Tim Bruton - Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts

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An essential guide through the rapid evolution of PV technology
Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts: Understanding Market and Technology Drivers toward Terawatts Divided into 9 chapters, the book includes the following topics: Early History; The 1973 Oil crisis and the drive for alternative energies; The emergence in the 1980’s of the off grid PV market, the significant small scale PV consumer market and the establishment of a manufacturing industry; Advantages of silicon for solar cells; The evolution of PV installations; The history of the incentive programme for PV; Difficulties of alternative technologies in challenging silicon dominance; Current status of the silicon manufacturing technology and The future.
Key features:
An authoritative first-hand account of an emerging technology from laboratory to global significance for electricity generation by an industry expert. Provides a framework for policy makers on future trends in the PV industry. Examines the lessons learnt from the interaction of research laboratories, major industry and government. Signposts the route to future high efficiency silicon solar cells giving new researchers a background for further development. Highlights the critical success factors for the emerging alternative manufacturing technologies. An essential PV guide aimed at researchers and students in electrical engineering and physical sciences through the rapid evolution of PV technology to commercial viability and the challenges ahead for increased performance, efficiency and global deployment.

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1.2.4 The First Successful Market: Satellites

Although a terrestrial market was slow to materialise, Hoffman Electronics continued to do research to improve solar cell efficiency and reduce cost. By the end of 1957, it had demonstrated a 12.5% (1 cm 2)‐efficient silicon cell [33]. The discoveries at Bell Laboratories did not pass unnoticed amongst the military, and the US Army Signal Corps visited the company to evaluate the technology and concluded that the only viable application was for the power supply of an artificial earth satellite, which was a top secret project at the time [34]. This view was shared by the US Air Force – but not by the US Navy, which was eventually awarded the satellite project, and which had decided that silicon solar cells were ‘unconventional and not fully established’ [34]. Interdepartmental rivalries also played a part [35]. Nonetheless, when President Eisenhower first announced the satellite programme publicly in 1955, the New York Times published a sketch showing solar cells providing the power. Intense lobbying was carried out, particularly by Dr Hans Ziegler of the Signal Corps Research and Development Laboratory (USARDL), assisted by a decision to simplify the satellite’s mission and lighten its payload. Eventually, it was agreed that both a dry cell battery power supply and a solar‐powered transmitter would be used. Solar cells were tested by attaching them to the nose cones of two high‐altitude rockets and were shown to survive the rigours of the launch and of the space environment.

The first launch in December 1957 of the Vanguard TV‐3 satellite, depicted in Figure 1.6, failed, but the satellite itself was recovered [36]. The Vanguard 1, identical to the TV‐3, was successfully launched on 17 March 1958, with the expectation that it would remain in orbit for 2000 years (although later recalculation lowered this to 240 years). It is the oldest artificial satellite still orbiting the earth. Its scientific purpose as part of the International Geophysical Year was to obtain geodetic measurements of the shape of the planet. As predicted, the battery‐powered transmitter stopped working in June 1958, while the solar‐powered one continued until May 1964, when the last signals were received in Quito, Ecuador. The satellite was a 16.5 cm aluminium sphere weighing 1.48 kg. A 10 mW 108 MHz telemetry transmitter was powered by a set of mercury batteries, while a 5 mW 108.03 MHz beacon transmitter was powered by solar cells mounted in six 5 × 5 cm arrays, which gave a nominal power of 1 W, equating to an efficiency of 10% at 28 °C [34]. The cells were supplied by Hoffman Electronics.

Figure 16 Vanguard TV3 satellite on display at the Smithsonian Air and Space - фото 7

Figure 1.6 Vanguard TV‐3 satellite on display at the Smithsonian Air and Space Museum. Recovered from its failed launch on 6 December 1957 [36]

Source: Smithsonian National Air and space Museum (TMS A19761857000cp02)

This proved to be a watershed moment for photovoltaics, as the technology had proved itself a reliable long‐term source of electricity in a real application.

