Eric Flint - 1636:The Saxon Uprising

"Whereas the captain of the Union of Kalmar is a Dane," Ulrik added quickly, "and will certainly do whatever we tell him. Especially since his ship can destroy any warship in the Baltic-"

"Except one of the other ironclads!"

"Yes, that's true. But the other two ironclads are under the command of Admiral Simpson in Luebeck. Who is an American, not a Swede."

Kristina started to say something but Ulrik drove over her. "Yes, I know that he's formally under the authority of Prime Minister Wettin, who is doing Oxenstierna's bidding nowadays and might well order us intercepted as well. But whether Simpson would actually obey such a command is doubtful, in my opinion."

"Why? You told me yourself once he was given to formalities. So why wouldn't he do what his lawful superior ordered him to do?"

Keep-his-mouth-shut. Speak only of recipes in front of the girl.

He made that vow, knowing full well he wouldn't be able to keep it. The problem was that Kristina was both too smart and too important to his developing plans. There was no way he could manage this situation without her cooperation, and she was quite capable of withholding that cooperation if he didn't involve her fully in the project.

"Yes, I know I said that, Kristina. But…"

How to explain?

"Most people are complicated," he said. "Simpson certainly is. Under most circumstances, I am sure he would be the very Platonic ideal of a politically neutral military officer obeying lawful orders. But the thing is…"

"He's also very intelligent," said Baldur. "And politically sophisticated. Simpson will know full well that if he's ordered by Wettin to take into custody the lawful heir of three crowns-only one of which answers to Oxenstierna and only one of which answers to Wettin-"

"Might answer to Wettin," interjected Ulrik. "It's actually not at all clear if the prime minister has the right to act as regent for the crown in the event the monarch is incapacitated and his successor is not of age." He waved his hand. "The whole area is completely gray, in legal terms."

Thankfully, that piqued Kristina's interest. "Really? I thought…"

Ulrik shook his head. "The prime minister of the USE isn't equivalent to the Swedish chancellor. Perhaps more to the point, when it comes to dynastic issues the USE's parliament is not equivalent to Oxenstierna's council. Swedish law is fairly clear that the council has the right to appoint a regent for the crown under these circumstances. There is no such clarity in the USE's constitution."

Baldur chuckled. "And Stearns, bless the man's crafty soul, insisted on a formal constitution. So the lawyers can't just do a quick shuffle of the rules. They'll need to get an official legal ruling by the supreme court. Which is not known for the celerity of its deliberations."

Ulrik spoke. "That means, in effect, that the whole issue will be Simpson's to decide, at least for two months or so. And that's probably all the time we need."

Kristina made a last, valiant stand. "You don't know that!"

Ulrik nodded. "No, I don't. But we can find out by tomorrow, with the radio."

The princess chewed on her lower lip for a few seconds. "Okay," she finally said. "I guess if Simpson agrees, we'll take the stupid ironclad across the sea. And hope we don't sink." USE naval base Luebeck Colonel Jesse Wood hung his flight jacket on a peg near the door and then took a seat in a chair against the wall in Admiral Simpson's office.

"So what's up, John? Why did you insist I fly out here at the crack of dawn?"

With the passage of time and some shared heartaches, relations between Jesse Wood and John Chandler Simpson had gotten a lot more relaxed than they'd been in earlier days. The two men still weren't what you'd call friends, but there was a lot of mutual respect between them.

A lot of trust, too, which is what the admiral thought was most critical at the moment. He half-rose, leaned over his desk and handed Jesse a radio message. "This came in yesterday evening."

The air force commander cocked an eyebrow and started reading the message. It wasn't very long. By the time he got to the end, his relaxed half-slouch had vanished and he was sitting up straight on the edge of his chair.

"Jesus. H. Christ." He looked up at Simpson. "I assume there's no chance this is a fake?"

The admiral shook his head. "The prince had his own codes, which he used. I can't see how anyone else could have gotten them, since I happen to know-he told me-that he was committing them to memory so there'd be no written copy anywhere except in our records. And who would want to fake such a message anyway? The only people I can think of who'd want to meddle in this would hardly be sending that message."

Jesse looked back down at the little sheet and then handed it back to the admiral. "True enough. But…What the hell is she playing at?"

"I think you're using the wrong pronoun, for starters. I'd be very surprised if the guiding mind behind this isn't Prince Ulrik's." Before Jesse could say anything, Simpson made a dismissive gesture with his hand. "Oh, don't get me wrong. I'm sure he's not coercing the girl in any way. He wouldn't need to. He's very persuasive and by now she's probably got a lot of faith in him."

The colonel grunted. "Not to mention that she's what they call 'spirited' herself." He ran fingers through his short hair, which was starting to thin quite a bit in front. It was getting gray, too-and would probably be a lot grayer before this was all finished. Simpson's own hair was turning white.

"What do you think he's up to, then?"

Simpson looked out the window. His office was on the third floor of the navy's headquarters building, so he had a good view of the city's port. It was not what anyone would call a scenic vista, but the harbor was always busy and there was usually something of interest to watch. For the few seconds it usually took him to get his thoughts in order, anyway.

"I spent a fair amount of time in discussions with that young man during the Congress of Copenhagen, Jesse. He plays it very close to the chest, but I'm pretty sure he's following the general line of reasoning that Scaglia's been developing in the Netherlands."

"Who?"

"Alessandro Scaglia. He's a former Savoyard diplomat who's now in Brussels working for Archduchess Isabella. He advocates a political policy he calls 'the soft landing.' His argument is that the Ring of Fire proves that some sort of democratic political system is inevitable in Europe's nations, and so fighting to preserve monarchical rule and aristocratic privilege is pointless as well as wrong-headed. At the same time, given the existing realities and what he sees as the excesses that democracy led to in our universe-he's not very fond of the Committees of Correspondence in this one, either-he thinks a transition period is necessary, during which time ruling monarchs gradually cede their power to democratic institutions of one kind or another. To put it another way, he advocates constitutional monarchy, with the emphasis shifting over time from 'monarchy' to 'constitutional.' "

"Is he really that important? I've never heard of the guy."

Simpson tried to figure out how to respond. It would be rude to point out that Colonel Wood rarely read any political treatises, and none at all written by contemporary down-timers. The admiral, on the other hand, had compiled quite an extensive library of such writings. His wife Mary was an even more assiduous student of the subject.

"Well, he keeps a low public profile. But he has the ear of the king in the Netherlands, I'm sure of that, as well as the queen. And since Maria Anna is the sister of Emperor Ferdinand III of Austria and Hungary-they're reported to be quite close, too-I'd be surprised if Scaglia isn't getting a hearing from that branch of the Habsburgs as well."