Christopher Davidson - After the Sheikhs - The Coming Collapse of the Gulf Monarchies

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The Gulf monarchies (Saudi Arabia and its five smaller neighbours: the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain) have long been governed by highly autocratic and seemingly anachronistic regimes. Yet despite bloody conflicts on their doorsteps, fast-growing populations, and powerful modernising and globalising forces impacting on their largely conservative societies, they have demonstrated remarkable resilience. Obituaries for these traditional monarchies have frequently been penned, but even now these absolutist, almost medieval, entities still appear to pose the same conundrum as before: in the wake of the 2011 Arab Spring and the fall of incumbent presidents in Egypt, Tunisia, and Libya, the apparently steadfast Gulf monarchies have, at first glance, re-affirmed their status as the Middle East s only real bastions of stability. In this book, however, noted Gulf expert Christopher Davidson contends that the collapse of these kings, emirs, and sultans is going to happen, and was always going to. While the revolutionary movements in North Africa, Syria, and Yemen will undeniably serve as important, if indirect, catalysts for the coming upheaval, many of the same socio-economic pressures that were building up in the Arab republics are now also very much present in the Gulf monarchies. It is now no longer a matter of if but when the West s steadfast allies fall. This is a bold claim to make but Davidson, who accurately forecast the economic turmoil that afflicted Dubai in 2009, has an enviable record in diagnosing social and political changes afoot in the region.

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Bosnia, 86

Brazil, 75, 256

Britain (contemporary power), 92–94, 99–102, 105, 127, 150, 165, 167, 184–185

British East India Company, 19–20

British Empire, 17–26, 28, 31–33, 37–38, 40–41, 43, 68–69, 72, 99, 139, 183, 229, 243

British Petroleum, 41, 244

British Society for Middle East Studies, 100

Bughnah, Feras, 272

Bulgaria, 88

Buraimi, 180–181

Burgan oilfield, 114

Burj Al-Arab, 46

Burj Dubai, 47

Burj Khalifa (formerly Burj Dubai), 47, 122, 124, 185

Burns, William, 90

Bushire, 243

Cairo, 3, 206, 212, 228

Caltex, 40

Cambridge University, 100–101

Camel racing, 71

Camp Al-Jabar, 164

Camp Mirage, 166

Camp Ali Salem, 164

Camp Patriot, 164

Campagnie Française des Petroles, 41–42

Canada, 63, 75, 102, 150, 166, 186, 195

Capitalism, 6–8

Carlton Tower hotel, 92

Carnegie Mellon University, 104

Central Bank of the Gulf Co-operation Council, 180

Central Bank of Lebanon, 82

Central Bank of Oman, 38

Central Bank of Qatar, 91

Central Intelligence Agency, of the United States, 164–165, 194

Central Mining and Investment, 41

Central System for Resolving Illegal Residents’ Status, see Bidoon Committee

Chad, 89

Chamber of Commerce and Industry, of Qatar, 34

Chamber of Commerce and Industry, of Riyadh, 130

Chateau Fontainebleau, 96

Chelsea Barracks, 91

Cheney, Dick, 90

Chery Automobile, 108

Children’s National Medical Center, in Washington DC, 94

China Islam Association, 109

China National Petroleum Corporation, 107

China, People’s Republic of, 3, 43, 79, 85, 104–109, 150, 167

China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation, see Sinopec

China Plan, 107

Christianity, 75, 82, 95, 103

Christmas, 25, 158–159, 161

Chrysler Building, 92

Churches, 75, 82

Civil society, 7, 192, 201, 210, 220–223

College of William and Mary, 103

Colombia, 23

Commonwealth Games, 92

Communism, 3

Consultative Council, of Oman, 38–39, 211

Consultative Council, of Saudi Arabia, 27, 188

Co-operation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, see Gulf Co-Operation Council

Cornell University, 53, 102–103

Cosmo Oil Company, 106

Council of Ministers, of Oman, 38

Council of Ministers, of Qatar, 33

Council of Ministers, of the United Arab Emirates, 35, 246

Council of Ministers, of Saudi Arabia, 26

Council of Saudi Chambers of Commerce and Industry, 119–120

Council of Senior Religious Scholars, of Saudi Arabia, 26, 28, 213–215

Coups, 13, 27, 31, 38, 111, 124, 135, 145, 156, 182–184, 186, 188, 217, 231, 233, 235, 260, 266

