Джон Шеттлер - Condition Zebra - The Next War - 2025

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The season six finale, Tangent Fire, was a bridge novel that is now taking up to the final season of the series, the war in 2025. Only this is the future that arose from Kirov’s many interventions in the past, a future the main characters must own, and struggle to preserve from the fires of WWIII
After China seized the Ryukyu Island in Season 6, the war spun off on a tangent when Chinese warships began stopping commercial traffic in the Med. This led to commerce raiding there by the Chinese Navy, and a direct confrontation with the Royal Navy, based in Gibraltar and Malta. That battle rolled to the eastern Med in the defense of Malta, and then the Chinese ally and client state, Egypt, shut down the Suez Canal. Action shifted to the Canary Islands and Cape Verde Islands, as Beijing gave orders for its squadrons there to withdraw to the Indian Ocean.
Here, in Condition Zebra, the great grandson of the Admiral Wells we met in WWII now leads a strong Royal Navy fleet to Cape Town. His mission is to open the sea lanes north to the vital Persian Gulf region, but he is confronted by a strong Chinese Indo-Arabian Fleet that has been reinforced when their Med squadrons moved through the Red sea into the Gulf of Aden.
Now the strengths and weaknesses on each navy are exposed in the hard garish light of intense naval combat. The Chinese have no carriers here, and must therefore rely on land based air support, but the Indian Ocean is a very big place. While the British have good carrier based air support, Admiral Wells fins his ships outranged by the Chinese SSM’s and inadequately prepared for air defense against these new missiles. In Condition Zebra, both navies lock horns off Madagascar, as Wells pushes north on a mission to occupy Victoria in the Seychelles. Reinforcements are coming, as the American Carrier Strike Group Roosevelt embarks from Darwin to meet the British Fleet at Diego Garcia.
In the midst of this combat, Qusay Hussein, son of Saddam, launched a much belated invasion of Kuwait, and an action very much like the Gulf War ensues—only this time the Iraqi Army does not stop at the Saudi border. With the vast oil fields of Arabia in jeopardy, the 1st US Marine Division has been following the Roosevelt group in a massive sealift convoy bound for ports in Oman. As the land battle rages through the deserts of Saudi Arabia, the combined US and Royal Navy fleets must now confront Admiral Sun Wei’s reinforced Indo-Arabian Fleet.
Now the presence of a big deck American carrier makes a big difference, and the massive 40 ship Chinese fleet faces its biggest challenge in the crucible of naval fire. As this action ensues, Karpov finds that his only solace is in battle, and takes Kirov and Kursk south into the Java Sea. There they become embroiled in the battle to stave off another big Chinese Operation aimed at Singapore and the Malacca Strait.
Action from stem to stern in this one, and the war in 2025 explodes across the vast canvass of the Indian Ocean. Lurking in the background, the simmering hostility between India and Pakistan threatens to ignite yet another flashpoint and bring those two nuclear armed states into the war.
Condition Zebra is the opening book the final 8 book season of the Kirov Series, where the fate of the ship and crew will be decided once and for all… with the war in 2025.

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Now then, he thought. Should I follow up with my 64 Sea Tomahawks and see if we can box their ears?

* * *

Admiral Sun Wei was glad the enemy attack had struck at the southern end of his line. The two northernmost TFs had been refueling their destroyers, and that would have been difficult if they were attacked in the midst of that operation. He received the damage report from his southern TF, ships that had come up to join the fleet from the small port of Narinda on Madagascar. There was nothing to be concerned about, though he inherently took notice of ordnance expended. He presently had the range with just 32 YJ-100’s.

I might use them, he thought, just for spite. If I do, they would have to be concentrated on one enemy carrier. We could pull a few teeth as well with such a strike, as the enemy will likely have to use upwards of 50 missiles to defeat it.

My great disadvantage now is that in order to engage and really fight the British, I must move east, further and further away from any land based air support. Our J-20’s can come out here, and still loiter for a reasonable time, but not the J-10’s. They can only be used for air defense over our bases on the coast. Yet we have one little surprise for them in the Seychelles at Victoria. A flight of six J-31’s joined the two J-20’s we had posted there. I can use them to keep a good eye on the British carriers as we move to intercept. My aim, of course, is to close inside 300 miles where I can then bring my real power to bear, the YJ-18’s. Do they know their peril now? Do they have intelligence on what we might be carrying?

05:30 Local, 20 NOV 2025

“Sir,” came a voice, and Admiral Wells turned to see it was Sir Frederick Simon Gill, Captain of Prince of Wales on this outing.

“Yes Mister Gill?”

“I’ve got the latest on the enemy positions. They’re coming on like gangbusters. Their two northern TF’s are up near 30 knots, heading 095 east. It seems to me they are trying to close the range, and that can only mean one thing.”

