Ron Rosenbaum - How the End Begins

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T This is how the end begins.
In this startling new book, bestselling author Ron Rosenbaum gives us a wake-up call about this new age of peril and delivers a provocative analysis of how close—and how often—the world has come to nuclear annihilation and why we are once again on the brink.
Rosenbaum tracks down key characters in our new nuclear drama and probes deeply into their war game strategies, fears, and moral agonies. He travels to Omaha’s underground nuclear command center, goes deep into the missile silo complexes beneath the Great Plains, and holds in his hands a set of nuclear launch keys.
Along the way, Rosenbaum confronts the missile men as well as the general at the very top of our nation’s nuclear command system with tough questions about the terrifying assumptions underlying it. He reveals disturbing Haws in our nuclear launch control system, suggests remedies for them, shows how the old Cold War system of bipolar deterrence has become dangerously unstable, and examines the new movement for nuclear abolition.
Having explored the depths of Hitler’s evil and the intense emotion of Shakespeare’s tragedies, Rosenbaum now has produced a powerful, urgently needed work that challenges us: Can we undream our nightmare?

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Hoffman, David, 88, 113

Holocausts, 133–50, 163–64

denial of, 148, 163

feelings toward perpetrators of, 133, 143–44

geographic displacement variety of, 145

of Hitler, 20, 22, 77, 86, 134–39, 141–42, 144–47, 150

inconsequentialism of, 145–48

Roth on, 143–44

second, 20–22, 133, 135–50, 152, 163, 258

“How Confident Should a Nuclear Optimist Be?” (Hellman), 128–30

“How to Talk About Israel” (Buruma), 146

Hughes, John, 229

Husseni, Haj-al-Amin, 135–36

India, 30

eliminating nuclear weapons and, 233, 235

nuclear war casualties and, 77

nuclear weapons of, 5, 16–17

Pakistani relations with, 5, 16–18, 227, 235

Inman, Robert, 128

Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, 13, 211

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), 173, 188, 214

International Court of Justice, 84–86, 254

International Criminal Court, 139

International Institute for Strategic Studies, 227, 231

Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), 18

Iran, 166–71, 175, 206, 258

Israel and, 3–4, 15, 17, 19–21, 26, 79, 134, 137–39, 141–43, 148, 153–55, 160–61, 163, 166–70, 179, 181, 197–98, 207, 211, 235–36, 266 n

Minot mistake and, 16

NIEs on, 20, 167, 170, 192–95, 197–98

nuclear deterrence and, 167, 208

nuclear preemption and, 160–61, 169

nuclear retaliation and, 155, 179

nuclear war casualties and, 79

in nuclear war games, 199–200, 207–8

nuclear weapons program of, 3–4, 9, 15, 17, 19–21, 26, 29, 134, 137–38, 141–43, 160, 166–68, 170–71, 179–81, 183, 192–98, 207, 211, 266 n

Pakistani nuclear weapons and, 4, 17

sanctions against, 166, 180, 192

Syrian nuclear facility and, 171, 179–80, 184, 186, 194, 208

Iraq, 135, 173

alleged weapons of mass destruction of, 176, 179, 187, 194

Israel and, 179

U.S. invasions of, 176, 194, 203, 247

irrational-behavior theory, 73

Isaiah scroll, 150–51

Islam:

and extermination of Jews, 280 n

Israel and, 134–36, 138–39, 155

Israel, 132–55, 160–64, 227

Iran and, 3–4, 15, 17, 19–21, 26, 79, 134, 137–39, 141–43, 148, 153–55, 160–61, 163, 166–70, 179, 181, 197–98, 207, 211, 235–36, 266 n

nuclear ambiguity of, 158–59, 161–62

nuclear deterrence and, 167, 198

nuclear preemption and, 133–34, 140, 142, 152, 160–62, 164, 169

nuclear retaliation and, 133, 141–42, 149–52, 154–55, 158, 160, 162, 179

in nuclear war games, 199–200, 207

nuclear weapons of, 17, 21–22, 123, 133–34, 137–38, 140–42, 149–52, 154, 158, 161–64, 167, 179, 182, 208, 211

