Franco Taroni - Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists
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- Название:Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists
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Statistics and the Evaluation of Evidence for Forensic Scientists: краткое содержание, описание и аннотация
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he leading resource in the statistical evaluation and interpretation of forensic evidence
The third edition of
is fully updated to provide the latest research and developments in the use of statistical techniques to evaluate and interpret evidence. Courts are increasingly aware of the importance of proper evidence assessment when there is an element of uncertainty. Because of the increasing availability of data, the role of statistical and probabilistic reasoning is gaining a higher profile in criminal cases. That’s why lawyers, forensic scientists, graduate students, and researchers will find this book an essential resource, one which explores how forensic evidence can be evaluated and interpreted statistically. It’s written as an accessible source of information for all those with an interest in the evaluation and interpretation of forensic scientific evidence.
Discusses the entire chain of reasoning–from evidence pre-assessment to court presentation; Includes material for the understanding of evidence interpretation for single and multiple trace evidence; Provides real examples and data for improved understanding. Since the first edition of this book was published in 1995, this respected series has remained a leading resource in the statistical evaluation of forensic evidence. It shares knowledge from authors in the fields of statistics and forensic science who are international experts in the area of evidence evaluation and interpretation. This book helps people to deal with uncertainty related to scientific evidence and propositions. It introduces a method of reasoning that shows how to update beliefs coherently and to act rationally. In this edition, readers can find new information on the topics of elicitation, subjective probabilities, decision analysis, and cognitive bias, all discussed in a Bayesian framework.
for a given locus...Table 5.3 Potential findings following the analysis of hair combingsTable 5.4 Events and probabilities relating to findings under
and
Table 5.5 Likelihood ratios for the outcomes from Table 5.4 with
,
,
;
, 
on the likelihoo...Table 6.5 Conditional genotype probability
for the crime stain genotype (
),...Table 6.6 Effects of family relatedness on conditional genotype probabilities...Table 6.7 Posterior odds that a PoI is the source of a crime scene stain that...Table 6.8 Distribution of blood groups of innocently acquired bloodstains on ...Table 6.9 Allelic configuration of three individuals, a child, a mother, and ...Table 6.10 Posterior probabilities of paternity for various prior probabiliti...Table 6.11 Likelihood of paternity.
and
.Table 7.5 Distributional parameters for glass problems.Table 7.6 Transfer probabilities for glass problems.Table 7.7 Some values for the likelihood ratio
for the single fragment case....Table 7.8 Value of
(7.17) as a function of
and
for
.Table 7.9 Medullary widths in microns of 220 cat hairs (Source: Based on Peab...Table 7.10 Value of the evidence for the medullary width of cat hairs for var...Table 7.11 Refractive index of
fragments of float glass from buildings.Table 7.12 Coincidence probability and value of the evidence for the refracti...Table 7.13 Numbers of banknotes contaminated.Table 7.14 The value of evidence in comparing two binomial proportions for di...
and weak evidence
fo...Table 8.2 Eleven illustrative pairs of posterior probabilities
and labels
...Table 8.3 Eleven sets of posterior probabilities
and labels
if
is true a...
, in rolls of four fair six‐...Table A.2 Intermediate calculations for the variance of the number of sixes,
Table A.3 Five measurements
of medullary widths in microns of cat hairs.Table A.4 Values of cumulative distribution function
and its complement
fo...Table A.5 Probabilities for absolute values from the standard Normal distribu...Table A.6 Percentage points
for the
‐distribution for given values of sampl...