Schelling, Thomas, 33, 135, 174
Schofield, Norman, 13 (note 3), 123
Schraeder, Peter, 394
Schultz, Kenneth A., 33, 78, 79, 113, 219
Schwartz, Thomas, 393
Segura, Gary, 209
Seinfeld, John, 271
Senese, Paul D., 519
Shakespeare, William, 479
Shorto, Russell, 485
Signorino, Curtis, 519
Sikkink, Kathryn, 26, 298
Simmons, Beth A., 197, 298, 311, 364
Singer, J. David, 24, 180, 195
Siverson, Randolph M., 24, 29, 33, 81, 202, 219, 229 (note 5), 230 (table), 231 (note 7), 231 (table), 234 (figure), 237, 308, 348, 446, 447, 449, 449 (note 4), 450, 452, 453 (figure)
Skinner, Kiron, 501
Slantchev, Brnaislav L., 169, 173, 214, 221, 450
Smith, Alastair, 29, 33, 76 (figure), 77, 79, 80 (note 4), 81, 85, 113, 136, 158, 163, 205 (note 1), 214, 219, 220–221, 222, 229 (note 5), 230 (table), 231 (note 7), 231 (table), 232, 234 (figure), 234 (note 8), 236, 236 (figure), 237, 243, 305, 308, 348, 384 (note 1), 392, 393, 395, 405, 405 (note 6), 413, 446, 447, 449, 449 (note 4), 450, 452, 453 (figure), 462
Snidal, Duncan, 23
Snyder, Jack, 446
Speer, Albert, 236
Sprinz, Detlef F., 282, 312
Spruyt, Hendrik, 520
Stam, Allan C., III, 168–169, 220, 231, 446, 447, 448, 450
Starr, Harvey, 53 (note 1)
Stedman, Stephen, 465
Stenquist, Paul, 277
Stephens, Evelyn Huber, 518
Stephens, John, 518
Stephenson, Jack, 277
Stephenson, Matthew, 251, 261, 262
Stokman, Frans N., 124
Strange, Susan, 198
Stuckey, John, 195
Sullivan, Michael P., 202
Svolik, M., 237, 451
Tabares, Tressa, 24
Tarar, Amar, 222–223, 450
Tate, Neal, 311
Taylor, Bruce, 251, 394
Taylor, Michael, 521
Tetlock, Philip, 125
Thompson, William R., 62
Thomson, Robert, 124
Tingley, Dustin H., 394 (note 5)
Tsebelis, George, 111, 118, 123
Tversky, Amos, 136
Tzu, Sun, 452
Urpeleainen, Johannes, 269
Uzan, Marc, 387
Vasquez, John A., 59
Walsh, Bryan, 286
Walter, Barbara, 428
Waltz, Kenneth N., 10, 23, 24, 101, 144, 176, 187–188, 195, 317
Ward, Michael D., 521
Watson, Julie, 347
Wayman, Frank W., 522
Weingast, Barry R., 242, 257, 260
Weiss, E. B., 312
Wendt, Alexander, 26, 197, 263, 312
Werner, Suzanne, 33
Wesiberg, Herbert, 18
Wilson, Julian, 284
Wong, Edward, 455
World Wildlife Federation, 286
Wright, Quincy, 519
Young, Oren, 311
Zagare, Frank C. 9
Zanardi, Maurizio, 222
Zeitzoff, Thomas, 57
Zelikow, Philip, 19 (note 4), 211, 212
Zhang, Guang, 394
Zinnes, Dina, 59
Index
Abatement costs, 280–281
Abbas, Mahmoud, 69, 428, 440
Absolute advantage, 328–334
Abu Ghraib prison, 300
Accountability, 78, 92, 309
Actors, definition of, 102 (note 1)
Adams, John, 488
Adverse selection, 65, 74, 76, 221
Afghanistan, 209
regional politics, 502–503
Soviet invasion, 500–501
strategic decision making, 30
U.S. retaliation against terrorists, 68, 457, 481 (note 2), 502
Africa
colonialism, 498–499
foreign aid to, 390, 393
See also specific countries
Agency problem, 65, 313
Agreements. See International organizations and law
Agricultural subsidies, 378
AIG bailout, 198
Aircraft manufacturing, 328–329, 343–344
Air traffic control, 242
Al-Assad, Bashar, 27, 84, 199, 210, 402, 412–413
Albania, 208
Algeria, 473
Al-Jaafari, Ibrahim, 455
Alliances
cooperation without, 53
counterfactual reasoning, 158–159
neorealism view, 24, 176
See also North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
Allocation of resources. See Distribution of resources