Pakistan and, 17–18, 134, 179

Samson Option and, 21–22, 141–42

second Holocaust and, 20–22, 133, 135–50, 152, 163

in start of nuclear war, 132–33, 140, 142–43, 151–52

Syrian nuclear facilities and, 2–5, 8, 11, 15–16, 113, 134, 140, 145–46, 168–73, 177–83, 186–89, 197, 199, 208, 258

wars between Arabs and, 3, 127, 136, 163–64, 220–21

see also Jews

Israel Defense Forces (IDF), 152–53, 158, 160, 162

Japan, 8, 11, 234, 242, 251–52

Jews, 164

extermination of, 135–41, 143, 146–48, 150, 280 n

and morality of retaliation, 149–52

Roth on, 143–45

in U.S., 143, 147

see also Israel

Kahn, Herman, 48, 55, 249

Kennedy, John F., 6, 118, 247

Ellsberg and, 71, 76

nuclear war casualties and, 76–77

Khamenei, Ayatollah Ali, 138

Khan, A. Q., 16, 20, 193

Kim Jong-il, 19, 66

Kissinger, Henry, 61, 220

on eliminating nuclear weapons, 212, 214–15, 218

Ellsberg and, 71–72, 74

Madman theory of, 100

Knoll, Erwin, 49–50

Komer, Robert, 77

Korea, North, 66, 235, 258

Iran and, 168, 183, 194–95

nuclear taboo and, 255

nuclear weapons of, 16, 19–20, 123, 177–80, 182–83, 195–96

South Korean relations with, 19, 25

Syrian nuclear facilities and, 3, 169–70, 172, 174–78, 181–90, 194–96

U.S. nuclear targeting plan on, 24–25

Korea, South, 19, 25, 170, 234–35

Korean Air Lines (KAL) shootdown, 100

Korean War, 246–47

Kristensen, Hans M., 24–25, 44, 199, 203, 257

Kubrick, Stanley, 39, 73, 90

Lang, Berel, 146, 150

Lasker, Larry, 47

launch on alert, 52, 122, 239

launch on attack, 54, 67–68

launch on warning, 52, 54, 68, 83, 96, 118–20, 122, 220, 233, 239

launch voting, 101–2, 105

Letters of Last Resort, 40–41, 91, 108, 149, 152

Lewis, Jeffrey, 197, 257

Lieber, Keir, 249–50

Life Extension Program (LEP), 56–57

Looking Glass plane, 95, 100, 106–7

Lugar, Richard, 215, 219

MacArthur, Douglas, 247

McCarthy, Cormac, 81–82, 252

McConnell, Mike, 197

Syrian nuclear facility and, 171–74, 181–82, 184–92

McNamara, Robert, 221, 243, 245

Ellsberg and, 74, 76, 83

Madman theory, 100

Manhattan Project, 89, 143

Martin, Bryan, 10–11

Medvedev, Dmitri:

eliminating nuclear weapons and, 29, 229, 235

Georgia crisis and, 205

missile defense systems and, 206

nuclear weapons treaties and, 12, 209, 229

Minot mistake, 14–16, 63

Mizin, Victor, 13–14

Monte Carlo runs:

invention of, 115

“100 Nuclear Wars” plan and, 123

on probability of success of nuclear attack, 113–16, 125–26, 131

value of, 123–24

Yarynich and, 111, 113, 115–16, 123, 125, 131

Morris, Benny, 21, 136–37, 164

Morris, Errol, 245

Most Dangerous Man in America, The, 71–72

Murtagh, David, 41

Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD), 24, 26–27, 30, 108, 116, 169, 213, 222, 232–33, 239–41

Nagasaki, 125, 157, 161

nuclear taboo and, 245, 251, 254

National Conference of Catholic

Bishops, 80, 84–85, 255

National Emergency Airborne Command Post (NEACP), 107

National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs), 20, 167, 170, 192–95, 197–98

National Security Agency (NSA), 5, 99, 128, 171, 185

National Security Archives, 237

near earth object (NEO) extinction events, 126

Netanyahu, Benjamin, 141

New York Times, 31, 71, 97, 145–46, 197, 228, 277 n

Pakistan and, 16, 19

PERIMETR and, 88, 91

Nitze, Paul, 246–47

Nixon, Richard:

Cold War close calls and, 100, 127

Ellsberg and, 71–72, 75

nuclear taboo and, 247

nuclear war casualties and, 86

and nuclear weapons command and control, 35–36

Yom Kippur War and, 220

North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), 6–7

Russian strategic flights and, 10–11, 100

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), 200–202

in Cold War close calls, 7, 113, 232

and fear of decapitation and surprise attack, 7, 112–13

first use option of, 25–27, 201

Georgia crisis and, 205

nuclear taboo and, 252

in nuclear war games, 200–201, 206, 232

and nuclear weapons command and control, 201, 216

Russian strategic flights and, 10–11, 100

nuclear ambiguity, 22, 25, 217

in Georgia crisis, 203

of Israel, 158–59, 161–62

Nuclear Family Vacation, A (Hodge and Weinberger), 103

nuclear optimism, 128–30

Nuclear Posture Reviews (NPRs), 23–24, 216–17

of Bush, 23, 55, 209

of Obama, 175, 183, 209–11, 216

nuclear submarines, 61, 114, 199

Blair on, 108–9

Burke documents and, 241–44, 256–57

Cold War close calls and, 118

collision of, 248–49

of Israel, 21–22, 142, 149–52, 154–55, 160–62, 166–67, 211

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