“Indeed,” said Wells. “They’re trying to get missiles in range to get after us.”

“Precisely sir, and given that, we might give some thought to making a heading change to keep them at arm’s length.”

“We’re gut punchers, Captain. I can only jab at them with the F-35’s. If we want to put real harm on them, we’ll have to get inside.”

“We could throw Tomahawks at any time,” said Gill, a man in his mid-40’s, yet prematurely grey, in spite of a thick head of hair.”

“And when they are gone?”

“Well sir, this new ship that’s been attached, the Argos , I’m told it has the American Long Range ASM. They should have the range shortly, and if we combine a strike with our Tomahawks, that would make 100 missiles. Very good saturation, sir. We might even follow that up with the F-35’s again.”

“Understood.”

“Yes sir. If we’re going to hit them, the sooner the better. We’ll have to cover the landing at Victoria tomorrow. Wouldn’t it be best if we stop them before they can get into range to interfere with that?”

“Sound thinking, Mister Gill. Send to Argos Fire . Have them come to a heading of 355 degrees northwest. That should get their missiles in range directly.”

“Very good, sir.”

Wells could see that the Captain was eager to get into the swing of things, but the Admiral was playing a cautious opening here. Half his SSM strength resided in those Tomahawks and the missiles on Argos Fire . The remainder was another foreign buy, the Naval Strike Missile that was installed on many frigates three years earlier. Wells shook his head.

If we hadn’t done that, the Type 23’s would be sitting empty, with no offensive power at all, and a new air defense missile that has serious shortcomings against high supersonic targets. By god, the only reason this fleet is even half way ready for what’s in front of us is the fact that we’ve acquired better missiles from Norway and the United States. We haven’t a single domestically built missile that we can put on a ship or plane and have a decent chance of sinking an enemy warship at sea. Yet this Chinese fleet out there is armed to the teeth, and for one main purpose—to sink enemy ships.

Captain Gill wants to fight at range, which means we would fire now and then run, because closing to get the Naval Strike Missiles into it will expose us to the Full Monty—everything they have would be able to hit us. I hesitate to do what the Captain asked, only for the reason that once I do throw my long range missiles, then there would be little else we could do.

The Admiral had a sinking feeling now, but he would not have time to mull it through. Word came in from his F-35 on forward recon, and the enemy was firing. Alarms sounded throughout the big carrier, and now Wells knew he had one thing in hand when it came to defending this fleet. His F-35’s may not be ship killers, but by god, they could kill cruise missiles. He turned to Captain Gill.

“Freddy, they’re coming. Scramble the ready alert fighters at once.”

Chapter 9

Fourteen F-35’s would respond to that call from the three carriers. Some were held back to take up a ready CAP assignment, and the remainder were on the hangar decks, rigging out with SPEAR’s and Storm Shadows.

The radar picket plane, Livewire, had gone Bingo fuel, but would pass its controller role to another plane given the same code name, so Livewire lived on, a constant presence orbiting and monitoring the arrival and targeting of all the other fighters. They had been tracking the Chinese ships fired off missiles at the Vampires, getting a few kills, but another 20 pressed on toward the British fleet. At 07:00, with the sun up and clear skies, that wave of 14 F-35’s switched on their targeting radars and saw the Vampires, low on the sea. Seconds later, their Meteors started hunting them down. The crossfire of missiles had sliced through the enemy SSM’s and cut them to pieces.

When word got back to Prince of Wales , Admiral Wells smiled. So, he thought. I’m told the enemy has a fast attack missile that our Sea Ceptors can’t handle, effectively reducing this fleet to seven destroyers and the single Type 31 frigate we have on hand. But that missile makes its approach to the target as a slow dog indeed. It just cruises in at 500 knots, relying on its stealth and low altitude to get within range before it sprints home to attack.

It seems I have just discovered the solution to this problem—get them before they sprint. Our destroyers could never accomplish that, because even if the Asters had the range, they could not get good target locks. Now, the F-35 can take the fight well out to sea, catching these demons in their slow cruise mode.

“Mister Gill!”

“Sir?”

“What are the rest of our F-35’s doing?”

The Captain looked at a clipboard he was carrying. “Sir, we’ve got four in the ready CAP position, six more arming with the SPEAR, and another six below decks ready with Storm Shadow.”

“Belay all strike ordnance operations. I want all those planes rearmed with Meteors, and as quickly as possible.”

“That will take three hours, sir.”

“I’m aware of that, but we’ve just solved our problem with the Chinese YJ-18. Our fighters just cut that enemy strike to pieces. We’ve got to get them in their cruise run, Mister Gill. See that this order also gets out to the other two carriers.”

“Yes sir. By god, I think you’re on to something.”

Let’s just hope we can hold them off for another three hours, thought Wells.

* * *

When Admiral Sun Wei received the report that his first strike had failed he initially took the setback in stride.

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