Helga Nowotny - In AI We Trust

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One of the most persistent concerns about the future is whether it will be dominated by the predictive algorithms of AI – and, if so, what this will mean for our behaviour, for our institutions and for what it means to be human. AI changes our experience of time and the future and challenges our identities, yet we are blinded by its efficiency and fail to understand how it affects us.
At the heart of our trust in AI lies a paradox: we leverage AI to increase our control over the future and uncertainty, while at the same time the performativity of AI, the power it has to make us act in the ways it predicts, reduces our agency over the future. This happens when we forget that that we humans have created the digital technologies to which we attribute agency. These developments also challenge the narrative of progress, which played such a central role in modernity and is based on the hubris of total control. We are now moving into an era where this control is limited as AI monitors our actions, posing the threat of surveillance, but also offering the opportunity to reappropriate control and transform it into care.
As we try to adjust to a world in which algorithms, robots and avatars play an ever-increasing role, we need to understand better the limitations of AI and how their predictions affect our agency, while at the same time having the courage to embrace the uncertainty of the future.

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At one of the many conferences I attended on the future of AI, the organizers had decided to use an algorithm in order to maximize diversity within each group. The AI was also tasked to come up with four different haikus, one for each group. (Incidentally, the first time an AI succeeded in accomplishing such a ‘creative’ task was back in the 1960s.) The conference was a success and the discussions within each ‘haiku group’ were rewarding, but somehow I felt dissatisfied with the haiku the AI had produced for my group. So, on the plane on my way back I decided to write one myself – my first ever. With beginner’s luck the last line of my haiku read ‘future needs wisdom’.

A haiku is said to be about capturing a fleeting moment, a transient impression or an ephemeral sensation. My impressions were obviously connected to the theme of the conference, the future of AI. ‘Future needs wisdom’ – the phrase stuck with me. Which future was I so concerned about? Would it be dominated by predictive algorithms? And if so, how would this change human behaviour and our institutions? What could I do to bring some wisdom into the future? What I have learned on my journey in digi-land is to listen carefully to the dissonances and overtones and to plumb the nuances and halftones; to spot the ambiguities and ambivalences in our approaches to the problems we face, and to hone the ability to glide between our selective memories of the past, a present that overwhelms us and a future that remains uncertain, but open.

The maze and the labyrinth

None of these encounters and discussions prepared me for the surprise I got when I began to scan the available literature more systematically. There is a lot of it out there already, and a never-ending stream of updates that keep coming in. I concluded that much of it must have been written in haste, as if trying to catch up with the speed of actual developments. Sometimes it felt like being on an involuntary binge, overloaded with superfluous information while feeling intellectually undernourished. Most striking was the fact that the vast majority of books in this area espouse either an optimistic, techno-enthusiastic view or a dystopian one. They are often based on speculations or simply describe to a lay audience what AI nerds are up to and how digital technologies will change people’s lives. I came away with a profound dissatisfaction about how issues and topics that I considered important were being treated: the approach was largely short-term and ahistorical, superficial and mostly speculative, often espousing a narrow disciplinary perspective, unable to connect technological developments with societal processes in a meaningful way, and occasionally arrogant in dismissing ‘the social’ or misreading it as a mere appendix to ‘the technological’.

Plenty of books on AI and digitalization continue to flood the market. Most of the literature is written in an enthusiastic, technology-friendly voice, but there is also a sharp focus on the dark side of digital technologies. The former either provide a broad overview of the latest developments in AI and their economic benefits, or showcase some recently added features that are intended to alleviate fears that the machines will soon take over. The social impact of AI is acknowledged, as is the desirability of cross-disciplinary dialogue. A nod towards ethical considerations has by now become obligatory, but other problems are sidestepped and expected to be dealt with elsewhere. Only rarely, for instance, do we hear about topics like digital social justice. Finding my way through the copious literature on AI felt at times like moving through a maze, a deliberately confusing structure designed to prevent escape.

In this maze there are plenty of brightly lit pathways, their walls lined with the latest gadgetry, proudly displaying features designed to take the user into a virtual wonderland. The darker groves in the maze are filled with images and dire warnings of worse things to come, occasionally projecting a truly apocalyptic digital ending. Sci-fi occupies several specialized niches, often couched in an overload of technological imagination and an underexposed social side. In between there are a large number of mundane small pathways, some of which turn out to be blind alleys. One can also find useful advice on how to cope with the daily nitty-gritty annoyances caused by digital technologies or how to work around the system. Plenty of marketing pervades the maze, conveying a sense of short-lived excitement and a readiness to be pumped up again to deliver the next and higher dose of digital enhancement.

At times, I felt that I was no longer caught in a maze but in what had become a labyrinth. This was particularly the case when the themes of the books turned to ‘singularity’ and transhumanism, topics that can easily acquire cult status and are permeated by theories, fantasies and speculations that the human species will soon transcend its present cognitive and physical limitations. In contrast to a maze with its tangled and twisted features, dead ends and meandering pathways, a labyrinth is carefully designed to have a centre that can be reached by following a single, unicursal path. It is artfully, and often playfully, arranged around geometrical figures, such as a circle or a spiral. No wonder that labyrinths have inspired many writers and artists to play with these forms and with the meaning-laden concept of a journey. If the points of departure and arrival are the same, the journey between them is expected to have changed something during the course of it. Usually, this is the self. Hence the close association of the labyrinth with a higher state of awareness or spiritual enlightenment.

The labyrinth is an ancient cultic place, symbolizing a transformation, even if we know little about the rituals that were practised there. In the digital age, the imagined centre of the digital or computational labyrinth is the point where AI overtakes human intelligence, also called the singularity. At this point the human mind would be fused with an artificially created higher mind, and the frail and ageing human body could finally be left behind. The body and the material world are discarded as the newborn digital being is absorbed by the digital world or a higher digital order. Here we encounter an ancient fantasy, the recurring dream of immortality born from the desire to become like the gods, this time reimagined as the masters of the digital universe. I was struck by how closely the discussion of transcendental topics, like immortality or the search for the soul in technology, could combine with very technical matters and down-to-earth topics in informatics and computer science. I seemed that the maze could transform itself suddenly into a labyrinth, and vice versa.

In practice, however, gaps in communication prevail. Those who worry about the potential risks that digital technologies pose for liberal democracies discover that experts working on the risks have little interest in democracy or much understanding of politics. Those writing on the future of work rarely speak to those engaged in the actual design of the automated systems that will either put people out of work or create new jobs. Many computer scientists and IT experts are clearly aware of the biases and other flaws in their products, and they deplore the constraints that come from being part of a larger technological system. But at heart they are convinced that the solutions to many of the problems besetting society will arise from technology. Meanwhile, humanists either retreat to their historical niche or act in defence of humanistic values. The often-stated goal of interdisciplinarity, it seems, is not yet much advanced in practice.

I came away from the maze largely feeling that it is an overrated marketplace where existing products are rapidly displaced by new ones selected primarily for their novelty value. Depending on the mood of potential buyers, utopian or dystopian visions would prevail, subject to market volatility. The labyrinth, of course, is a more intriguing and enchanting place where deep philosophical questions intersect with the wildest speculations. Here, at times, I felt like Ariadne, laying out the threads that would lead me out from the centre of the labyrinth. One of these threads is based on the idea of a digital humanism, a vision that human values and perspectives ought to be the starting point for the design of algorithms and AI systems that claim to serve humanity. It is based on the conviction that such an alternative is possible.

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