Ron Rosenbaum - How the End Begins

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T This is how the end begins.
In this startling new book, bestselling author Ron Rosenbaum gives us a wake-up call about this new age of peril and delivers a provocative analysis of how close—and how often—the world has come to nuclear annihilation and why we are once again on the brink.
Rosenbaum tracks down key characters in our new nuclear drama and probes deeply into their war game strategies, fears, and moral agonies. He travels to Omaha’s underground nuclear command center, goes deep into the missile silo complexes beneath the Great Plains, and holds in his hands a set of nuclear launch keys.
Along the way, Rosenbaum confronts the missile men as well as the general at the very top of our nation’s nuclear command system with tough questions about the terrifying assumptions underlying it. He reveals disturbing Haws in our nuclear launch control system, suggests remedies for them, shows how the old Cold War system of bipolar deterrence has become dangerously unstable, and examines the new movement for nuclear abolition.
Having explored the depths of Hitler’s evil and the intense emotion of Shakespeare’s tragedies, Rosenbaum now has produced a powerful, urgently needed work that challenges us: Can we undream our nightmare?

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144

Ibid.

145

Author interview; Ron Rosenbaum, Explaining Hitler (Random House: New York, 1998), pp. 300–18.

146

Ibid., p. 314.

147

P. D. Smith, Doomsday Men: The Real Dr. Strangelove and the Dream of the Superweapon (London: Penguin, 2007).

148

William J. Broad, “Russia Has ‘Doomsday’ Machine, U.S. Expert Says,” New York Times, October 8, 1993, www.nytimes.com/1993/10/08/world/russia-has-doomsday-machine-us-expert-says.html.

149

Ron Rosenbaum, “The Return of the Doomsday Machine?,” Slate, August 31, 2007, www.slate.com/id/2173108.

150

David E. Hoffman, The Dead Hand (New York: Doubleday, 2009).

151

Quoted in Smith, Doomsday Men, p. 434.

152

Edward R. Landa and John R. Nimmo, “Soil History: The Life and Scientific Contributions of Lyman J. Briggs,” Soil Science Society of American Journal 67, no. 3 (May/June 2003): 681–93, http://soil.scijournals.org/cgi/reprint/67/3/681.

153

Smith, Doomsday Men, p. 21.

154

Author interview.

155

Smith, Doomsday Men, p. 434.

156

“Russia’s Doomsday Machine,” New York Times, Oct. 8, 1993.

157

Michael R. Gordon “Tug of War, with a Twist, on Secrets,” New York Times, May 15, 1986, p. B14, www.nytimes.com/1986/05/15/us/tug-of-war-with-a-twist-on-secrets.html. See also “Our Nation’s Nuclear Warning System: Will It Work if We Need It?”, Testimony of Bruce G. Blair before the House Committee on Government Operations, 99th Congress, September 26, 1985, http://armedservices.house.gov/comdocs/testimony/105thcongress/97-3-13Blair.htm.

158

Author interview.

159

www.annapolitkovskaya.com/putinsrussia001.htm.

160

For jailings, Ellen Barry, “Investigation of Jail Death Is Criticized in Russia,” New York Times, April 23, 2010, p. A4, www.nytimes.com/2010/04/23/world/europe/23moscow.html?scp=2&sq=Ellen%20Barry&st=cse.

161

Statement of Bruce Blair to Government Operations Subcommittee.

162

www.fas.org/irp/program/collect/rivet_joint.htm.

163

James Hasik, “The Crash of the Aerial Common Sensor,” January 23, 2006, www.slideshare.net/jhasik/the-crash-of-the-acs.

164

Jeremi Suri, “The Nukes of October: Richard Nixon’s Secret Plan to Bring Peace to Vietnam, Wired, February 25, 2008, www.wired.com/politics/security/magazine/16-03/ff_nuclearwar.

165

Ron Rosenbaum, “The Subterranean World of the Bomb,” Harper’s, March 1978, p. 98.

166

Unedited draft of letter provided to author by Bruce Blair.

167

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 53, no. 6 (November 1997): 23, http://books.google.com/books?id=vgwAAAAAMBAJ&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_v2_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=false.

168

The problem of a high-altitude, nuclear airburst-generated electromagnetic pulse (EMP) continues to plague defense planners, particularly those concerned with nuclear command, control, and communications. A July 22, 2004, report of the congressionally established Committee to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack concluded gloomily that there was no way to assess the degree of damage a high-altitude blast—which creates a sudden shock wave of highly charged electronic particles that impact on all metallic (and, obviously, electronic) devices on the surface of the planet beneath it. And that protective measures could only be tested by exploding a high-altitude nuclear weapon—thus in effect must go untested. The problem was first recognized in the 1960s and made widely public in a series by New York Times science reporter William Broad in a 1980 issue of Science magazine. The implications for this continuing unknown factor on all the highly calibrated targeting plans of every nuclear power are obvious: nobody knows whether any given pattern of launches will be disabled completely or to what extent by EMP: Dr. William R. Graham, Chairman, Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack, www.iwar.org.uk/iwar/resources/emp/07-22-2004-emp-hearing.htm.

169

Walter J. Boyne, Beyond the Wild Blue: A History of the U.S. Air Force, 1947–1997, 2nd ed. (New York: St. Martin’s, 2007), p. 299.

170

Joe St. Saveur, “Cyber War, Cyber Terrorism and Cyber Espionage, v1.2,” PowerPoint presentation at IT Security Conference, Fargo North Dakota, October 21–22, 2008, slide 15, www.uoregon.edu/~joe/cyberwar/cyberwar.ppt.

171

Valery E. Yarynich, C3: Nuclear Command, Control, Cooperation (Washington, D.C.: Center for Defense Information, 2003), www.cdi.org/program/document.cfm?documentid=1503&programID=32&from_page=../friendlyversion/printversion.cfm.

172

See for instance the diagram and description of the Russian nuclear command structure on pp. 151–58.

173

C3, “fig.37 PERIMETR system,” p. 158.

174

Author interview, December 9, 2009.

175

David E. Hoffman, The Dead Hand (New York: Doubleday, 2009), pp. 61–63.

176

William Bennett Jones, “Operation RYAN, Able Archer 83, and Miscalculation: The War Scare of 1983,” for the University of California, Santa Barbara, International Graduate Student Conference on the Cold War, April 2008, www.wilsoncenter.org/topics/docs/08%2004%2001%20Nathan%20Jones%20Operation%20RYAN%20Able%20Archer%2083%20and%20Miscalculation%20IGSCCW.pdf.

177

Hoffman, The Dead Hand, p. 95.

178

Author interview.

179

F. S. Nyland, “Some Potential Risks at Lower Levels of Strategic Nuclear Weapon Arsenals,” June 1998, U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, Washington, D.C., www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA348992&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf; Bruce G. Blair, The Logic of Accidental Nuclear War (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution, 1993).

180

“100 Nuclear Wars,” unpublished draft given to author.

181

Ron Rosenbaum, “A Real Nuclear Option for the Nominees: Averting Accidental Nuclear War in Two Easy Steps,” Slate, April 9, 2008, www.slate.com/id/2191104.

182

Blair quoted in ibid.

183

Ibid.

184

Ibid.

185

Bruce G. Blair, De-Alerting Strategic Forces (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press, 2004).

186

Yarynich, “100 Nuclear Wars,” p. 2.

187

Michael Graham Richard, “The Risks of Failure of Nuclear Deterrence,” online post, November 26, 2008, http://michaelgr.com/2008/11/26/risks-failure-nuclear-deterrence.

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