Ron Rosenbaum - How the End Begins

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T This is how the end begins.
In this startling new book, bestselling author Ron Rosenbaum gives us a wake-up call about this new age of peril and delivers a provocative analysis of how close—and how often—the world has come to nuclear annihilation and why we are once again on the brink.
Rosenbaum tracks down key characters in our new nuclear drama and probes deeply into their war game strategies, fears, and moral agonies. He travels to Omaha’s underground nuclear command center, goes deep into the missile silo complexes beneath the Great Plains, and holds in his hands a set of nuclear launch keys.
Along the way, Rosenbaum confronts the missile men as well as the general at the very top of our nation’s nuclear command system with tough questions about the terrifying assumptions underlying it. He reveals disturbing Haws in our nuclear launch control system, suggests remedies for them, shows how the old Cold War system of bipolar deterrence has become dangerously unstable, and examines the new movement for nuclear abolition.
Having explored the depths of Hitler’s evil and the intense emotion of Shakespeare’s tragedies, Rosenbaum now has produced a powerful, urgently needed work that challenges us: Can we undream our nightmare?

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95

Prepared Statement, Dr. Keith B. Payne, President, National Institute for Public Policy, Faculty, Georgetown University, School of Foreign Service, National Security Studies Program, http://74.125.45.132/search?q=cache:hR9zDUI19G8J: www.globalsecurity.org/space/library/congress/1999_h/99-10-13payne.htm+%22Keith+Payne%22+%22ABM+Treaty%22&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us.

96

Josiane Gabel, “The Role of U.S. Nuclear Weapons After September 11,” Washington Quarterly 28, no. 1 (Winter 2004–2005): 181–95, http://muse.jhu.edu/login?uri=/journals/washington_quarterly/v028/28.1gabel.html.

97

Author interview, July 2008.

98

350-pound author: Jeremy J. Stone, “Every Man Should Try: Adventures of a Public Interest Advocate” (New York: Public Affairs, 1999), p. 5, http://catalytic-diplomacy.org/everymanPDFs/Ch1.pdf.

99

Keith Payne, “Examination of U.S. Strategic Forces Policy,” Strategic Studies Quarterly 3, no. 1 (Spring 2009), www.au.af.mil/au/ssq/2009/Spring/payne.pdf.

100

Jonathan Medalia, Congressional Research Service, “Nuclear Warheads: The Reliable Replacement Warhead Program and the Life Extension Program,” RL33748, updated December 3, 2007, www.fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL33748.pdf.

101

Jonathan Medalia, Congressional Research Service, “The Reliable Replacement Warhead Program,” RL32929, July 27, 2009, www.fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL32929.pdf.

102

The most comprehensive and informed speculation about the highly classified issue can be found here: www.armscontrolwonk.com/1814/fogbank.

103

“Navy Never Received Refurbished W-76 Warhead,” Global Security Newswire, May 29, 2009, http://gsn.nti.org/gsn/nw_20090529_9664.php.

104

Rosenbaum, “The Subterranean World of the Bomb,” pp. 92–98.

105

James E. King, Jr., “Strategic Surrender: The Senate Debate and the Book,” review of Strategic Surrender: The Politics of Victory and Defeat by Paul Kecskemeti (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1958), www.jstor.org/pss/2009201.

106

Paul Kecskemeti Strategic Surrender: The Politics of Victory and Defeat (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1958), pp ix, 287, http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=5341716.

107

Rosenbaum, “The Subterranean World of the Bomb.”

108

Author interview.

109

Author interview with SAC escort.

110

Author interview.

111

Author interview.

112

First Annual Strategic Deterrence Symposium, p. 8.

113

“Air Force Leaders Fired over Nuke Handling,” Arms Control Today, July/August 2008, www.armscontrol.org/act/2008_07-08/AirForce.

114

Author interview.

115

“U.S. to Ride Out Any Big Attack,” Herald-Journal, May 4, 1961, http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1876&dat=19610304&id=8m8sAAAAIBAJ&sjid=rcsEAAAAIBAJ&pg=5721,822315.

116

First Annual Strategic Deterrence Symposium, program, p. 16.

117

Author interview.

118

Author interview.

119

Author interview, September 2009.

120

Daniel Ellsberg, Secrets: A Memoir of Vietnam and the Pentagon Papers (New York: Penguin, 2002), pp. 434–44.

121

National Security Archive: “New Evidence on the Origins of Overkill,” November 21, 2007; William Burr, “The Nixon Administration, the SIOP, and the Search for Limited Nuclear Options, 1969–1974,” National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book 173, posted November 23, 2005, www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB173/index.htm.

122

Schelling was Ellsberg’s Harvard Ph.D. thesis adviser on “uncertainty,” later to be called “ambiguities of warning” in nuclear game theory strategy: Ellsberg, Secrets, pp. 233–34.

123

Coined by Fred M. Kaplan in his book with that title: books.google.com.

124

Jeffrey Kimball, “Did Thomas C. Schelling Invent the Madman Theory?,” History News Network, October 24, 2005; Tyler Cowen, “Thomas Schelling: New Nobel Laureate,” February 28, 2005, History News Network, http://hnn.us/articles/17183.html.

125

See Burke papers discussion, chapter 9.

126

Daniel Ellsberg, “The Theory and Practice of Blackmail” (Santa Monica: RAND Corporation, 1968; reprint), www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P3883/.

127

Ellsberg, Secrets, p. 33.

128

Ron Rosenbaum, “The Subterranean World of the Bomb,” Harper’s, March 1978, p. 99.

129

Author interview.

130

Defense.gov. News transcript: “Amb. Edelman’s Remarks,” www.defense.gov/Transcripts/Transcript.aspx?TranscriptID=3739.

131

Lynn Eden, “The Physics and Politics of Mass Fire,” in Whole World on Fire: Organizations, Knowledge, and Nuclear Weapons Devastation (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2004), pp. 221–52, www.fas.harvard.edu/~hsdept/bios/jasanoff.html.

132

Author interview.

133

“The Challenge of Peace: God’s Promise and Our Response,” pastoral letter reprinted as appendix to The Bishops and the Bomb: Waging Peace in a Nuclear Age (Garden City: Doubleday, 1983).

134

John Forge, “Proportionality, Just War Theory and Weapons Innovation,” Science and Engineering Ethics 15, no. 1 (Spring 2009), www.springerlink.com/content/x5n36t2500384727/.

135

Mark R. Amstutz, International Ethics: Concepts, Theories, and Cases in Global Politics, 3rd ed. (Lanham, Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield, 2008), http://books.google.com/books?id=_V6f8j9pgDoC&printsec=frontcover&source=gbs_v2_summary_r&cad=0#v=onepage&q&f=false.

136

Transcript, “The Language of War,” Center for Defense Information, www.cdi.org/adm/Transcripts/345/.

137

Author interview.

138

Author interview.

139

Author interview.

140

“Ike Delegated Approval for Nuclear Strike, Files show,” Los Angeles Times, March 21, 1998, http://articles.latimes.com/1998/mar/21/news/mn-31132.

141

International Review of the Red Cross 316, February 28, 1997, pp. 92–102, www.icrc.org/web/eng/siteeng0.nsf/html/57JNFS.

142

Barry Penn Hollar, “U.S. Methodism Deals with War and Peace,” article from project “The Theology of Peace and War,” www.mupwj.org/methodism.htm.

143

Eric David, “The Opinion of the International Court of Justice on the Legality of the Use of Nuclear Weapons,” International Review of the Red Cross 316 (February 28, 1997): 21–34, www.icrc.org/web/eng/siteeng0.nsf/htmlall/57JNFL.

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