Джон Шеттлер - Condition Zebra - The Next War - 2025

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The season six finale, Tangent Fire, was a bridge novel that is now taking up to the final season of the series, the war in 2025. Only this is the future that arose from Kirov’s many interventions in the past, a future the main characters must own, and struggle to preserve from the fires of WWIII
After China seized the Ryukyu Island in Season 6, the war spun off on a tangent when Chinese warships began stopping commercial traffic in the Med. This led to commerce raiding there by the Chinese Navy, and a direct confrontation with the Royal Navy, based in Gibraltar and Malta. That battle rolled to the eastern Med in the defense of Malta, and then the Chinese ally and client state, Egypt, shut down the Suez Canal. Action shifted to the Canary Islands and Cape Verde Islands, as Beijing gave orders for its squadrons there to withdraw to the Indian Ocean.
Here, in Condition Zebra, the great grandson of the Admiral Wells we met in WWII now leads a strong Royal Navy fleet to Cape Town. His mission is to open the sea lanes north to the vital Persian Gulf region, but he is confronted by a strong Chinese Indo-Arabian Fleet that has been reinforced when their Med squadrons moved through the Red sea into the Gulf of Aden.
Now the strengths and weaknesses on each navy are exposed in the hard garish light of intense naval combat. The Chinese have no carriers here, and must therefore rely on land based air support, but the Indian Ocean is a very big place. While the British have good carrier based air support, Admiral Wells fins his ships outranged by the Chinese SSM’s and inadequately prepared for air defense against these new missiles. In Condition Zebra, both navies lock horns off Madagascar, as Wells pushes north on a mission to occupy Victoria in the Seychelles. Reinforcements are coming, as the American Carrier Strike Group Roosevelt embarks from Darwin to meet the British Fleet at Diego Garcia.
In the midst of this combat, Qusay Hussein, son of Saddam, launched a much belated invasion of Kuwait, and an action very much like the Gulf War ensues—only this time the Iraqi Army does not stop at the Saudi border. With the vast oil fields of Arabia in jeopardy, the 1st US Marine Division has been following the Roosevelt group in a massive sealift convoy bound for ports in Oman. As the land battle rages through the deserts of Saudi Arabia, the combined US and Royal Navy fleets must now confront Admiral Sun Wei’s reinforced Indo-Arabian Fleet.
Now the presence of a big deck American carrier makes a big difference, and the massive 40 ship Chinese fleet faces its biggest challenge in the crucible of naval fire. As this action ensues, Karpov finds that his only solace is in battle, and takes Kirov and Kursk south into the Java Sea. There they become embroiled in the battle to stave off another big Chinese Operation aimed at Singapore and the Malacca Strait.
Action from stem to stern in this one, and the war in 2025 explodes across the vast canvass of the Indian Ocean. Lurking in the background, the simmering hostility between India and Pakistan threatens to ignite yet another flashpoint and bring those two nuclear armed states into the war.
Condition Zebra is the opening book the final 8 book season of the Kirov Series, where the fate of the ship and crew will be decided once and for all… with the war in 2025.

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“Damn,” said Hargood.

There had been just over 1000 officers and crew on Illustrious , and another 200 on the Lookout . The frigates could not hope to even get as many as 100 out of the water, but close at hand, cruising about 35 miles to the southwest, TF Ocean was centered on that big amphibious assault ship, and with several more frigates.

The loss of Illustrious now placed the burden of the tactical command on Captain Hargood. Admiral Pearson, was aboard HMS Ocean , and given this setback, Hargood decided to request further orders. Speaking on the secure radio channel, the two men would soon discuss the gloomy situation they were now facing.

“Just got the signal,” said Pearson. “We’re losing Illustrious .”

“I’m afraid so, sir, and there may be hundreds of men in the water out there now. The frigates can’t handle that, and that group reports they have just 24 Sea Ceptors left between the three ships. Lookout is on fire, and out of the action. I’m afraid we’ll lose her as well, sir.”

“Damn bloody business,” said Pearson. “And the enemy?”

“Well sir, we were just engaging their forward screen, a group of six destroyers. We put one under, damaged a second, and the whole lot has turned to break off to the north, but we have contacts on five more enemy surface groups out there. This thing is just getting started, and We haven’t a single Aster left on Loyal . It’s all on the frigates now.”

The Admiral knew his fleet was in a bad situation. “Captain, I think it best if we withdraw towards Singapore. The RSN has sortied from Tuas Naval Base with the bulk of their fleet. So your orders are to fall back on home port, and try to keep out of range. The Chinese are getting close, about 100 miles out, and we believe they have most of their missile strength limited to that range at the moment, except for the two Type 055’s. You’ll come under further attack, but we need to open the range.”

“What about those men in the water out there, sir?”

