Larry Bond - Exit Plan

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Jerry Mitchell is on exercises off the coast of Pakistan when his submarine is ordered to a rendezvous off the Iranian coast. Once there, disembarked SEALs, experts in seaborne commando operations, are to extract two Iranian nationals who have sensitive information on Iran’s nuclear weapons program. But while en route, the ASDS minisub suffers a battery fire, killing one crew member and forcing the rest of the occupants, four SEALs and LCDR Mitchell, to scuttle their disabled craft and swim for shore. There they find the two Iranians waiting for them, but their attempts at returning to Michigan are thwarted by heavy Iranian patrol boat activity. When agents of Iran’s secret police, VEVAK, appear, escape seems all but possible. As each attempt falls apart, time and options are quickly running out… and when they find themselves surrounded by Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corp troops, they create a bold plan to escape by sea. It’s a desperate gamble, but it’s the only way to get the proof of the Iranian plot to the US… and prevent a devastating new war.

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Jerry and the SEALs, surprised, all looked at Shirin, then at Ramey. The lieutenant was looking at Jerry.

“What kind of files?” Jerry asked.

“Schedules, purchase orders, test results, progress reports, e-mails, photographs, biographies — enough information to give a complete description of the entire program, and its potential. Because of security restrictions, I’ve only been able to send out a few files at a time. But this time I copied as much as I could find. Eventually the security checks will notice all the activity on the log at my computer, but I didn’t plan to go back.”

“Why are you telling us this?”

“In case things… go badly. You should know about it. But the data is encrypted. Yousef and I know how to open the files.”

Lapointe said, “Sir, I recommend making copies of that data, encrypted or not.” He pulled a laptop from his backpack. “The boss has one as well. We’ll make two sets.”

Jerry held out his hand. “May we copy the files?”

Shirin nodded, and her head disappeared under the blanket. After a few moments of rustling, her head reappeared, and then her hand, holding the device. She handed it to Lapointe, who plugged it into a USB port on his machine and began typing.

As Lapointe worked, Ramey asked him, “Can we uplink this stuff back to the sub, or somewhere else?”

“This is a lot of ones and zeroes, Boss. With the FPS-117’s bandwidth, it would take tens of hours. Our batteries wouldn’t come even close to lasting that long.”

“There is a summary file,” Shirin volunteered. “It lists the types of information on the drive, and I could decrypt one small file. It will help prove who we are and what we have.”

“You don’t have to do that,” Jerry said. “We’re not leaving you behind.”

“Your government may have its doubts. I am not a professional spy, but they must rule out the possibility that we are lying. This does not offend me. It is prudent for them to make sure we are not double agents.”

“I don’t think I’d be that calm about it,” Ramey commented.

“Done,” Lapointe announced. “Everything has been copied onto my laptop.”

“Then let me see the list of files, please.” Shirin got up, still wrapped in the blanket, and walked over to where Lapointe was working. He turned the computer so she could see the screen as she knelt on the cave floor.

She studied the list for a moment, asked him to scroll down, then pointed out one. “Open this, please.” When Lapointe double-clicked on it, a dialog box appeared, asking for a password. Shielding the keyboard, she carefully typed in a long sequence, and the file opened.

“It’s a standard PDF file,” Lapointe reported. Shirin repeated the process with a second file. “This is a presentation about centrifuge problems at Natanz. I was there when this happened,” she explained.

Fazel leaned over and read the Farsi script aloud. “Natanz Centrifuge Cascade Failure Reconstruction. It’s dated February of this year.”

“Hoooly shit.” Lapointe’s exclamation matched Jerry’s feelings. This was the real thing.

“The file sizes are good,” Lapointe reported. “It will take about fifteen minutes to upload both, plus a few minutes to tell them what we’re sending.”

“Okay,” said Ramey, “we will transmit this tomorrow night, just before we go to the pickup point. That minimizes the time for them to react if they detect the signal.”

