James Rickards - The Death of Money

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In
, Rickards explores the future of the international monetary system
The international monetary system has collapsed three times in the past hundred years. Each collapse was followed by a period of war, civil unrest, or damage to the stability of the global economy. Now James Rickards explains why another collapse is rapidly approaching.
The US dollar has been the global reserve currency since the end of the Second World War. If the dollar fails the entire international monetary system will fail with it. But Washington is gridlocked, and America’s biggest competitors—China, Russia, and the Middle East—are doing everything possible to end US monetary hegemony.
The potential results: Financial warfare. Deflation. Hyperinflation. Market collapse. Chaos.
James Rickards offers a bracing analysis of the fundamental problem: money and wealth have become ever more detached. Money is transitory and ephemeral; wealth is permanent and tangible. While wealth has real value worldwide, money may soon be worthless. The world’s big players—governments, banks, institutions—will muddle through by making up new rules, and the real victims of the next crisis will be small investors.
Fortunately, it is not too late to prepare for the coming death of money. In this riveting book, James Rickards shows us how. “A terrifically interesting and useful book… fascinating.”
Kenneth W. Dam, former deputy secretary of the Treasury and adviser to three presidents

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Tao Te Ching (Lao Tzu), 90

tapering, 249–50

TARP bailout, 62

Tauss, Randy, 28–29, 35, 37, 38, 39

Tavakoli, Janet, 2

taxes

corporate rates, 122

deflation, impact of, 9, 259–60

Taylor, John B., 176

Taylor Rule, 176–77

Tea Party conservatives, 172–73, 205

technology, and economic growth, 95–96

Tenet, George, 28, 37

terrorist insider trading

MARKINT and, 35–39

9/11 attacks and, 17–28

Project Prophesy and, 28–34

Thailand, 261

Theory of Moral Sentiments, The (Smith), 70

“Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, A” (Mundell), 125

Thirty Years War, 115

threats to U.S. dollar, 5–13

Tiananmen Square demonstrations, 92

Too Big to Fail (film), 3

Toyota, 82

Trading with the Enemy Act of 1917, 295

Treasury, U.S.

bond issuance in Swiss francs (Carter bonds), in 1970s, 1, 253

China’s U.S. Treasury holdings, 51

debt issued by, 171

Federal Reserve’s purchases of debt issued by, 172

financial war, views on, 60–62

sustainability of debt burden of, 171–72

Treaty of Amsterdam, 117

Treaty of Rome, 117

Triffin, Robert, 209

Triffin’s dilemma, 209

Troika (IMF, ECB, EU), 128, 133

trust, idea of, 166–67

trust products, 102

Turkey, 136

U.S.-Iran financial war and, 55, 56, 57

Tyson Foods, 255

Ukraine, 136

unallocated gold transactions, 275

uncertainty, 85–86, 268

regime, 84–87, 125–26

unemployment

in Eurozone, 125

Federal Reserve’s targeting of, 186–87

in U.S., 77, 80, 245

Unit 61398 (China), 53

United Airlines, 20, 21, 24, 25, 27–28

United Arab Emirates, 56, 152, 154

United Kingdom, 157–62

Brown’s gold sales, 274

debt-to-GDP ratio of, 159

Federal Reserve’s easy-money policy and, 157–59

gold-to-GDP ratio of, 157, 281

quantitative easing in, 160

United Nations, 213

United States. See also dollar, U.S.

asset bubbles in, 75–78

China’s gold accumulation and, 283–84

continuity of government operations, 63

debt of, 171–73

debt-to-GDP ratio of, 159, 173, 259

deflation and, 9–11, 76–78

dollar devaluations in, 1, 10–11

financial warfare and, 53–58

GDP of, 96, 244

gold as percentage of reserves of, 279

gold-to-GDP ratio of, 157, 280–81

government program dependency in, 246

IMF loan commitment of, 202–6

inflation in, 1, 2, 3, 7–8, 75, 76, 77

investment in European Union (EU), 127

student loan bubble in, 247–49

unemployment in, 77, 80, 245

unit labor costs, 124, 131, 134

Unrestricted Warfare (Qiao and Wang), 44–45

unrestricted warfare doctrine, 44–45

“Use of Knowledge in Society” (Hayek), 70–71

Uzbekistan, 151

value, meaning of, 166

value-at-risk models, 4, 267

Venezuela, 40, 231

Vikings, 115

Villiger, Kaspar, 233

Viñals, José, 198

virtual targets, in financial war, 46

Volcker, Paul, 2, 118, 176–77, 190, 197, 210, 211, 252–53, 256, 291

Volcker Rule, 252–53

Vujcic, Boris, 136

Walker, Marcus, 131–32

Wall Street (film), 24

Wall Street Journal, The, 39, 105, 106, 126–27, 131, 133

Wang, Xiangsui (Unrestricted Warfare), 44–45

war

financial (See financial war)

information warfare, 44

revolution in military affairs (RMA), 43–44

unrestricted warfare doctrine, 44–45

war games, 58–59

Warlord Period, 91

warning signs of economic collapse, 295–98

China’s gold accumulation as, 296

Chinese collapse as, 297–98

end of QE and Abenomics as, 297

gold market, disorderly price movements in, 295–96

IMF governance reforms as, 296

regulatory reforms, failure of, 296

system crashes as, 296–97

Warring States period, 90

Warsh, Kevin, 273

Wars of Louix XIV, 115

Wars of Religion, 115

Washington Consensus, 118–20

Washington Post, The, 126, 206

wealth effect, 72–75

direction of, 74

size and timing of, 73–74

substitution effects, 73

wealth management products (WMPs), 102–3

Wen Jiabao, 151

“What Washington Means by Policy Reform” (Williamson), 119

Williamson, John, 119, 120

Wirtschaftswunder, 127

Woodford, Michael, 185–86

World War I, 115

World War II, 115

Wriston, Walter, 190

Yellen, Janet, 67, 88, 251, 262

yen, 157, 161

yuan, 212

Yuan Dynasty, 90

zero-interest-rate policy

of Bank of England (BOE), 160

of Federal Reserve, 72, 73, 79–81, 185, 186, 260

Zhou Dynasty, 90

Zhu, Min, 190–95, 197–98, 213, 283–84

Zhu Changhong, 227

Zia-ul-Haq, Muhammad, 30

Copyright

PORTFOLIO / PENGUIN

Published by the Penguin Group

Penguin Group (USA) LLC

375 Hudson Street

New York, New York 10014

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USA | Canada | UK | Ireland | Australia | New Zealand | India | South Africa | China

penguin.com

A Penguin Random House Company

First published by Portfolio / Penguin, a member of Penguin Group (USA) LLC, 2014

Copyright © 2014 by James Rickards

Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin to continue to publish books for every reader.

ISBN 978-1-101-63724-1

Designed by Alissa Rose Theodor

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