Christopher Davidson - After the Sheikhs - The Coming Collapse of the Gulf Monarchies

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The Gulf monarchies (Saudi Arabia and its five smaller neighbours: the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain) have long been governed by highly autocratic and seemingly anachronistic regimes. Yet despite bloody conflicts on their doorsteps, fast-growing populations, and powerful modernising and globalising forces impacting on their largely conservative societies, they have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Obituaries for these traditional monarchies have frequently been penned, but even now these absolutist, almost medieval, entities still appear to pose the same conundrum as before: in the wake of the 2011 Arab Spring and the fall of incumbent presidents in Egypt, Tunisia, and Libya, the apparently steadfast Gulf monarchies have, at first glance, re-affirmed their status as the Middle East s only real bastions of stability. In this book, however, noted Gulf expert Christopher Davidson contends that the collapse of these kings, emirs, and sultans is going to happen, and was always going to. While the revolutionary movements in North Africa, Syria, and Yemen will undeniably serve as important, if indirect, catalysts for the coming upheaval, many of the same socio-economic pressures that were building up in the Arab republics are now also very much present in the Gulf monarchies. It is now no longer a matter of if but when the West s steadfast allies fall. This is a bold claim to make but Davidson, who accurately forecast the economic turmoil that afflicted Dubai in 2009, has an enviable record in diagnosing social and political changes afoot in the region.

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Muscat, 3, 22, 26, 181, 209–210

Muslim Brotherhood, 14, 189, 194, 203, 223, 267, 271

Al-Mustaqbal, newspaper, 217

Al-Nahyan, Ahmad bin Saif, 248

Al-Nahyan, Abdullah bin Zayed, 268

Al-Nahyan, dynasty, 21, 30, 36

Al-Nahyan, Hamad bin Hamdan, 128

Al-Nahyan, Khalifa bin Zayed, 30, 47, 53, 90, 96, 100, 103, 127, 187, 270

Al-Nahyan, Mansour bin Zayed, 92, 248

Al-Nahyan, Muhammad bin Hazza, 243

Al-Nahyan, Muhammad bin Zayed, 14, 30, 103, 172, 187, 242, 268

Al-Nahyan, Nahyan bin Mubarak, 261

Al-Nahyan, Shakhbut bin Sultan, 245

Al-Nahyan, Zayed bin Khalifa, 21, 243

Al-Nahyan, Zayed bin Saif, 243

Al-Nahyan, Zayed bin Sultan, 30, 52, 68, 74, 82, 100, 166

Najd, 18

Nakheel, 47, 92

Al-Naqi, Hamad, 272

Al-Nashiri, Abd Al-Rahim, 267

National, The, newspaper of Abu Dhabi, 148

National Action Charter, of Bahrain, 32, 139–140, 206

National Bonds Corporation, of the UAE, 263

National Consensus Dialogue, of Bahrain, 208

National Consultative Council, of Sharjah, 37

National fronts, 3, 193

National Human Resource Development and Employment Authority, of the UAE, see Tanmia

National Iranian Oil Company, 174

National Liberation Front, The, 239

National Media Council, 149

Naxalites, 250

Nepal, 65

Nevada, 159

New East Manchester, 94

New Orleans, 94

New York, 85, 92, 96, 104, 163

New York University, 104, 255

Nexter Corporation, 168

Nightclubs, 164

Al-Nimr, Nimr, 272

Non-governmental organisations, 56, 66, 149

Nonoo, Houda Ezra Ebrahim, 251

North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, 171, 226

North Field, 41, 173

Northwestern University, 104, 255

Norway, 95

Al-Nouri, Said, 261

Al-Nuaimi, family, 22

Nuclear power, 79, 90, 94, 170–173, 175, 185, 255

Official development assistance, 81–83, 85

Olgiy, 85

Olayan Group, 178

Olympic Games, 93

Oman Air, 122

Omantel, 269

Omran, Muhammad, 268

Orange Movement, of Kuwait, 30

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 200

Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, 3, 115, 239

Al-Otaiba, Yousef, 263

Ottoman Empire, 18–20, 22, 73, 162, 242

Oxford Centre of Islamic Studies, 101

Oxford University, 101

Pakistan, 22, 38, 65–66, 83–84, 126, 141, 165, 207, 214, 222, 250, 261

Palestine, 64, 79, 81–82, 175

Palestinian Authority, 82

Palm Islands, 124

Paris, 75, 85, 91, 94–95, 153

Paris St. Germain, football club, 91

Partex, 42

Pashtun, 87

Pavilion de Flore, of Le Louvre, 95

Pearl, The, 162

Pearl diving, 23

Pearl Roundabout, in Manama, 206

Peninsula and Orient Steam Navigation Company, 43

Peninsula Shield Force, 180, 182, 206

People’s Daily newspaper, of China, 109

Perpetual Maritime Truce, 20–21, 116

Personal identification number, 150

Petitions, 27, 32, 36, 51, 71, 102, 122–123, 139, 142–143, 152, 212, 221–223, 225

