, “Vitis Jurkonis: Partnerstvo s Kremlem—eto igra so spichkami u benzokolonki,” belaruspartisan.org , 31 May 2014, http://www.belaruspartisan.org/politic/268531/.
143. Alexander Lukashenko, Address of the President to the Belarusian people and the National Assembly, 29 April 2015, http://president.gov.by/en/news_en/view/belarus-president-to-address-nation-parliament-on-29-april-11303/.
144. Shaun Walker, “Who’s That Boy in the Grey Suit? It’s Kolya Lukashenko—the Next Dictator of Belarus…,” The Independent , 29 June 2012, http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/whos-that-boy-in-the-grey-suit-its-kolya-lukashenko—the-next-dictator-of-belarus-7897089.html; “Belarus’ Leader Denies Building Dynasty,” Sputnik International, 2 July 2012, http://sputniknews.com/world/20120702/174366944.html.
145. “Belarus: ‘Silent Protests’ Outlawed,” New York Times , 5 October 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/06/world/europe/belarus-silent-protests-outlawed.html?_r=0.
146. European Union External Action, “What the European Union Could Bring to Belarus,” http://eeas.europa.eu/delegations/belarus/documents/eu_belarus/non_paper_1106.pdf.
147. “Belarus: Presidential Election Day Ends in Protests and Crackdown,” GlobalVoices, 19 December 2010, http://globalvoicesonline.org/2010/12/19/belarus-presidential-election-day-ends-in-protests-and-crackdown/.
148. Paul Roderick, “Putin Comes Out On Top In New Minsk Agreement,” Forbes , 13 February 2015, http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2015/02/13/putin-comes-out-on-top-in-new-minsk-agreement/.
149. See “Ustav ROO ‘Belarusskoye Kazachestvo,’” Belorusskoye Kazachestvo, http://belkazak.by/org/ustav.html; “Kazaki v Respublike Belarus’,” http://www.kazaki.by/.
150. “Ukrainian Compass for Geopolitical Poles of Belarus,” IISEPS, 4 October 2010, http://iiseps.org/analitica/808/lang/en; “Attitude to Separatism in Belarus: ‘Doves’ and ‘Hawks,’” IIPS, 6 October 2014, http://iiseps.org/analitica/809/lang/en.
151. Delcour, “Faithful But Constrained?”
152. Dolgov, “Russian Activists Ask Putin to Send Troops Into Armenia.”
153. Irina Hovhannisyan, “Yerevan Silent after Russian ‘Threat,’” azatutyun.am, 18 April 2014, http://www.azatutyun.mobi/a/25354760.html.
154. “Mitinguyushchiye v Armenii posovetovali Putinu ‘idti domoy,’” BBC Russian Service, 2 December 2013, http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/international/2013/12/131202_russia_armenia_rally.
155. Sargis Arutyunyan, “V Armenii znachitel’no sokratilos’ chislo storonnikov Evraziyskogo soyuza,” azatutyun.am, 10 September 2014, http://rus.azatutyun.am/content/article/26576404.html.
156. Nikoghosyan interview.
157. Sanamyan interview.
Epigraph: R. J. W. Evans and Hartmut Pogge von Strandmann, eds., The Coming of the First World War (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 2001), p. 120.
1. Alexander J. Motyl, “The Surrealism of Realism: Misreading the War in Ukraine,” World Affairs (January–February 2015), http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/surrealism-realism-misreading-war-ukraine; John J. Mearsheimer, “Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault: The Liberal Delusions That Provoked Putin,” Foreign Affairs, September–October 2014, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/141769/john-j-mearsheimer/why-the-ukraine-crisis-is-the-wests-fault; Noam Chomsky, “Ossetia-Russia-Georgia,” chomsky.info, 9 September 2008, http://www.chomsky.info/articles/200809—2.htm; Andrei Tsygankov, “The High Cost of Ignoring Russia in Ukraine,” Moscow Times , 28 February 2014, http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/the-high-cost-of-ignoring-russia-in-ukraine/495336.html.
2. Edward W. Said, Orientalism (New York: Vintage, 1978).
3. Fabio Belafatti, “Orientalism Reanimated: Colonial Thinking in Western Analysts’ Comments on Ukraine,” EuroMaidan, 27 October 2014, http://euromaidanpress.com/2014/10/27/western-commentators-should-rid-themselves-of-old-prejudices-dating-back-from-the-age-of-colonialism-before-commenting-on-eastern-european-affairs/.
Abkhazia, 28, 53–55, 107, 114, 133–34, 244, 252, 254
compatriot policies, 90, 116–17
energy policy, 113
information warfare, 124–26
passportization, 43, 83, 119–20
peacekeeping in, 115–16
protection, 129–31
Russian speakers, 105
Akayev, Askar, 175
annexation, 9, 27, 53–56, 97–98, 132–33, 256
of Crimea, 92, 123–24, 127, 129, 160
threat in Abhkazia and South Ossetia, 133–34
threat in Baltic States, 162
threat in Northern Kazakhstan, 207
threat in Transnistria, 133
Armenia, 18–19, 23, 108, 197, 211–12, 242–43, 248–50
history of, 211–12, 214
information warfare, 234–36
passportization, 41, 231–33
protection, 238–39
and Russian interests, 220–22
Russian speakers, 215–18
soft power, 226–29
Armenian Apostolic Church, 33, 226
ArmRosGasProm, 222
Assembly of the People of Kazakhstan, 194
Association Agreement with the EU, 19
of Armenia, 234–35, 249
of Moldova, 113
of Ukraine, 108, 236
Atambayev, Almazbek, 175, 186
Atasu-Alashankou pipeline, 187
Atyrau-Samara pipeline, 187
Azerbaijan, 10, 113, 175, 187, 224
and Armenia, 211–12, 214–15, 221, 227, 234–35, 238–39
Baikonur Cosmodrome, 185
Bakiyev, Kurmanbek, 175, 203–4
Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, 20, 107, 187
Baltic Pipeline System- 2, 223
Baltic States, 10, 20, 23, 31, 56, 63, 245–46
citizenship policies of, 42
compatriot policies, 69, 71, 73, 93
history of, 49, 66, 213
information warfare, 245
passportization, 42, 199
provocations, 22
and Russian interests, 17, 19, 35, 50
Russian speakers, 252. See also Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
Baranovichi radar system, 222
Belarus, 10, 18, 23, 173, 211–12, 243, 248–51
compatriot policies, 229
history of, 212–14
humanitarian policies, 229
information warfare, 233–34
passportization, 230
protection, 236–38
and Russian interests, 222–24
Russian speakers, 215–16, 218–20
soft power, 225–26, 238
Berdymukhamedov, Gurbanguly, 176, 196, 199
Black Sea Fleet, 6, 25, 127, 147, 193
Burutin, Alexander, 125
Bush, George W., 8
Caspian Pipeline Consortium, 187, 191
Caucasus, 17, 64, 107
North Caucasus, 99, 107. See also Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia
Central Asia. See Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan
Central Asia Center (CAC) pipeline, 187, 191
Chechnya, 18, 107, 254
China, 18, 20, 25, 47, 172, 176, 184, 187, 248, 254
Churkin, Vitaly, 54, 131
Cold War, 1, 6–8, 13, 36, 42, 211, 254–55
Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), 175, 186, 196, 221
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