Кит Йейтс - Математика жизни и смерти. 7 математических принципов, формирующих нашу жизнь

Squire, P. (1988). Why the 1936 Literary Digest poll failed. Public Opinion Quarterly, 52 (1), 125. https://doi.org/10.1086/269085

Simon, J. L. (2003). The Art of Empirical Investigation. Transaction Publishers.

Literary Digest. (1936). Landon, 1,293,669; Roosevelt, 972,897: Final Returns in ‘The Digest’s’ Poll of Ten Million Voters. Literary Digest, 122, 5–6.

Cantril, H. (1937). How accurate were the polls? Public Opinion Quarterly, 1 (1), 97. https://doi.org/10.1086/265040 Lusinchi, D. (2012). ‘President’ Landon and the 1936 Literary Digest poll. Social Science History, 36 (01), 23–54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S014555320001035X

Squire, P. (1988). Why the 1936 Literary Digest poll failed. Public Opinion Quarterly, 52 (1), 125. https://doi.org/10.1086/269085

Blog post from polarizingthevacuum, 8 September 2016. Retrieved 21 March, 2019, from https://polarizingthevacuum.wordpress.com/2016/09/08/rod-liddle-saiddo-the-math-so-i-did/#comments

Federal Bureau of Investigation. (2015). Crime in the United States: FBI – Expanded Homicide Data Table 6. Retrieved from https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2015/crime-in-the-u.s. – 2015/tables/expanded_homicide_data_table_6_murder_race_and_sex_of_vicitm_by_race_and_sex_of_offender_2015.xls

U. S. Census Bureau. (2015). American FactFinder – Results. Retrieved from https://factfinder.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/ 15_5YR/DP05/0100000US

Swaine, J., Laughland, O., Lartey, J., & McCarthy, C. (2016). The counted: people killed by police in the US. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/series/counted-us-police-killings

Tran, M. (2015, October 8). FBI chief: ‘unacceptable’ that Guardian has better data on police violence. The Guardian. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/oct/08/fbi-chief-says-ridiculous-guardianwashington-post-better-information-police-shootings

Federal Bureau of Investigation. (2015). Crime in the United States: Full-time Law Enforcement Employees. Retrieved from https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2015/crime-in-the-u.s. – 2015/tables/table-74

Careless pork costs lives (англ.). Заголовок обыгрывает слоган британского пропагандистского плаката времен Второй мировой войны Careless talk costs life (Легкомысленна болтовня убивает); советский аналог того же периода – «Болтун – находка для шпиона!» – Прим. пер.

World Cancer Research Fund, & American Institute for Cancer Research. (2007). Second Expert Report | World Cancer Research Fund International. http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/4841/1/4841.pdf

Newton-Cheh, C., Larson, M. G., Vasan, R. S., Levy, D., Bloch, K. D., Surti, A., Wang, T. J. (2009). Association of common variants in NPPA and NPPB with circulating natriuretic peptides and blood pressure. Nature Genetics, 41 (3), 348–53. https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.328

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Galesic, M. (2010). How to reduce the effect of framing on messages about health. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 25 (12), 1323–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-010-1484-9

Sedrakyan, A., & Shih, C. (2007). Improving depiction of benefits and harms. Medical Care, 45 (10 Suppl 2), S23–S28. https://doi.org/ 10.1097/MLR.0b013e3180642f69

Эффект фрейминга (от англ. frame – рамка, обрамление) – когнитивное искажение, при котором форма подачи информации влияет на ее восприятие человеком. – Прим. ред.

Fisher, B., Costantino, J. P., Wickerham, D. L., Redmond, C. K., Kavanah, M., Cronin, W. M., Wolmark, N. (1998). Tamoxifen for prevention of breast cancer: report of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project P-1 Study. JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 90 (18), 1371–88. https://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/90.18.1371

Passerini, G. and Macchi, L. and Bagassi, M. (2012). A methodological approach to ratio bias. Judgment and Decision Making, 7 (5).

Denes-Raj, V., & Epstein, S. (1994). Conflict between intuitive and rational processing: When people behave against their better judgment. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 66 (5), 819–29. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.66.5.819

Faigel, H. C. (1991). The effect of beta blockade on stress-induced cognitive dysfunction in adolescents. Clinical Pediatrics, 30 (7), 441–5. https://doi.org/10.1177/000992289103000706

Hrobjartsson, A., & Gotzsche, P. C. (2010). Placebo interventions for all clinical conditions. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, (1). https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD003974.pub3

Событие известно, как «Резня в «Луби»». – Прим. ред.

Lott, J. R. (2000). More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime and Gun Control Laws (2nd edn). University of Chicago Press.

Lott, Jr., J. R., & Mustard, D. B. (1997). Crime, deterrence, and right‐to carry concealed handguns. The Journal of Legal Studies, 26 (1), 1–68. https://doi.org/10.1086/467988

Plassmann, F., & Tideman, T. N. (2001). Does the right to carry concealed handguns deter countable crimes? Only a count analysis can say. The Journal of Law and Economics, 44 (S2), 771–98. https://doi.org/10.1086/323311

Bartley, W. A., & Cohen, M. A. (1998). The effect of concealed weapons laws: an extreme bound analysis. Economic Inquiry, 36 (2), 258–65. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465–7295.1998.tb01711.x

Moody, C. E. (2001). Testing for the effects of concealed weapons laws: specification errors and robustness. The Journal of Law and Economics, 44 (S2), 799–813. https://doi.org/10.1086/323313

Levitt, S. D. (2004). Understanding why crime fell in the 1990s: four factors that explain the decline and six that do not. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18 (1), 163–90. https://doi.org/10.1257/ 089533004773563485

Grambsch, P. (2008). Regression to the mean, murder rates, and shall-issue laws. The American Statistician, 62 (4), 289–95. https://doi.org/10.1198/000313008X362446

Себастьян Горка проработал в качестве заместителя помощника президента и стратегического аналитика в администрации Трампа с января 2017 г. по 25 августа 2017. По его собственным утверждениям, он подал в отставку, поскольку чиновники саботировали программу Трампа. – Прим. пер.

Факт-чекинг – проверка информации в научно-популярных и публицистических текстах. – Прим. ред.