Federico Dominguez - The Uprising of the Pandemials

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The Pandemials are the young people who will be between the ages of 10 and 26 after the pandemic is over. They will be faced with societies devastated by inequality, the end of meritocracy, loneliness, digital automation, the depletion of natural resources and a myriad of environmental crises that will deeply affect life on our planet.
In addition to lacking the economic prosperity enjoyed by their parents –which for example granted them access to university educations or to more comfortable lives– this generation will also face fewer job opportunities, discouraging prospects and a growing need to radicalize their complaints.
Covid-19 has not only aggravated this scenario, which was already a serious challenge even before the Crisis of 2020. The asymmetries exposed by the pandemic accelerated predicted timelines, and cycles such as Inequality, Mother Nature, Technology and the Human Spirit will collapse during the Decade of Turbulence (2020-2030).
As a result, Pandemials will expect much more from governments, and when their neglect is not addressed, they will rebel. They will go straight after the technocratic elites and the foundations of the capitalist system. The lack of solutions to these problems from liberal governments will push them to rekindle old models and left-wing utopias.
Liberalism –the ideology of freedom, human dignity, and science, which enabled the greatest reduction in poverty in human history– is now dominated by exclusive, self-serving technocratic elites. The complex system they created can only be enjoyed by a select few, while common citizens become ever more alienated from their governments.
The end of a society based around the middle class and meritocracy is happening amidst a crisis of human spirit, and worsened by the toxic relationship between technological development and the crumbling of certain social institutions. New rituals and forms of relating to each other have not yet taken their place.
In his book The Uprising of the Pandemials, financial specialist and economic analyst Federico Dominguez employs his clear prose and clever analysis of the available information to convey the elements needed for understanding this new generation, the challenging decade that lies ahead and the personal, collective, economic and business changes that will be crucial in overcoming the turbulent times on the horizon.

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The Uprising of the Pandemials

Federico Dominguez

The Uprising of the Pandemials

Human Cycles and the Decade of Turbulence

Editores Argentinos

Table of Contents

HALF TITLE

INTRODUCTION

PART 1 THE HUMAN CYCLES

THE HUMAN CYCLES

THE CYCLE OF INEQUALITY

THE CYCLE OF MOTHER NATURE

THE TECHNOLOGICAL CYCLE

THE CYCLE OF THE HUMAN SPIRIT

PART 2 PANDEMIALS

THE GENERATION OF REBELLION

THE UPRISING

PANDENOMICS

PART 3 LIBERALISM

LIBERALISM IN CRISIS

CONCLUSION

EPILOGUE

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

REFERENCIAS

Domínguez, FedericoThe uprising of the pandemials : Human cycles and the decade of Turbulence / Federico Domínguez. - 1a ed - Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires : Editores Argentinos y hnos. , 2021.Libro digital, Amazon KindleArchivo Digital: descargaISBN 978-987-47882-2-11. Ecología. 2. Pandemias. 3. Geopolítica. I. Título.CDD 577.09

© 2020, Federico Dominguez

© 2020, Editores Argentinos

Photography: Florencia Castillo

Cover design: Gonzalo Lercari

Translation: Lucas Martinez and Tara Sulllivan

Book design: Gustavo Lencina

Editores Argentinos

www.eeaa.com.ar

info@eeaa.com.ar

Primera edición en formato digital: diciembre de 2020

Versión: 1.0

Digitalización: Proyecto451

Queda rigurosamente prohibida, sin la autorización escrita de los titulares del “Copyright”, bajo las sanciones establecidas en las leyes, la reproducción parcial o total de esta obra por cualquier medio o procedimiento, incluidos la reprografía y el tratamiento informático.

Inscripción ley 11.723 en trámite

ISBN edición digital (ePub): 978-987-47882-2-1

For Flor

INTRODUCTION

“This is the most dangerous time for our planet.”

–Stephen Hawking, December 2016

Liberty has been rare in human history. Until the arrival of modern liberal states, people had little to no rights and lived mainly in rural areas of extreme poverty. This began to change with the Glorious Revolution of 1688, when the British Parliament put a limit on the monarchy and assured a series of rights, laying the groundwork for individual liberties, economic growth, and the rise of the liberal state as we know it. One century later, the American and French Revolutions consolidated and solidified the process begun in the United Kingdom.

