David Elliott - Renewable Energy

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The use of renewables is spreading rapidly. Over a quarter of global electricity is already generated from solar, wind, hydro and biomass energy. With costs falling significantly, renewables are booming, helping to avoid the major climate change risks associated with fossil fuel use in power stations, homes and vehicles. But can we get rid of all of these dirty energy sources – and nuclear power, as well – and deliver 100% of our energy from renewables? Or are renewable energy systems inherently unreliable and expensive, given the need to deal with their variability? <br /><br />In this timely analysis, leading energy expert David Elliott tackles these issues head on and asks to what extent renewables can deliver a technologically and economically viable energy future. Exploring both the progress and problems of renewables against a backdrop of rising energy demand, he argues that, on balance, they do seem to be living up to their promises. With renewables rapidly expanding across the globe, and China now leading the pack, a renewable future could really be on the horizon.

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Dedication

To Godfrey Boyle, a friend, colleague and visionary, much missed

Renewable Energy

Can it Deliver?

David Elliott

polity

Copyright page

Copyright © David Elliott 2020

The right of David Elliott to be identified as Author of this Work has been asserted in accordance with the UK Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

First published in 2020 by Polity Press

Polity Press

65 Bridge Street

Cambridge CB2 1UR, UK

Polity Press

101 Station Landing

Suite 300

Medford, MA 02155, USA

All rights reserved. Except for the quotation of short passages for the purpose of criticism and review, no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher.

ISBN-13: 978-1-5095-4163-8

ISBN-13: 978-1-5095-4164-5 (pb)

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Elliott, David, 1943- author.

Title: Renewable energy : can it deliver? / David Elliott.

Description: Cambridge, UK ; Medford, MA, USA : Polity, 2020. | Includes bibliographical references and index. | Summary: “An incisive introduction to renewable energy and its global expansion”-- Provided by publisher.

Identifiers: LCCN 2019052504 (print) | LCCN 2019052505 (ebook) | ISBN 9781509541638 | ISBN 9781509541645 (pb) | ISBN 9781509541652 (epub)

Subjects: LCSH: Renewable energy sources.

Classification: LCC TJ808 .E453 2020 (print) | LCC TJ808 (ebook) | DDC 333.79/4--dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019052504

LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019052505

The publisher has used its best endeavours to ensure that the URLs for external websites referred to in this book are correct and active at the time of going to press. However, the publisher has no responsibility for the websites and can make no guarantee that a site will remain live or that the content is or will remain appropriate.

Every effort has been made to trace all copyright holders, but if any have been overlooked the publisher will be pleased to include any necessary credits in any subsequent reprint or edition.

For further information on Polity, visit our website: politybooks.com

Acknowledgements

Thanks for some criticism, advice and input from Tam Dougan, editor of the long-running Renew newsletter, previously based at the Open University and now run independently.

Abbreviations

BECCSbioenergy with carbon capture and storageBECCUbioenergy with carbon capture and utilizationCCScarbon capture and storageCCUcarbon capture and utilizationCHPcombined heat and powerCO2carbon dioxideCSPconcentrated solar powerDACSdirect air capture and storageEROEIenergy return on energy investedGDPgross domestic productIEAInternational Energy AgencyIRENAInternational Renewable Energy AgencyLNGliquid natural gasLUT/EWGLappeenranta University of Technology/Energy Watch GroupNETnegative emissions technologyNGOnon-governmental organizationP2Gpower-to-gasPVphotovoltaic solar powerREN21Renewable Energy Network for the 21st CenturyWECWorld Energy Council

Preface

The use of renewable energy is spreading rapidly, and some claim that wind, solar and other renewables can and will become the dominant global energy sources within a few decades, thus avoiding major climate change problems. Concerns about climate change have been a key driver, leading to growing government support. However, the falling cost of renewable energy has also become a major driver. Some renewable energy technologies are now competitive across the board and costs continue to fall, with a new commercial dynamic adding impetus to their uptake. This book asks whether that trend will be sufficient to ensure that renewables expand fast enough globally to limit climate change to survivable levels without imposing high costs.

There are certainly many who doubt that this is possible. Some critics argue that renewable energy systems are inherently unreliable and expensive, and they look to nuclear power as an alternative non-fossil option, and possibly also to cleaning up fossil fuel use. This book seeks to meet these claims head on and asks to what extent renewables can deliver a technologically and economically viable energy future, and whether other technical options and energy policies to support them are also needed. It explores how important renewable energy technology might be by looking at its progress so far and at its future potential and problems in a context where other approaches are also on offer. Much has been promised from renewables and, so far, they seem to be living up to the promises as they accelerate ahead. This book looks at whether that can and will continue.

1 Introduction: All Change?

Renewables are no longer marginal but have become mainstream. This introductory chapter asks what has driven their recent success – and can it continue?

The dynamics of technological change

The way in which we have used technology to meet energy needs in the past has been a key cause of many environmental problems, including air pollution and climate change, but new technology, and new patterns of development based on it, may offer possible solutions to some of these problems. That said, while there is a strong case for looking at technology as a key factor in the attempt to move towards a more environmentally sustainable global future, technology is only one factor and possibly not the leading one. We may also need social and economic change.

However, there are interactive processes at work. The development and adoption of new technology is usually driven by social and economic forces, including profit. Environmental issues have also increasingly come to the fore and are having a direct effect. For example, climate concerns have been a stimulus for rapid recent renewable energy growth, along with air pollution issues, notably bad of late in some Asian cities. Something had to be done, and a switch to cleaner technologies was one option.

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