Ray Kurzweil - How to Create a Mind - The Secret of Human Thought Revealed

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Ray Kurzweil, the bold futurist and author of The New York Times bestseller The Singularity Is Near, is arguably today’s most influential technological visionary. A pioneering inventor and theorist, he has explored for decades how artificial intelligence can enrich and expand human capabilities.
Now, in his much-anticipated How to Create a Mind, he takes this exploration to the next step: reverse-engineering the brain to understand precisely how it works, then applying that knowledge to create vastly intelligent machines.
Drawing on the most recent neuroscience research, his own research and inventions in artificial intelligence, and compelling thought experiments, he describes his new theory of how the neocortex (the thinking part of the brain) works: as a self-organizing hierarchical system of pattern recognizers. Kurzweil shows how these insights will enable us to greatly extend the powers of our own mind and provides a roadmap for the creation of superintelligence—humankind's most exciting next venture. We are now at the dawn of an era of radical possibilities in which merging with our technology will enable us to effectively address the world’s grand challenges.
How to Create a Mind is certain to be one of the most widely discussed and debated science books in many years—a touchstone for any consideration of the path of human progress.

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11. S. McClelland III and R. E. Maxwell, “Hemispherectomy for Intractable Epilepsy in Adults: The First Reported Series,” Annals of Neurology 61, no. 4 (April 2007): 372–76.

12. Lars Muckli, Marcus J. Naumerd, and Wolf Singer, “Bilateral Visual Field Maps in a Patient with Only One Hemisphere,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106, no. 31 (August 4, 2009), http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0809688106.

13. Marvin Minsky, The Society of Mind (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1988).

14. F. Fay Evans-Martin, The Nervous System (New York: Chelsea House, 2005), http://www.scribd.com/doc/5012597/The-Nervous-System.

15. Benjamin Libet, Mind Time: The Temporal Factor in Consciousness (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2005).

16. Daniel C. Dennett, Freedom Evolves (New York: Viking, 2003).

17. Michael S. Gazzaniga, Who’s in Charge? Free Will and the Science of the Brain (New York: Ecco/HarperCollins, 2011).

18. David Hume, An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding (1765), 2nd ed., edited by Eric Steinberg (Indianapolis: Hackett, 1993).

19. Arthur Schopenhauer, The Wisdom of Life .

20. Arthur Schopenhauer, On the Freedom of the Will (1839).

21. From Raymond Smullyan, 5000 B.C. and Other Philosophical Fantasies (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1983).

22. For an insightful and entertaining examination of similar issues of identity and consciousness, see Martine Rothblatt, “The Terasem Mind Uploading Experiment,” International Journal of Machine Consciousness 4, no. 1 (2012): 141–58. In this paper, Rothblatt examines the issue of identity with regard to software that emulates a person based on “a database of video interviews and associated information about a predecessor person.” In this proposed future experiment, the software is successfully emulating the person it is based on.

23. “How Do You Persist When Your Molecules Don’t?” Science and Consciousness Review 1, no. 1 (June 2004), http://www.sci-con.org/articles/20040601.xhtml.

Chapter 10: The Law of Accelerating Returns Applied to the Brain

1. “DNA Sequencing Costs,” National Human Genome Research Institute, NIH, http://www.genome.gov/sequencingcosts/.

2. “Genetic Sequence Data Bank, Distribution Release Notes,” December 15, 2009, National Center for Biotechnology Information, National Library of Medicine, ftp://ftp.ncbi.nih.gov/genbank/gbrel.txt.

3. “DNA Sequencing—The History of DNA Sequencing,” January 2, 2012, http://www.dnasequencing.org/history-of-dna.

4. “Cooper’s Law,” ArrayComm, http://www.arraycomm.com/technology/coopers-law.

5. “The Zettabyte Era,” Cisco, http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/VNI_Hyperconnectivity_WP.xhtml, and “Number of Internet Hosts,” Internet Systems Consortium, http://www.isc.org/solutions/survey/history.

6. TeleGeography © PriMetrica, Inc., 2012.

7. Dave Kristula, “The History of the Internet” (March 1997, update August 2001), http://www.davesite.com/webstation/net-history.shtml; Robert Zakon, “Hobbes’ Internet Timeline v8.0,” http://www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline; Quest Communications, 8-K for 9/13/1998 EX-99.1; Converge! Network Digest , December 5, 2002, http://www.convergedigest.com/Daily/daily.asp?vn=v9n229&fecha=December%2005,%202002; Jim Duffy, “AT&T Plans Backbone Upgrade to 40G,” Computerworld , June 7, 2006, http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9001032; “40G: The Fastest Connection You Can Get?” InternetNews.com, November 2, 2007, http://www.internetnews.com/infra/article.php/3708936; “Verizon First Global Service Provider to Deploy 100G on U.S. Long-Haul Network,” news release, Verizon, http://newscenter.verizon.com/press-releases/verizon/2011/verizon-first-global-service.xhtml.

8. Facebook, “Key Facts,” http://newsroom.fb.com/content/default.aspx?NewsAreaId=22.

9. http://www.kurzweilai.net/how-my-predictions-are-faring.