Credit Suisse, 178

Crescent Petroleum, 174

Cuba, 3

Curzon, Lord George, 243

CyberTrust, 149

Dammam, 40

Darfur, 89

Darwish, Abdulsalam, 271

Al-Deraiwish, Hosam, 272

Desert Storm, Operation, 28

Dhafrah, airbase, 165–166

Al-Dhaheri, Hadef Jawan, 246

Dhahran, 40

Dhofar, 3–4, 38, 211

Dhofar Liberation Front, 3, 193

Dibba, 22, 25

Djibouti, 89

Doha, 20, 88–89, 133, 146, 153, 178, 226, 228, 237, 245, 251, 253

Doha Agreement, 88

Doha Centre for Media Freedom, 153, 228, 262

Doha Debates, 146, 237

Doha Summer Festival, 133

Dolphin pipeline, 114

Doosan, 263

Dow Chemicals, 45

Drones, 165, 168

Drugs, 121, 149, 162, 246

Dubai Air Show, 168

Dubai Healthcare City, 46

Dubai Holdings, 47, 159

Dubai Inc., 37, 63

Dubai International Airport, 164–165

Dubai International Capital, 92, 106

Dubai International Financial Centre, 46

Dubai International Holy Koran Award Committee, 74

Dubai Internet City, 46

Dubai Knowledge Village, 46, 103

Dubai Media City, 46, 147, 149

Dubai Oriental Finance Company, 108

Dubai Ports World, 43, 108, 164

Dubai School of Government, 200

Dubai World Trade Centre, 176

Durham University, 100–101

E-Government, 197, 267

Eastern Province, of Saudi Arabia, 18, 62, 143, 213–215, 233, 235, 272

Economic Development Board of Bahrain, 33

Edinburgh University, 101

Education City, in Qatar, 104

Egypt, 3, 13, 18, 60, 65, 73, 89, 132, 189, 192, 199, 201–206, 221, 226–228

Electricity, 113–114, 116

Emarat, 116

Emirates airline, 92, 122–123, 158

Emirates Aluminium, 45

Emirates Centre for Human Rights, 237, 273

Emirates Foundation for Philanthropy, 100

Emirates National Oil Company, 117

Emirates Palace, hotel, 46, 159

Emirates Petroleum Products Company, 117

Emirates Solidarity Project, 82

Emirates Stadium, in London, 92

Environmental Agency of Abu Dhabi, 77

Eid festivals, 158, 187

Eithad Airways, 92, 122–123

Eritrea, 83, 89

Essex Hotel, The, 254

Ethiopia, 89

Etisalat, 268, 270

Executive Affairs Authority, of Abu Dhabi, 92, 255

Exeter University, 99

Expatriates, 6, 8, 11–12, 46, 49–52, 54–55, 58–59, 61–64, 72, 75–76, 97, 104, 112, 115–116, 118–120, 125–128, 130, 135, 137, 141, 143–146, 149, 151, 155–157, 161, 171–172, 175, 184, 194, 197, 229, 241, 251, 257

External Aid Liaison Bureau, of the UAE, 81

Exxon-Mobil, 41

Facebook, 69, 197–198, 200, 212, 222, 234, 237

Fakhro, Jamal, 271

Falconry, 68–71

Family Card, 137

Fanar, see Qatar Mosque

Al-Farooq Mosque, 74

Fateh offshore field, 244

Fatwas, 28, 213–214

Ferrari, 92

Feudalism, 7–8, 10

Fifth Fence, The, 217

Fihri, Al-Tayeb Al-Fassi, 268

First World War, 18–19

Foreign Direct Investment, 44–45, 48, 58, 106, 156, 231

Federal National Council, of the United Arab Emirates, 36–37, 224–246

Fédération International de Football Association, 93, 125

Fertil, 45

Financial Harbour, of Bahrain, 46

Finland, 77

Formula One, 92–93, 122, 206, 209

France, 23, 41, 88, 91, 96, 102, 158, 166–168, 178, 182

Free trade agreements, 180

Friendship Bridge, 55

Fujairah, 25, 123, 130, 164, 244–245, 247, 251

Fujian province, of China, 107

Fujian Petrochemical and Refining Company, 107

Futaisi Island, 128

Gaddafi, Muammar, 3, 13, 38, 129, 226

Gang of the Dragon, 209

Gas to liquid fuels, 124

Gaza, 176–178

General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, 168

General Electrics, 263

Georgetown University, 103–104, 255

Germany, 23, 41, 105, 128, 169

Al-Ghaddami, Abdullah, 242

Bin Ghayth, Nasser, 221

Ghubash, Said Ahmad, 258

Gillani, Yousaf Raza, 270

Globe Roundabout, in Sohar, 209

Goodrich Corporation, 168

Google Earth, 146

Grand Mosque, of Mecca, 163

Green March, of Oman, 209

Gross domestic products, 1, 45, 47–48, 81, 131, 156, 167–168, 226, 239

Grosvenor Square, 91

Guangdong province, of China, 107

Guangzhou Museum of Overseas History, 109

Guantanamo Bay, 270

Guggenheim, 96–97

Guiness Book of Records, The, 71

Gulf Air, 122–123

Gulf Civil Society Forum, 201

Gulf Co-operation Council, 156, 179–182, 204–208, 211, 218, 231

Gulf News, newspaper, 176

Gwadar, 22, 37

Al-Habtoor, Khalaf, 268

Hail, 18

Haima, 210

Al-Haj, Youssef, 269

Halliburton, 46, 165

Halliday, Fred, 4–5

Hamas, 82

Hamdan bin Muhammad bin Rashid Sports Complex, 265

Al-Hamili, Muhammad bin Dhaen, 244

Al-Hammadi, Hassan Muhammad Hassan, 268

Hamriyyah, 22, 25

Haq Movement for Liberty and Democracy, 141–142

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