Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

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Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis: A Handbook for Healthcare Research Split into five parts, the book chapters take the reader through the journey from initiating and planning IPD projects to obtaining, checking, and meta-analysing IPD, and appraising and reporting findings. The book initially focuses on the synthesis of IPD from randomised trials to evaluate treatment effects, including the evaluation of participant-level effect modifiers (treatment-covariate interactions). Detailed extension is then made to specialist topics such as diagnostic test accuracy, prognostic factors, risk prediction models, and advanced statistical topics such as multivariate and network meta-analysis, power calculations, and missing data.
Intended for a broad audience, the book will enable the reader to:
Understand the advantages of the IPD approach and decide when it is needed over a conventional systematic review Recognise the scope, resources and challenges of IPD meta-analysis projects Appreciate the importance of a multi-disciplinary project team and close collaboration with the original study investigators Understand how to obtain, check, manage and harmonise IPD from multiple studies Examine risk of bias (quality) of IPD and minimise potential biases throughout the project Understand fundamental statistical methods for IPD meta-analysis, including two-stage and one-stage approaches (and their differences), and statistical software to implement them Clearly report and disseminate IPD meta-analyses to inform policy, practice and future research Critically appraise existing IPD meta-analysis projects Address specialist topics such as effect modification, multiple correlated outcomes, multiple treatment comparisons, non-linear relationships, test accuracy at multiple thresholds, multiple imputation, and developing and validating clinical prediction models Detailed examples and case studies are provided throughout.

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If planning to use IPD from a repository, it is important to map out which repository holds data from each trial, and to investigate current repository data release processes and timescales. This should include finding out the duration for which IPD will be made available in the repository, as access may be granted only within a specified time period, which could cause logistical problems if using IPD from different repositories or sources, and any charges involved. It is particularly important to find out whether data can be provided for use outside the confines of the repository, or whether analyses must be done within the repository platform.

Many repositories do not allow IPD to be exported, and so require analyses to be done within a secure space on their site, yet not all trials required for an IPD meta‐analysis project will be included within the same, or indeed any, repository. This precludes the central IPD meta‐analysis research team from creating a harmonised ‘master database’ that contains IPD from all trials and housing it locally. Importing IPD from other trials into the repository (to create a master database to be used to perform the IPD meta‐analysis within the repository space) may not be acceptable to other trial investigators. A similar issue occurs when a trial agrees to share IPD, but only allows the IPD meta‐analysis team to access it via a secure server at the trial’s host institution.

If IPD have to be accessed at more than one location, this forces a two‐stage meta‐analysis ( Chapter 5) whereby IPD for each trial are firstly analysed separately within the confines of their host repository or database to generate aggregate data, and then these aggregate data are exported and combined in a meta‐analysis in the second stage. Whilst this is often entirely appropriate, there are circumstances where a one‐stage approach ( Chapter 6), which analyses IPD from all studies simultaneously, is preferable, especially when outcomes are rare ( Chapter 8) or when developing risk prediction models ( Chapter 17). In future, sharing data across repositories or distributed syntheses (where a central data processor communicates with several data hubs, passing statistical information back and forth, without exposing the raw data at each site) may help get round such problems. 77But for now, a one‐stage approach is rarely feasible if trials’ IPD are stored in different databases and locations. Therefore, at the outset, careful consideration must be given as to whether the trial IPD stored in repositories and the conditions of use will support the planned IPD synthesis. If restricted access would preclude or weaken the planned synthesis, repositories can be approached to see whether an exception can be made (with a careful explanation of why analysing within the repository space is not adequate).

3.5 Establishing a Team with the Right Skills

As for any research project, having the right team in place is vital. Before embarking on an IPD meta‐analysis project, it is important to think carefully about what skills and resources will be required for successful completion, and to calculate the associated costs if funding will be sought. Given the work involved, necessary skillset and timescale, IPD meta‐analysis projects require dedicated resources and would be very difficult to conduct in reviewers’ spare time. In particular, they generally require a broader range of skills and greater expertise in certain areas than is needed for a conventional review using aggregate data. A strong team will include researchers with experience in systematic review methods; information specialists; those who are able to manage, check and harmonise participant‐level data using data management and statistical software; statisticians able to implement appropriate statistical methods using suitable statistical software; and clinicians and health professionals with expertise in the topic area.

Assuming that a collaborative group approach is to be taken, the importance of skills in establishing and managing collaboration, negotiating provision of data, navigating politics and brokering a group consensus interpretation of findings cannot be overstated. A successful IPD meta‐analysis research team will, therefore, include members with strong communication and interpersonal skills who are able to build rapport and exercise tact and diplomacy when needed. Active involvement of senior researchers and topic experts with an appropriate track record can improve the likelihood of success, as they can enhance credibility and may gain or broker easier access to conversations with senior data holders and trial investigators.

The role of the research lead (usually the principal investigator for the IPD project) is particularly important. In addition to being responsible for the overall design and delivery of the project, they will usually be responsible for overseeing project management and the contributions of other team members, and will often undertake much of the negotiation and external communications activity (which can be very time consuming for some projects). Depending on their background, they may be directly responsible for supervising (or undertaking) the analyses, and at least should work with the senior statistician to agree the analyses required and subsequently on interpretation of results. Given the nature of the role, the research lead will be involved at all stages of the projects and more of their time will be required than for a principal investigator role in other types of systematic review. Ideally, they should have previous experience of completing IPD meta‐analysis projects, or have considerable support from someone who does.

IPD meta‐analysis projects require expertise in handling, coding and checking participant‐level data, skills that are perhaps more similar to those used in data management within clinical trials and other primary research studies than those used in a conventional systematic review. As standardisation and data checking require developing code and running analysis, it is important that the person performing this role has strong quantitative skills, although this may be a different person from the team statistician.

As is evident from Parts 2to 5of this book, the types of statistical analyses that can be performed with IPD are considerably more complex than those that are usually carried out for conventional meta‐analyses of existing aggregate data, and there is a risk of unknowingly introducing analytic errors, for example by accepting default options in statistical packages or when adapting existing code. Therefore, it is vital that the project team includes a statistician with experience of relevant analytic techniques, preferably someone who been part of an IPD meta‐analysis project previously, or familiar with appropriate modelling of large data from clustered sources such as healthcare practices or hospitals. They should also be familiar with the importance of building relationships with trial investigators and how this relates to data assembly, and recognise that analysis is not a stand‐alone activity. For this reason, ‘drafting in’ a statistician to focus only on the analysis is not advised; the statistician must be part of the central team, even if during some periods their involvement is less than at others. It can work well to have a highly experienced statistician, with an established track record in IPD meta‐analysis, to specify appropriate methods and oversee and guide the day‐to‐day work of a more hands‐on but potentially less experienced statistician.

3.6 Advisory and Governance Functions

It is usually helpful to establish an advisory group during the planning stage, as having a strong advisory group that endorses the IPD meta‐analysis project may add to credibility, be helpful in persuading trial investigators to participate, and strengthen funding applications.

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