10. Calculations per Second per $1,000

11 Top 500 Supercomputer Sites httptop500org 12 Microprocessor Quick - фото 72

11 Top 500 Supercomputer Sites httptop500org 12 Microprocessor Quick - фото 73

11 Top 500 Supercomputer Sites httptop500org 12 Microprocessor Quick - фото 74

11. Top 500 Supercomputer Sites, http://top500.org/.

12. “Microprocessor Quick Reference Guide,” Intel Research, http://www.intel.com/pressroom/kits/quickreffam.htm.

13. 1971–2000: VLSI Research Inc.

2001–2006: The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors , 2002 Update and 2004 Update, Table 7a, “Cost—Near-term Years,” “DRAM cost/bit at (packaged microcents) at production.”

2007–2008: The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors , 2007, Tables 7a and 7b, “Cost—Near-term Years,” “Cost—Long-term Years,” http://www.itrs.net/Links/2007ITRS/ExecSum2007.pdf.

2009–2022: The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors , 2009, Tables 7a and 7b, “Cost—Near-term Years,” “Cost—Long-term Years,” http://www.itrs.net/Links/2009ITRS/Home2009.htm.

14. To make all dollar values comparable, computer prices for all years were converted to their year 2000 dollar equivalent using the Federal Reserve Board’s CPI data at http://minneapolisfed.org/research/data/us/calc/. For example, $1 million in 1960 is equivalent to $5.8 million in 2000, and $1 million in 2004 is equivalent to $0.91 million in 2000.

1949: http://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/UoCCL/misc/EDSAC99/statistics.xhtml, http://www.davros.org/misc/chronology.xhtml.

1951: Richard E. Matick, Computer Storage Systems and Technology (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977); http://inventors.about.com/library/weekly/aa062398.htm.

1955: Matick, Computer Storage Systems and Technology; OECD, 1968, http://members.iinet.net.au/~dgreen/timeline.xhtml.

1960: ftp://rtfm.mit.edu/pub/usenet/alt.sys.pdp8/PDP-8_Frequently_Asked_Questions_%28posted_every_other_month%29; http://www.dbit.com/~greeng3/pdp1/pdp1.xhtml#INTRODUCTION.

1962: ftp://rtfm.mit.edu/pub/usenet/alt.sys.pdp8/PDP-8_Frequently_Asked_Questions_%28posted_every_other_month%29.

1964: Matick, Computer Storage Systems and Technology; http://www.research.microsoft.com/users/gbell/craytalk; http://www.ddj.com/documents/s=1493/ddj 0005hc/.

1965: Matick, Computer Storage Systems and Technology; http://www.fourmilab.ch/documents/univac/config1108.xhtml; http://www.frobenius.com/univac.htm.

1968: Data General.

1969, 1970: http://www.eetimes.com/special/special_issues/millennium/mile stones/whittier.xhtml.

1974: Scientific Electronic Biological Computer Consulting (SCELBI).

1975–1996: Byte magazine advertisements.

1997–2000: PC Computing magazine advertisements.

2001: www.pricewatch.com (http://www.jc-news.com/parse.cgi?news/pricewatch/raw/pw-010702).

2002: www.pricewatch.com (http://www.jc-news.com/parse.cgi?news/price watch/raw/pw-020624).

2003: http://sharkyextreme.com/guides/WMPG/article.php/10706_2227191_2.

2004: http://www.pricewatch.com (11/17/04).

2008: http://www.pricewatch.com (10/02/08) ($16.61).

15. Dataquest/Intel and Pathfinder Research:

Year $ Log ($)
1968 1.00000000 0
1969 0.85000000 −0.16252
1970 0.60000000 −0.51083
1971 0.30000000 −1.20397
1972 0.15000000 −1.89712
1973 0.10000000 −2.30259
1974 0.07000000 −2.65926
1975 0.02800000 −3.57555
1976 0.01500000 −4.19971
1977 0.00800000 −4.82831
1978 0.00500000 −5.29832
1979 0.00200000 −6.21461
1980 0.00130000 −6.64539
1981 0.00082000 −7.10621
1982 0.00040000 −7.82405
1983 0.00032000 −8.04719
1984 0.00032000 −8.04719
1985 0.00015000 −8.80488
1986 0.00009000 −9.31570
1987 0.00008100 −9.42106
1988 0.00006000 −9.72117
1989 0.00003500 −10.2602
1990 0.00002000 −10.8198
1991 0.00001700 −10.9823
1992 0.00001000 −11.5129
1993 0.00000900 −11.6183
1994 0.00000800 −11.7361
1995 0.00000700 −11.8696
1996 0.00000500 −12.2061
1997 0.00000300 −12.7169
1998 0.00000140 −13.4790
1999 0.00000095 −13.8668
2000 0.00000080 −14.0387
2001 0.00000035 −14.8653
2002 0.00000026 −15.1626
2003 0.00000017 −15.5875
2004 0.00000012 −15.9358
2005 0.000000081 −16.3288
2006 0.000000063 −16.5801
2007 0.000000024 −17.5452
2008 0.000000016 −17.9507

16. Steve Cullen, In-Stat, September 2008, www.instat.com.

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