Нассим Талеб - The Black Swan. The Impact of the Highly Improbable

———, 1989, “Combining Forecasts: A Review and Annotated Bibliography.” International Journal of Forecasting 5: 559–609.

Cohen, L. J., 1989, The Philosophy of Induction and Probability . Oxford: Clarendon Press.

Cohen, R., K. Erez, D. ben-Avraham, and S. Havlin, 2000, “Resilience of the Internet to Random Breakdowns.” Physical Review Letters 85: 4626–4628.

Cole, J. R., and S. Cole, 1973, Social Stratification in Science . Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.

Cole, J. R., and B. Singer, 1991, “A Theory of Limited Differences: Explaining the Productivity Puzzle in Science.” In J. C. H. Zuckerman and J. Bauer, eds., The Outer Circle: Women in the Scientific Community . New York: W. W. Norton and Company.

Cole, Peter, 2002, Access to Philosophy: The Theory of Knowledge . London: Hodder and Stoughton.

Cole, S., 1970, “Professional Standing and the Reception of Scientific Discoveries.” American Journal of Sociology 76: 286–306.

Cole, S., J. C. Cole, and G. A. Simon, 1981, “Chance and Consensus in Peer Review.” Science 214: 881–886.

Collins, Randall, 1998, The Sociology of Philosophies: A Global Theory of Intellectual Change . Cambridge, Mass.: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.

Conley, D., 1999, Being Black, Living in the Red: Race, Wealth and Social Policy in America . Los Angeles: University of California Press.

Cooper, John M., 2004, Knowledge, Nature, and the Good , Chapter 1: “Method and Science in on Ancient Medicine.” Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

Cootner, Paul H., 1964, The Random Character of Stock Market Prices . London: Risk Books.

Cosmides, L., and J. Tooby, 1990, “Is the Mind a Frequentist?” Paper presented at the 31st annual meeting of the Psychonomics Society, New Orleans, La.

———, 1992, “Cognitive Adaptations for Social Exchange.” In Jerome H. Barkow, Leda Cosmides, and John Tooby, eds., The Adapted Mind . Oxford: Oxford University Press.

———, 1996, “Are Humans Good Intuitive Statisticians After All? Rethinking Some Conclusions from the Literature on Judgment and Uncertainty.” Cognition 58(1): 187–276.

Courtillot, V., 1995, La vie en catastrophes . Paris: Fayard.

Courtillot, V., and Y. Gaudemer, 1996, “Effects of Mass-Extinctions on Biodiversity.” Nature 381: 146–147.

Cousin, Victor, 1820, Cours d’histoire de la philosophie morale au dix-huitième siècle . Paris: Ladrange.

Cover, T. M., and J. A. Thomas, 1991, Elements of Information Theory . New York: Wiley.

Cowley, Michelle, and Ruth M. J. Byrne, 2004, “Chess Master’s Hypothesis Testing.” In Kenneth Forbus, Dedre Gentner, and Terry Regier, eds., Proceedings of 26th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, CogSci 2004 , Mahwah, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum.

Crosby, Alfred W., 1997, The Measure of Reality: Quantification and Western Society, 1250–1600 . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly, 1993, Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience . New York: Perennial Press.

———, 1998, Finding Flow: The Psychology of Engagement with Everyday Life . New York: Basic Books.

Cutler, David, James Poterba, and Lawrence Summers, 1989, “What Moves Stock Prices?” Journal of Portfolio Management 15: 4–12.

Dally J. M., N. J. Emery, and N. S. Clayton, 2006, “Food-Catching Western Scrub-Jays Keep Track of Who Was Watching When.” Science 312 (5780): 1,662–1,665.

Damasio, Antonio, 1994, Descartes’ Error: Emotion, Reason, and the Human Brain . New York: Avon Books.

———, 2000, The Feeling of What Happens: Body and Emotion in the Making of Consciousness . New York: Harvest Books.

———, 2003, Looking for Spinoza: Joy, Sorrow and the Feeling Brain . New York: Harcourt.

Dannefer, D., 1987, “Aging as Intracohort Differentiation: Accentuation, the Matthew Effect and the Life Course.” Sociological Forum 2: 211–236.

———, 2003, “Cumulative Advantage/Disadvantage and the Life Course: Cross-fertilizing Age and Social Science.” Journal of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences 58: 327–337.

Darwin, Charles, 1859, On Natural Selection . London: Penguin Books, Great Ideas.

Daston, L. J., 1988, Classical Probability in the Enlightenment . Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

David, Florence Nightingale, 1962, Games, Gods, and Gambling: A History of Probability and Statistical Ideas . Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Dawes, Robyn M., 1980, “Confidence in Intellectual Judgments vs. Confidence in Perceptual Judgments.” In E. D. Lantermann and H. Feger, eds., Similarity and Choice: Papers in Honor of Clyde Coombs . Bern, Switzerland: Huber.

———,1988, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World . New York: Harcourt.

———, 1989, “Measurement Models for Rating and Comparing Risks: The Context of AIDS.” Conference Proceedings Health Services Research Methodology: A Focus on AIDS , September 1989.

———, 1999, “A Message from Psychologists to Economists: Mere Predictability Doesn’t Matter Like It Should, Without a Good Story Appended to It.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization . 39: 29–40.

———, 2001a, “Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment.” International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences 2048–2051.

———, 2001b, Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics, and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally . Oxford: Westview Press.

———, 2002, “The Ethics of Using or Not Using Statistical Prediction Rules in Psychological Practice and Related Consulting Activities.” Philosophy of Science 69: 178–184.

Dawes, Robyn M., D. Faust, and P. E. Meehl, 1989, “Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment.” Science 243: 1668–1674.

Dawes, Robyn M., R. Fildes, M. Lawrence, and K. Ord, 1994, “The Past and the Future of Forecasting Research.” International Journal of Forecasting 10: 151–159.

Dawes, Robyn M., and T. L. Smith, 1985, “Attitude and Opinion Measurement.” In G. Lindzey and E. Aronson, The Handbook of Social Psychology , Vol. 1. Hillsdale, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum.

de Bellaigue, Eric, de., 2004, British Book Publishing as a Business Since the 1960s . London: The British Library.

De Bondt, Werner, and Andreas Kappler, 2004, “Luck, Skill, and Bias in Economists’ Forecasts.”

Working Paper, Driehaus Center for Behavioral Finance, DePaul University.

De Bondt, Werner F. M., and Richard M. Thaler, 1990, “Do Security Analysts Overreact?” American Economic Review 80: 52–57.

Debreu, Gerard, 1959, Theorie de la valeur , Dunod, tr. Theory of Value . New York: Wiley. de Finetti, Bruno, 1931, 1989, “Probabilism.” Erkenntnis 31: 169–223.

———, 1975, 1995, Filosophia della probabilita . Milan: Il Saggiatore.

Degeorge, François, Jayendu Patel, and Richard Zeckhauser, 1999, “Earnings Management to Exceed Thresholds.” Journal of Business 72(1): 1–33.

DeLong, Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence Summers, and Robert J. Waldmann, 1991. “The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets.” Journal of Business 64(1): 1–20.

Dennett, Daniel C., 1995, Darwin’s Dangerous Idea: Evolution and the Meanings of Life . New York: Simon & Schuster.

———, 2003, Freedom Evolves . New York: Penguin Books.