“We’re sending every helicopter we have. Get the frigates out of there. Understand? Turn Invincible immediately.”

“Aye sir.”

Captain Hargood gave those orders, and the ships began to turn, but the Admiral’s prediction had been accurate. Off to the northeast, safe from all harm at a range of 215 miles, the South Seas detachment was being led by the Type 052D class destroyer Changsha , and it was carrying the deadly YJ-18, with the range to strike. Eight of sixteen missiles were fired at Invincible as the British ships turned, and the first group of four came in so fast at 1900 knots that the British Sea Ceptors could simply not engage. That spelled the end for Type 26 Class frigate Newcastle , struck amidships with a fatal blow by the first group of four enemy Sizzlers.

As there were no Asters remaining on Loyal , the frigates were simply targets, having only their close in guns for any defense. Destroyer Liverpool was the only ship that could engage, being an older Type 42 class with the Sea Dart. As the second group of four Sizzlers came in, it began to fire, catching one of the speedy Vampires and splashing it into the sea. A second was spoofed by a bloom of chaff from Loyal , and the last two were taken down at very close range by the weight of all the Gatling guns.

The Royal Navy had yet to really come to grips with the weight of the Chinese Fleet, but by 16:00, the retreat to Singapore was on.

* * *

Aboard the carrier Zhendong , Admiral Wu Jinlong was wrapped in stoic calm. His mind was on other things—he had sunk an aircraft carrier! In truth, none of his ships accomplished that feat, the killing missiles had come from the land-based TEL on Riau Island, firing YJ-12’s, but he was overall theater Commander, and he would be more than happy to take credit for the kill.

The Vietnamese destroyers fought well, he thought. They saw half their flotilla sunk or damaged, but there presence in the vanguard was decisive. The British wasted so many missiles trying to knock down the land attack cruise missiles, that I now believe they are easy prey for my cruise missiles. They know this as well, which is why they now withdraw so we cannot close the range and overwhelm them. At present, only a few of my ships have the range to engage them now. As per earlier reports from the action in the Med, our YJ-18 is proving to be our most effective missile. The enemy close range defense missiles are unable to stop it, and I now have 40 of those demons available, all within striking range.

It is time to turn this early advantage we have obtained into a crushing defeat for the enemy. I will order my destroyers to fire, but first we must refresh the locations of the enemy ships. That is work for Zhendong ….

Chapter 6

DDG Changshan still had eight more YJ-18’s, cruising far to the east off the jutting cape of Borneo as it reached out towards the Riau Islands. That ship would target the last enemy carrier and its escorts, selecting two ships in that group. Further north, in the support group behind Zhendong , the Type 052D destroyer Hefei had 16 Sizzlers in its VLS cells, and was ordered to target the three British frigates that were now withdrawing from the wreck of Illustrious at high speed.

Let us see if we can draw blood with those claws, thought Admiral Wu Jinlong. I will launch four J-31’s to find and paint the targets. Then we will see what our missiles do before I make a decision on whether or not to fire a second salvo.

The attack on the frigates would see the first four missiles find and kill Sheffield , even after three of the four Vampires were defeated by chaff and guns. Two more groups came on in a tight formation of four missiles each. About 25 miles out, they went into their high speed terminal run, accelerating rapidly to 1900 knots. Within minutes, they would find and kill both Portland and Trinidad , nothing more than helpless targets at sea against the Sizzlers, with no missile that could catch the Vampires. All three ships would sink within minutes, putting over 500 more men and women in the sea, and not long after, DDG Lookout , which had been foundering, would take yet another hit by a YJ-83, and sink for good. Illustrious and all her escorts were gone….

Advantage has been forged into victory, thought Admiral Wu. The enemy setback has now become defeat, and if I press them, I can make this even worse—a disaster at sea that will make headlines all across the globe. So now I will show the world how a Chinese carrier can fight.

* * *

If it had not been for the last Sampson Radar on HMS Loyal , the stealthy J-31’s might not have been seen until it was too late. But the superb radar system saw what was coming, and 70 miles out. The Chinese had launched a formation of nine fighters, and they were coming right for HMS Invincible .

“A big fighter sweep,” said Commander Russell.

“Perhaps,” said Captain Hargood. “They don’t want out F-35s out there to pick off their cruise missiles. Just the same…. I’ve got a tickle in me tooth about this one. It could be a strike mission with them all lumped together like that. Probably why we picked them up so far out. Launch the ready CAP, and tell them to engage those planes at once!”

The Captain’s tooth had not failed him. The contact bogies were a squadron of nine J-31’s, each carrying a pair of YJ-91 anti-radiation missiles with a long 70 mile range. They would not have to go far before they fired them, and it was just happenstance that they were spotted just as they began to reach their release point.

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