Julia Spina - The Unlucky Investor's Guide to Options Trading

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An approachable guide to sustainable options trading, minimal luck needed. Traders who are successful long-term do not rely on luck, but rather their ability to adapt, strategize, and utilize available tools and information. Modern markets are becoming increasingly accessible to the average consumer, and the emergence of retail options trading is opening a world of opportunities for the individual investor. Options are highly versatile and complex financial instruments that were exclusive to industry professionals until recently. So where should beginners start?
breaks down the science of options trading to suit interested traders from any background. Using statistics and historical options data, readers will develop an intuitive understanding of the potential risks and rewards of options contracts. From the basics of options trading to strategy construction and portfolio management,
guides readers through the world of options and teaches the crucial risk management techniques for sustainable investing.

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8 Chapter 8Table 8.1 Statistical analysis of the three portfolios illustrated in Figure...Table 8.2 POPs and allocation percentages of buying power for 45 DTE 16 картинка 19SPY...Table 8.3 Correlations between different ETFs from 2011–2018. Included are t...Table 8.4 Core position statistics for 45 DTE 16 картинка 20strangles from 2011–2018. ...Table 8.5 Portfolio backtest performance statistics for the three portfolios...

9 Chapter 9Table 9.1 Statistics for 45 days to expiration (DTE) 16 картинка 21AAPL strangles from...Table 9.2 Statistics for 45 DTE 16 картинка 22AMZN strangles from 2005–2020. Trades ar...Table 9.3 Statistics for 45 DTE 16 картинка 23GOOGL strangles from 2005–2020. Trades a...

10 AppendixTable A.1 Expected 30‐day price range approximations for an underlying with ...Table A.2 Data for 16 картинка 24SPY strangles with different durations from April 20,...

List of Illustrations

1 Chapter 1 Figure 1.1 A histogram for 100,000 simulated rolls for a pair of fair dice. ... Figure 1.2 A histogram for 100,000 simulated dice rolls with fair dice. Incl... Figure 1.3 (a) A histogram for 100,000 simulated dice rolls with unfair dice... Figure 1.4 A histogram for 100,000 simulated rolls with a group of fair, six... Figure 1.5 A detailed plot of the normal distribution and the corresponding ... Figure 1.6 (a) The 2D position of a particle in a fluid, moving with Brownia... Figure 1.7 The distribution of the horizontal displacements of the particle ... Figure 1.8 The (a) daily returns, (b) price, and (c) daily returns histogram...Figure 1.9 (a) QQQ returns versus SPY returns. The covariance between these ...Figure 1.10 SPY daily returns distribution from 2010–2021. Included is the V...Figure 1.11 SPY daily returns distribution from 2010–2021. Included are VaR ...

2 Chapter 2Figure 2.1 (a) The 45‐day expected move cone for SPY in early 2019. The pric...Figure 2.2 The three phases of the VIX, using data from early 2017 to late 2...Figure 2.3 IV indexes for different assets with their respective averages (d...Figure 2.4 Implied volatility indexes for different equities from 2017–2020 ...

3 Chapter 3Figure 3.1 The price of SPY in the last five months of 2019. Included is the...Figure 3.2 (a) Historical P/L distribution (% of initial credit) for short 4...Figure 3.3 Historical P/L distribution ($) for 45 DTE 16 картинка 25...Figure 3.4 The VIX (solid) and VXAZN (dashed) from 2015–2016. Labeled are th...Figure 3.5 SPY IV from 2010–2020. The average prices for 45 DTE 16 картинка 26SPY stra...Figure 3.6 (a) SPY IV from 2005–2021. Labeled are the extreme losses for 45 ...Figure 3.7 Historical P/L distributions for 45 DTE 16 картинка 27SPY strangles, held t...Figure 3.8 Historical P/L distribution for 45 DTE 16 картинка 28SPY strangles, held to...Figure 3.9 P/L averages for portfolios with N number of trades, randomly sam...Figure 3.10 (a) Performances from 2017 to 2021, through the 2020 sell‐off. E...

4 Chapter 4Figure 4.1 Loss as a % of BPR for 45 DTE 16 картинка 29SPY strangles held to expiratio...Figure 4.2 Data from 45 DTE 16 картинка 30SPY strangles from 2005–2021. (a) BPR as a f...

5 Chapter 5Figure 5.1 Standard deviation of daily P/Ls (in dollars) for 16 картинка 31SPY strangl...Figure 5.2 Graphical representation of the iron condor described in Table 5....Figure 5.3 The price of SPY in the last 5 months of 2019. Included is the 45...

6 Chapter 6Figure 6.1 (a) Two portfolios, each with $100,000 in capital invested, tradi...Figure 6.2 (a) Two portfolios, each with $100,000 in capital invested, tradi...

7 Chapter 7Figure 7.1 Performance comparison for Portfolios A and B from 2020 to 2021. ...

8 Chapter 8Figure 8.1 Standard deviation of daily P/Ls (in dollars) for 16 картинка 32SPY strangl...Figure 8.2 Cumulative P/L of three different portfolios containing some comb...Figure 8.3 Portfolio performance of three different portfolios from early 20...

9 Chapter 9Figure 9.1 IV indexes for different stocks from 2017–2020. Assets include (a...

10 AppendixFigure A.1 Comparison of the log‐normal distribution (a) and the normal dist...Figure A.2 Volatility curve for OTM 30 DTE SPY calls and puts, collected on ...

Guide

1 Cover

2 Table of Contents

3 Title Page The Unlucky Investor’s Guide to Options Trading Julia Spina Coauthored by Anton Kulikov Foreword by Tom Sosnoff

4 Copyright

5 Dedication

6 Foreword

7 Preface

8 Acknowledgments

9 About the Authors

10 Begin Reading

11 Appendix

12 Glossary of Common Tickers, Acronyms, Variables, and Math Equations

13 References

14 Index

15 End User License Agreement

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