Raphael Kaplinsky - Sustainable Futures

2 Chapter 3 Figure 3.1Top 1% personal wealth share in emerging and rich countries, 1913–2015 Figure 3.2Changes in global inequality, 1980–2016 Figure 3.3Share of labour in total national income, high-income economies, 1960–201... Figure 3.4aLife-expectancy and inequality, 22 OECD economies Figure 3.4bLife-expectancy and inequality, 50 US states Figure 3.5Health and social problems and degree of inequality, inter-country differences Figure 3.6Index of status inequality and degree of inequality Figure 3.7Index of social participation and degree of inequality Figure 3.8Index of civic participation and degree of inequality Figure 3.9Belief in conspiracy theories, US and UK Figure 3.10Inflows of migrants, selected high-income economies, 2006–2016 (millions) Figure 3.11Immigrant share of population and far-right voting %

3 Chapter 4 Figure 4.1The Holocene in historical perspective: not just warm temperatures but stable te... Figure 4.2The Great Acceleration Figure 4.3Take, Make, Use and Waste Figure 4.4Energy equivalent global output of different energy forms, 1800–2019 (ter... Figure 4.5The growth in global total resource supply, 1970–2010 (million tonnes) Figure 4.6Index of energy efficiency in the EU, 1990–2014 (1990 = 100) Figure 4.7Variation of CO 2emissions from transport in the EU, 1990 and 2010 (m... Figure 4.8US advertising expenditure, 1900–2007 ($m) Figure 4.9Rising frequency of natural disasters, 1980–2017

4 Chapter 5 Figure 5.1Six phases of techno-economic paradigms Figure 5.2US corporate profitability as share of domestic income, 1951–1966 and 196... Figure 5.3US corporate profitability as share of domestic income, 1990–2007 (post-t...

5 Chapter 6 Figure 6.1Six phases of techno-economic paradigms

6 Chapter 7 Figure 7.1Broadband connections per 100 inhabitants, 2005–2018 Figure 7.2The global share of different energy sources, 1971–2014 Figure 7.3Frequency and cost escalation of electricity infrastructure projects (based on a... Figure 7.4The Zambezi river basin Figure 7.5Global average annual net capacity additions by energy source Figure 7.6Wheat and barley crop yields in UK agriculture, 1948–2017 (tonnes/hectare... Figure 7.7Sources of productivity growth in UK agriculture, 1973–2019 (1973 = 100) Figure 7.8‘Tom’ gathering data on soil and weeds

7 Chapter 8 Figure 8.1Levels of circularity: the 10 Rs Figure 8.2Total UK tax receipts, 2018–2019 (£bn)

1 Cover

2 Table of Contents

3 Begin Reading

1 i

2 ii

3 iii

4 iv

5 vii

6 viii

7 ix

8 x

9 xii

10 xiii

11 xiv

12 xv

13 xvi

14 xvii

15 xviii

16 1

17 2

18 3

19 4

20 5

21 6

22 7

23 8

24 9

25 10

26 11

27 12

28 13

29 14

30 15

31 16

32 17

33 18

34 19

35 20

36 21

37 22

38 23

39 24

40 25

41 26

42 27

43 28

44 29

45 30

46 31

47 32

48 33

49 34

50 35

51 36

52 37

53 38

54 39

55 40

56 41

57 42

58 43

59 44

60 45

61 46

62 47

63 48

64 49

65 50

66 51

67 52

68 53

69 54

70 55

71 56

72 57

73 58

74 59

75 60

76 61

77 62

78 63

79 64

80 65

81 66

82 67

83 68

84 69

85 70

86 71

87 72

88 73

89 74

90 75

91 76

92 77

93 78

94 79

95 80

96 81

97 82

98 83

99 84

100 85

101 86

102 87

103 88

104 89

105 90

106 91

107 92

108 93

109 94

110 95

111 96

112 97

113 98

114 99

115 100

116 101

117 102

118 103

119 104

120 105

121 106

122 107

123 108

124 109

125 110

126 111

127 112

128 113

129 114

130 115

131 116

132 117

133 118

134 119

135 120

136 121

137 122

138 123

139 124

140 125

141 126

142 127

143 128

144 129

145 130

146 131

147 132

148 133

149 134

150 135

151 136

152 137

153 138

154 139

155 140

156 141

157 142

158 143

159 144

160 145

161 146

162 147

163 148

164 149

165 150

166 151

167 152

168 153

169 154

170 155

171 156

172 157

173 158

174 159

175 160

176 161

177 162

178 163

179 164

180 165

181 166

182 167

183 168

184 169

185 170

186 171

187 172

188 173

189 174

190 175

191 176

192 177

193 178

194 179

195 180

196 181

197 182

198 183

199 184

200 185

201 186

202 187

203 188

204 189

205 190

206 191

207 192

208 193

209 194

210 195

211 196

212 197

213 198

214 199

215 200

216 201

217 202

218 203

219 204

220 205

221 206

222 207

223 208

224 209

225 210

226 211

227 212

228 213

229 214

230 215

231 216

232 217

233 218

234 219

235 220

236 221

237 222

238 223

239 224

240 225

241 235

242 236

243 237

244 238

245 239

‘Faced with what some describe as extinction-level threats, Kaplinsky dares to say this is no time to despair. With his considerable expertise as a developmental economist, he shows that trying to tick off each problem as it comes along is doomed to failure. Part history, part manifesto, Sustainable Futures calls for an integrated approach which brings together the resources of government and the power of the people. Those who want to avoid the mistakes of the past and re-make our future should read this book.’

George Alagiah, BBC Journalist and Author

‘Dedicated to “all the grandchildren”, Sustainable Futures is written in the hope of contributing to a pathway out of the current dreadful state of our world and into a sustainable future for them. Kaplinsky provides a theoretical and conceptual framework to better understand the current crises and to extract lessons for the future from epochal moments in history and sets out an ambitious agenda for change. He has indeed provided a compelling and hopeful message “for the grandchildren”.’

Keith Bezanson, former President of Canada’s International Development Research Centre

‘A most inspirational and enlightening book by a leading development scholar and thinker, analysing courses and actions to build an economically, socially and environmentally sustainable future. A book with historical and analytical depth as well as a global and forward vision which is much needed at a moment when the world is at crossroads.’