“I thought you said the signal was undetectable,” Shirin asked.

“We’re sending electrons into the ether. The chance may be very small, but I don’t take chances if I don’t have to.”

She didn’t look pleased. “That is tomorrow night. There is some… urgency in this data reaching your government.”

Jerry asked, “Is some of this material time sensitive?”

“No, but Yousef and I have other information, very important information. And we need your government to believe in who we are and what we know.”

Jerry considered for a moment, but realized he was hesitating. He knew which path he had to take. “Send it now,” he ordered Ramey. “We shouldn’t sit on this for a day.”

“XO, I don’t think this is a good idea,” Ramey was visibly unhappy with Jerry pulling rank and making a decision that he wasn’t trained to make.

“I understand your objection, Matt. But if I read this right, the information has strategic implications that go beyond our own situation.” Turning to Lapointe, he asked, “Petty Officer Lapointe, what are the risks of sending such a long transmission?”

Lapointe looked first at his platoon leader, and then back at Jerry. “Technically, the risk is low. The Iranians likely don’t know we’re here and the radio is very secure — particularly for short transmissions. If the information is as important as you think, XO, the risk is acceptable.”

“Very well,” replied Jerry, as he stared straight into Ramey’s eyes. “I do believe it is that important, and we need to send it up the chain… now.”

Ramey was hard to read. His jaw was clenched tight again, but he didn’t argue further. “Aye, aye, XO,” he answered. “Pointy, do it when you’re ready, and don’t spend any time downloading the scores from the Red Sox’s game.”

“Aye, aye, Boss, and after that I’ll copy the whole thing onto your laptop as well.”

After Lapointe transmitted the files and finished transferring them to Ramey’s laptop, the SEALs checked and cleaned their gear. Ramey set up a watch schedule for the night with two SEALs on watch at any one time. Ramey and Fazel took the first watch while everyone else tried to get some sleep. Each of the SEALs had a thermal blanket like Fazel’s, they handed Yousef one and he snuggled up to Shirin; throwing part of his blanket over her as well. Lapointe and Phillips shared a blanket and bedded down near the cave entrance, just in case. By circumstance or design, Jerry found himself alone on the far side of the cave.

Feeling slightly left out, Jerry spent several minutes smoothing his place on the cave floor, removed some pebbles, and tried to remember the last time he’d camped out. He was still wondering if he’d ever get to sleep when fatigue claimed him.

8. A FINE MESS

3 April 2013

1300 Local Time/1800 Zulu

White House Situation Room

“I thought this was supposed to be a low risk, routine operation, Mr. Secretary,” exclaimed Myles angrily as he stormed into the situation room; a cloud of civilian and military advisors filed in behind him.

“Mr. President, our risk assessment was based on Iranian military capability, not on the possibility of a freak accident,” replied Secretary of Defense Springfield. “Who could have possibly foreseen this extraordinary piece of bad luck?”

Joanna quickly took a seat behind Kirkpatrick, checked her notes, and scanned the synopsis she had prepared, along with Guthrie’s proposed plan of action. Satisfied that she was as ready as she could be given the circumstances, she turned her attention to the president.

President Myles took a deep breath and let out an audible sigh. “I know, James. There was no way we could have anticipated this unbelievable complication. But as unfortunate as it is, it is now part of a much larger crisis after the IAEA report this morning and the Iranian general’s press conference.”

Earlier that morning, the International Atomic Energy Agency had released its long-awaited report on the latest inspection of Iranian nuclear facilities. The report was late, and it was a bombshell.

It stated that samples taken from discarded centrifuges at the Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant showed uranium hexafluoride residue with Uranium-235 enrichment levels of 85 %, well beyond that needed for any civilian purpose. In its final paragraph, the Board of Governors had concluded that this was not a case of cross contamination from another source. The uranium was of Iranian origin, and there was only one purpose for U-235 concentrations of such magnitude — the development of nuclear weapons.

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