Liberalism, the founder of the modern world, is a doctrine that promotes liberties –civil and economic– and opposes absolutism and conservatism by stating that all human beings hold the same moral value and rights. It is a commitment to human dignity, small government, individual liberties, science, debate, and constant reform in the pursuit of human progress. Modern liberal states led humanity into a cycle of increasing prosperity rooted in technological advances, freedom, democracy, capitalism, and an uninterrupted drop in poverty. For developed countries, the most prosperous period came after World War II, during which people from every social background could aspire to a good job, affordable housing, and quality education to help them progress.

During those years of prosperity (1945–1980), the greatest achievement was meritocracy, a set of assured rights paired with an economic environment that allowed anyone who worked hard to achieve economic prosperity. Meritocracy is a political system in which economic assets and political power are distributed based on talent, effort, and achievement, rather than inherited wealth or social class. The ideal of pure meritocracy is challenging: there will always be those who are dealt a better hand for economic, cultural, or even generational reasons. However, the system’s goal is to guarantee a baseline of opportunities that will allow greater social mobility.

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 marked the culmination of the cycle of increased prosperity and expansion of liberties that had begun more than two centuries earlier. A period of relative stagnation followed this milestone. It expanded worldwide and continues to this day. Currently, liberalism is dominated by exclusive technocratic elites who have created a complex system that can only be exploited by a select few and distances citizens from their governments. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the absence of an adversary led liberal governments to lose their way; they stopped taking care of the common people, stopped investing in science, and entered an era of disenchantment. Governments are ultimately made up of human beings, many of which adopted the highly individualistic and less collective spirit that became the hallmark of the 1980s and 1990s. The social order of many Western countries broke its promise of offering opportunities to all. The tacit agreement between citizens and their governments began to fall apart. The pandemic has only deepened this crisis of representation and, during events such as these, it is common for constituents to turn to a leader figure who will solve their problems.

The Covid-19 pandemic has not only aggravated this scenario, which posed a serious challenge even before the Crisis of 2020, but it has also exposed asymmetries and accelerated predicted timelines, heralding the collapse of cycles such as Inequality, Mother Nature, Technology, and Human Spirit during the decade of 2020.

The precariat is the social class that emerged from this period of disenchantment. It is made up of a large number of people facing stagnant incomes, job instability, and academic over-qualification for the jobs they can get. Guy Standing, professor at the University of London, defined three subgroups within the precariat . The first subgroup is comprised of the atavists. They have a low level of education, were raised in families and communities that have experienced deindustrialization, and long for the past. Among them are the many supporters of Donald Trump, Jair Bolsonaro, Marie Le Pen, and the Italian Northern League. They tend to constitute the ethnic majority of society. Next are the nostalgics , made up of ethnic minorities and immigrants who do not feel recognized as citizens or heard by the state. In practice, they are usually regarded as second-class citizens. They are prone to voting for centrist politicians such as the Democrats in the United States. The third group is constituted by the progressives ; they foresee a lost future. They are the younger generation who went to university believing in the promise made to them by their families, communities, and teachers: if you work hard, you will have a guaranteed future. (1) But as adults, they realized things are much harder than they expected. Many of them vote for candidates such as Bernie Sanders, and parties such as Podemos in Spain, the Workers’ Party (PT) in Brazil, and Kirchnerism in Argentina.

The precariat no longer belongs to a community that offers security and identity, a sense of solidarity, reciprocity, and mutual support. They cannot even fully exercise their rights as citizens because the system created by the technocracy is so complex that only the richest people have the necessary resources to enjoy it. Their economic distress is mitigated by complex welfare programs aimed at keeping them afloat and dependent on the technocrats but never actually resolving their underlying problems. Governments do the bare minimum to keep them out of poverty.

In consequence, a large part of the political spectrum looks to the past. Make America Great Again , the slogan that touches the hearts of those who long for the United States of 1945–1989, which they see as the country’s best years; populist governments in Latin America who promote statist economic policies akin to those of the 1940s and 1950s; Brexit with its Let’s Take Back Control slogan struck a chord among those who yearn for the mighty Britain of strong leaders the likes of Winston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher.

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