1.3 Photovoltaics Demonstrates Success

With the highly visible success of the Vanguard 1 mission, photovoltaics became the technology of choice for powering satellites. Nevertheless, some scepticism remained in place, and photovoltaics was seen purely as a stopgap measure until atomic batteries were developed. Others thought that while photovoltaics was acceptable for the simple early satellites, it would not provide enough power for the more sophisticated ones – not to mention space stations – envisaged for the future [37].

Immediate confirmation of the value of solar cells in space was given by the Russians, who launched the Sputnik 3 on 5 May 1958, also as part of the International Geophysical Year. In addition to a number of scientific instruments, Sputnik 3 included a solar cell‐powered transmitter [38]. The Russians had been monitoring Bell Laboratories’ work and had developed their own cells [37]. One Russian scientist stated in 1958 that ‘Solar batteries … would ultimately become the main source of power in space’. With hindsight, it is easy to see how these predictions became true. Space was the obvious market for solar cells. Solar insolation is 40% higher in space than on the earth’s surface. Satellites are the ultimate off‐grid market, with no maintenance possible after launch until at least the 1990s. They are free of the day–night constraints of terrestrial systems. Price is not an issue, given the high cost of launchings satellites. In any case, with increasing production volume and the general growth of the silicon semiconductor infrastructure, solar cell costs had fallen to $100/W by 1970.

Space offered some challenges, however. It had been noted by RCA Laboratories that in its experiments to produce electro‐voltaic cells, beta radiation from a Sr90‐Y90 source had seriously degraded solar cell performance [39]. Initially, figures for cosmic radiation were extrapolated from high‐altitude balloon flights, and it was calculated that it would take 105 years for there to be a 25% loss of cell efficiency. However, the Explorer 1 satellite, launched in 1958, found that in the yet to be recognised van Allen radiation belt, cosmic radiation was 104 times higher than that estimated from balloons, meaning unshielded solar cell life would be only 10 years [39]. This was mitigated by the discovery that a quartz or sapphire cover could significantly reduce the amount of radiation reaching a cell, prolonging its active life. Nevertheless, radiation resistance of solar cells became a major topic of research in subsequent years, and end‐of‐life cell efficiency (rather than efficiency at launch) a major consideration. Research at the USARDL found that reversing the structure of the original Bell Labs cells by producing a shallow n doped layer via phosphorus diffusion into a p type substrate increased radiation resistance by an order of magnitude [40]. As a result, n on p solar cells became the preferred structure for use in space. It was also much easier to create shallow diffusions with phosphorus than with boron.

The mid 1950s proved a fertile time for understanding of the p–n junction solar cell. Van Roosbroeck and Pfann predicted in 1954 that such a cell could reach 18% efficiency [41]. A later paper by Prince calculated junction depths and series resistance and concluded that 21.7% efficiency was the maximum possible in silicon, but that 10% was a practical limit [42]. This analysis enabled Bell Labs to move forward from its 6% cell to a 10% one, although incorrect data had been used for the absorption depth of solar photons. Prince also concluded that the optimum bandgap would lie between 1.0 and 1.6 eV. As well as providing the basis for further work in silicon, this also stimulated research into other semiconductors such as cadmium telluride, indium phosphide, and gallium arsenide [39]. Interestingly, a paper by Jackson demonstrated how solar cells of different bandgaps could be stacked on each other and that a tandem cell with bandgaps of 0.95, 1.34 and 1.91 eV would have an efficiency of 37% assuming the cell would operate as well as the single junction cell of that time [43]. These papers paved the way to the definitive work on ultimate solar cell efficiencies for semiconductors of different bandgaps, published by Schockley and Quiesser in 1961 [44]. This ultimate efficiency was modelled by assuming 100% absorption of incoming light and no losses within the solar cell. The main losses were imposed by the limitation of the semiconductor bandgap. Photons with energy less than the bandgap could not excite electrons into the conduction band, and the energy was absorbed as heat. Photons with energy above the bandgap created an electron–hole pair, but with excess energy in the conduction band, which had many empty lower‐energy states close to the band edge. The excited electrons lost their energy again by heat and occupied those empty energy states. Schockley and Quiesser found the optimum bandgap was 1.4 eV, giving an efficiency of around 30%. Finding ways to exceed this Shockley–Quiesser limit has been the topic of much research and is discussed in Chapters 7and 8.

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