Al-Maliki, Nouri, 455
Al Qaeda, 67–68, 209, 300, 401, 418, 422, 438, 481 (note 2), 502
Al-Sadr, Muqtada, 455
Aluminum industry, 343–344, 376
American Indians, 297, 487, 490
American Revolution, 30, 404, 488
Anarchy
game theory compared, 144–145
median voter theorem, 101
neorealist assumption, 23
Anecdotes and rhetoric, 98
Annex I countries, 283–284
Appeasement, 67, 209, 222, 495
Arab-Israeli conflict. See Palestinian-Israeli conflict
Arab League, 84
Arab Spring, 27, 502, 503
Arab states. See Middle East; specific countries
Arafat, Yasser, 428
Aramco (Arabian American Oil Co.), 472
Arbitrage, 326
Argentina, 209–211, 324, 368
Arms control, 72, 162 (note 2), 222, 500
Arms races
theoretical analyses, 39, 40, 51
war relationship with, 237
Arrow, Kenneth, 14, 22
Arrow’s impossibility theorem, 10–11
Asia
historical developments, 481, 482, 489–490, 495–496, 501
See also specific countries
Asia Minor, 481, 483, 501
Assassination, 491
Assembly, freedom of, 26, 80, 296, 301, 302, 303, 305, 307, 403
Asset allocation. See Distribution of resources
Asset specificity, 372
Assumption(s)
as elements in constructing theories, 9, 40–41
logical consistency, 42–44
of rationality, 6–10
truth and falsity in, 44–47
Astrological readings, 48
Asymmetric information, 169
See also Uncertainty
Atom bomb, 496
Audience costs, 77, 211–220
crisis escalation game, 214 (figure)–219
selection effects of, 219–220
Australia, 307
Austria
1866 system-transforming war, 55, 487, 490
environmental concerns, 283
historical developments, 486, 487, 490
Austro-Hungarian Empire
creation of, 490
dissolution of, 192, 492
national capability of, 194 (table)
World War I, 178 (figure), 179, 491
Authoritarian states. See Autocracy; Dictatorships; Domestic institutions
Autocracy
average term of office, 76 (figure)–77, 314, 315
factor mobility and, 378–379
motivations for warfare, 229–230 (table), 233
nation building and, 463–464 ( see also Democratization)
war conduct and outcomes, 450–451 (figure) ( see also Democratic peace)
war effort, 232–237
See also Dictatorships
Automobile trade restrictions, 346
Auxiliary arguments, 59
Aztec civilization, 357, 380
Backward induction, 139, 150–151, 153–155, 158, 216–217, 237, 252
Bacon, Francis, 486
Bahrain, 402, 503
Balance of power, 24, 29–30, 61
as promoting warfare, 200
theories of war and, 181–182, 193–195
Bali, 286, 502
Bali Roadmap, 273
Balkan states, 208
Bangladesh, 368
Bargaining theory, 226
Battle of Agincourt, 479
Battle of Jena, 489
Battle of the Bulge, 223
Battle of the Sexes game, 145 (table)–147
Battle of Trafalgar, 489
Battle of Waterloo, 489
Bayes’ rule, 160, 225 (note 4), 425, 426
Bay of Pigs invasion, 218, 500
Bear Stearns, 198
Begin, Menachem, 500
Belarus, 27
Belgium, 262, 307 (note 1), 473, 495
Beliefs, 6, 135
See also Perceptions
Benefit/cost analyses, 48–50, 116, 125, 126, 156
Berlin, 497
Berlin Wall, 188, 191, 501
Best reply, 151
Better Business Bureau (BBB), 260, 299
Bias, 26, 27, 51, 52, 53, 159
Bilateral agreements, 251, 258–259
Bin Laden, Osama, 67, 68, 401, 422
Biological weapons, 224, 225
Bipartisanism, 78, 79
Bipolar systems
neorealism hypothesis, 24
stability analyses, 177–182
Bismarck, Otto von, 490
Blockades, 212–213, 500
Blocking coalitions, 183–184, 192
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