Jeffrey A. Hirsch - Stock Trader's Almanac 2021

1 COVER

2 TITLE PAGE

3 COPYRIGHT

4 INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FOURTH EDITION 2021 OUTLOOK2021 STRATEGY CALENDAR

5 JANUARY ALMANAC JANUARY’S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY TEN SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 70 YEARS JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD

6 FEBRUARY ALMANAC MARKET BEHAVIOR UNDER NEW PRESIDENTS MARKET CHARTS OF POST–PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARS POST-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE BY PARTY

7 MARCH ALMANAC POST-ELECTION YEARS: PAYING THE PIPER THE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOL HOW TO TRADE BEST MONTHS SWITCHING STRATEGIES

8 APRIL ALMANAC DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901 S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930 NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971

9 MAY ALMANAC SUMMER MARKET VOLUME DOLDRUMS DRIVE WORST SIX MONTHS TOP PERFORMING MONTHS: STANDARD & POOR’S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS “BEST SIX MONTHS”: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGY MACD-TIMING TRIPLES “BEST SIX MONTHS” RESULTS

10 JUNE ALMANAC TOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHS GET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ’S “BEST EIGHT MONTHS” WITH MACD TIMING TRIPLE RETURNS, FEWER TRADES: BEST 6 + 4–YEAR CYCLE

11 JULY ALMANAC FIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH 2019 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE) DON’T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY

12 AUGUST ALMANAC A RALLY FOR ALL SEASONS TAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/ DOWN MONDAY WARNING MARKET FARES BETTER UNDER DEMOCRATS; DOLLAR HOLDS UP UNDER REPUBLICANS REPUBLICAN CONGRESS & DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IS BEST FOR THE MARKET

13 SEPTEMBER ALMANAC MARKET GAINS MORE ON SUPER-8 DAYS EACH MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINED A CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONS FIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON

14 OCTOBER ALMANAC SECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYS SECTOR INDEX SEASONALITY STRATEGY CALENDAR MARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS

15 NOVEMBER ALMANAC FOURTH-QUARTER MARKET MAGIC TRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKET AURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4TH QUARTER MOST BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER

16 DECEMBER ALMANAC MOST OF THE SO-CALLED JANUARY EFFECT TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBER JANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBER WALL STREET’S ONLY “FREE LUNCH” SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMAS IF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL2022 STRATEGY CALENDAR

17 DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021 DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENON PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 187-YEAR SAGA CONTINUES DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JANUARY AND FEBRUARYDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MARCH AND APRILDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MAY AND JUNEDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JULY AND AUGUSTDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBERDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER A TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKET THROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASIS TUESDAY MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEK NASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEK S&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952 NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971 MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKS MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKS NOVEMBER, DECEMBER AND JANUARY: YEAR’S BEST THREE-MONTH SPAN NOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ’S EIGHT-MONTH RUN DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1901 S&P 500 ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1930 NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS & CLOSES SINCE 1971 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950 DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950 STANDARD & POOR’S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971 NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971 RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979 RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979 10 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT 10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT NOTES

18 STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2021 ADDITIONAL PURCHASES SHORT-TERM TRANSACTIONS LONG-TERM TRANSACTIONS INTEREST/DIVIDENDS RECEIVED DURING 2021 BROKERAGE ACCOUNT DATA 2021 WEEKLY PORTFOLIO PRICE RECORD 2021 (FIRST HALF) WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 (FIRST HALF) MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2021 PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2021 IF YOU DON’T PROFIT FROM YOUR INVESTMENT MISTAKES, SOMEONE ELSE WILL PERFORMANCE RECORD OF RECOMMENDATIONS INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNT (IRA): MOST AWESOME MASS INVESTMENT INCENTIVE EVER DEVISED G. M. LOEB’S “BATTLE PLAN” FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL G. M. LOEB’S INVESTMENT SURVIVAL CHECKLIST

19 END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

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2 Table of Contents

3 Begin Reading

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