Petrochemical Industries, of Kuwait, 45

Petrochina, 107–108

Petroleum Concessions Ltd., 24

Petroleum Development Oman, 42

Philippines, 75

Pirates, 83

Planning Council, of Qatar, 57

Poetry, 69–70

Pope Benedict XVI, 268

Popular Bloc, of Bahrain, 38

Popular Front for the Liberation of the Occupied Arabian

Gulf, 3, 193

Port Rashid, 164

Port Zayed, 164, 166

Portugal, 22

Powell, Colin, 85

Predators, see Drones

Prince Sultan Airbase, 163

Princeton University, 103

Professional Golfers Association, of Europe, 93

Prostitution, 69, 159–162

Al-Qaeda, 80, 83, 172, 185, 194, 196, 252

Al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula, 194, 252

Al-Qahtani, Muhammad, 9/11 terrorist, 270

Al-Qahtani, Muhammad Fahad, Saudi human rights activist, 216, 234

Al-Qasimi, Abul-Aziz bin Muhammad, 31, 266

Al-Qasimi Building, Durham, 100, 254

Al-Qasimi Building, Exeter, 100

Al-Qasimi, dynasty, 21–22

Al-Qasimi, Khalid bin Muhammad, 31

Al-Qasimi, Khalid bin Saqr, 31, 266

Al-Qasimi, Saqr bin Muhammad, 31

Al-Qasimi, Saqr bin Sultan, 31

Al-Qasimi, Saud bin Saqr, 31, 266

Al-Qasimi, Sultan bin Kayed, 271

Al-Qasimi, Sultan bin Muhammad, 31, 100, 124, 236, 259

Qatar Airways, 122

Qatar Charity, 56–57

Qatar Environment and Energy Research Institute, 77

Qatar Financial Centre, 47

Qatar Foundation, 91, 104, 251

Qatar Holdings, 90–91

Qatar Investment Authority, 43, 91, 178, 248

Qatar Mosque, 75

Qatar Petroleum Company, 41, 108

Qatar Primary Material Company, 45

Qatar Science and Technology Park, 46

Qatar Sports Investments, 91

Qatar Steel, 45

Qatar Television, 161

Qatar Tourism Authority, 133

Qatar University, 54, 72

Qatargas, 41, 257

Qatari-Eritrean Hall of Friendship, 83

Qatif, 213, 215, 261

Qilu, 106

Qingdao province, of China, 101–108

Queen Elizabeth 2 cruise liner, 92

Queen’s Household Cavalry, 102

Ramadan, 57, 148, 157–158, 160

Ra’s al-Khaimah, 21–22, 31–32, 35–36, 46, 123, 131–133, 184–186, 235–236, 247, 271

Ras Laffan, 45

Rasgas, 41

Al-Rashid, family, 18

Reach Out to Asia, 84

Red Sea, 44

Reform and Social Guidance Association, of the UAE, 225

Refusal Front, 175

Renaissance Day, of Oman, 38

Rentierism, 6–8, 11, 17, 25, 49–50, 57–58, 60–61, 63, 74, 76, 80, 229–230

Research and Development Corporation, 77

Research in Motion, 150

Revolution in Qatar, forum, 237

Revolutionary Guard, of Iran, 171

Rice, Condoleezza, 90

Riffa, 20

Rio Tinto, 248

Riyadh, 18, 28, 130, 180, 188–189, 214, 233–234

Riyadh Chamber of Commerce and Industry, 130

Al-Roken, Muhammad, 271

Rose of Dhofar, 211

Rotterdam, 95

Royal Air Force, 165

Royal Dutch Shell, 41–42, 114

Royal Mecca Clock Tower, 162

Ruling bargains, 10–11, 49–50, 66, 79, 229, 231, 241

Ruling Family Council, of Oman, 39, 186

Russia, 85, 150, 167–168, 256

Rutgers University, 103

Ruwais, 248

Rwanda, 86

Saadiyat island, 96–97

Al-Sabah, Abdullah, 19

Al-Sabah, Abdullah Al-Salim, 28

Al-Sabah, Ali Al-Khalifah Al-Athbi

Al-Sabah, dynasty, 18–19, 22, 29–30, 40, 260

Al-Sabah, Jabar Al-Ahmad Al-Jabar, 28, 89

Al-Sabah, Jabar Al-Mubarak Al-Hamad, 270

Al-Sabah, Meshaal Al-Malek, 272

Al-Sabah, Mubarak (the Great), 19, 29

Al-Sabah, Muhammad, 242

Al-Sabah, Nasser bin Muhammad, 29, 67, 101, 216

Al-Sabah, Saad Al-Abdullah, 28

Al-Sabah, Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jabar, 28, 127, 270

Al-Sabah, Salim Al-Ali, 260

Sahwa, awakening movement, 194

Bin Said, Abu Hilal Ahmed, 22

Al-Said, Azzam bin Qais, 22

Al-Said, dynasty, 22, 26, 38–39

Al-Said, Qaboos bin Said, 38–39, 59, 127–128, 186, 241, 269

Al-Said, Said bin Taimur, 38, 239

Al-Said, Sayyid Fahd bin Mahmoud, 250

Al-Said, Sayyid Haitham bin Tairq, 250

Al-Said, Sultan Said bin Sultan, 22

Al-Said, Tariq bin Taimur, 38, 266

Al-Said, Turki bin Said, 22

Al-Said, yacht, 128

Sainsburys, 90

Salalah, 24, 128

Salalah Free Zone, 46, 128, 210

Salmaniya Hospital, 54

Sanctions, against Iran, 169, 174

Sandhurst Academy, 101–102

SAMA (Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority), 43

Samsung, 263

Sarkozy, Nicolas, 89, 166, 182

Bin Saud, Abdul-Aziz, 18, 26–27, 189

Al-Saud, Abdullah bin Abdul-Aziz, 26–27, 127, 188–189, 244

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